Indiana State
Model Outputs
1991-1992
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1000 (#151) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 978 (#168) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1007 (#151) | HCA +115 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +0.2 (#151) | HCA +4.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -0.3 (#159) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.401 (#199) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.510 (#150) | AdjNet +0.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.509 (#149) | AdjNet +0.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.493 (#158) | AdjO 63.8 | AdjD 64.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.478 (#173) | AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 63.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.497 (#158) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.494 (#158) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 982 (#162) | RD 147 | GP 28 |
1992 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1991-11-25 | @ | Eastern Illinois | L | 50 - 59 |
| 1991-12-02 | vs | Purdue | L | 65 - 81 |
| 1991-12-07 | @ | Miami (OH) | L | 61 - 77 |
| 1991-12-14 | @ | Butler | L | 65 - 80 |
| 1991-12-17 | vs | Ball State | L | 59 - 61 |
| 1991-12-21 | @ | Southern Illinois | L | 57 - 74 |
| 1991-12-27 | N | Kent State | W | 71 - 57 |
| 1991-12-28 | N | Indiana | L | 44 - 94 |
| 1992-01-04 | @ | Bradley | W | 59 - 49 |
| 1992-01-07 | @ | Creighton | W | 63 - 60 |
| 1992-01-11 | vs | Wichita State | W | 81 - 51 |
| 1992-01-16 | vs | Creighton | W | 77 - 49 |
| 1992-01-18 | vs | Bradley | W | 72 - 51 |
| 1992-01-23 | @ | Tulsa | L | 53 - 67 |
| 1992-01-25 | @ | Missouri State | L | 57 - 65 |
| 1992-01-27 | vs | Evansville | L | 60 - 77 |
| 1992-02-01 | @ | Drake | W | 61 - 59 |
| 1992-02-03 | @ | Northern Iowa | W | 65 - 54 |
| 1992-02-06 | vs | Southern Illinois | W | 66 - 47 |
| 1992-02-08 | vs | Illinois State | L | 62 - 64 |
| 1992-02-10 | vs | Drake | W | 55 - 46 |
| 1992-02-15 | @ | Wichita State | L | 58 - 73 |
| 1992-02-18 | @ | Evansville | L | 44 - 77 |
| 1992-02-22 | @ | Illinois State | L | 43 - 44 |
| 1992-02-24 | vs | Tulsa | W | 74 - 60 |
| 1992-02-29 | vs | Northern Iowa | W | 55 - 50 |
| 1992-03-02 | vs | Missouri State | W | 55 - 54 |
| 1992-03-07 | N | Tulsa | L | 65 - 77 |
1992 Roster
No roster data available for this season.