Indiana State
2026-2027 Team Stats (5 games)
72.4
PPG
79.4
Opp
-7.0
Margin
38.5%
FG%
26.6%
3P%
76.7%
FT%
38.2
RPG
11.8
APG
17.2
TO
76.1
Est. poss./game
66.9
Adj PPG
72.3
Adj Opp PPG
#264
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 818 (#276) | Preseason prior 785 (returning production + recruiting): last season 870, returning -46, transfers -40, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 880 (#269) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 883 (#268) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -7.5 (#235) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -7.5 (#235) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.202 (#243) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.276 (#273) | AdjNet -8.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.299 (#252) | AdjNet -6.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.333 (#264) | AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 72.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.333 (#265) | AdjO 66.8 | AdjD 72.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.328 (#245) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.328 (#245) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 881 (#259) | RD 160 | GP 5 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.268 (#261) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Northern Illinois Huskies | L | 71 - 76 |
| 2026-11-06 | @ | Seton Hall Pirates | L | 56 - 74 |
| 2026-11-08 | @ | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | L | 76 - 107 |
| 2026-11-10 | vs | IU Indianapolis Jaguars | W | 86 - 74 |
| 2026-11-13 | vs | Wright State Raiders | W | 73 - 66 |
| 2026-11-17 | vs | Bellarmine Knights | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-19 | @ | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saroiya Ajomale
|
F | 5 | 22.6 | 13.2 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 11.6 | 8.4 | -14 | 5 | -2.8 | -4.9 | 41.4 | 26.3 | 86.7 | 0.33 | 51.1 | 45.7 |
Ashley Singhateh
|
G | 5 | 29.4 | 10.8 | 3.8 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 7.8 | 10.0 | -16 | 5 | -3.2 | -4.3 | 35.9 | 50.0 | 84.6 | 0.36 | 53.5 | 41.0 |
Kristen McMillan
|
F | 5 | 22.2 | 10.0 | 6.6 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 6.0 | 11.8 | 25 | 5 | 5.0 | 9.1 | 63.3 | 33.3 | 90.9 | 1.48 | 71.8 | 66.7 |
Aaliyah Youngblood
|
G | 5 | 28.4 | 9.2 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 0.6 | 3.8 | 11.2 | 3.8 | -21 | 5 | -4.2 | -5.9 | 28.6 | 16.7 | 64.7 | -0.55 | 36.2 | 31.2 |
Natalia Williams
|
G | 4 | 16.2 | 7.0 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 6.2 | 4.2 | -25 | 4 | -6.2 | -15.6 | 52.0 | 33.3 | 33.3 | -2.53 | 53.2 | 54.0 |
Jayci Allen
|
G | 5 | 24.6 | 7.0 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 6.8 | 3.2 | -50 | 5 | -10.0 | -16.2 | 32.4 | 29.6 | 83.3 | -4.57 | 47.8 | 44.1 |
Amerie Flowers
|
F | 5 | 14.2 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 6.0 | 5.2 | -35 | 5 | -7.0 | -19.3 | 40.0 | 0 | 63.6 | -3.75 | 44.5 | 40.0 |
Karsen Marshall
|
G | 5 | 14.0 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 4.2 | 3.2 | 7 | 5 | 1.4 | 4.0 | 33.3 | 33.3 | 66.7 | -0.12 | 47.0 | 45.2 |
Crystal Schultz
|
G | 4 | 8.2 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.2 | -1.2 | -36 | 4 | -9.0 | -43.8 | 30.8 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -4.86 | 40.7 | 30.8 |
Heaven Shockley
|
F | 4 | 8.8 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 2.8 | -4 | 4 | -1.0 | -4.6 | 57.1 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.76 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
Eanae Dagons
|
G | 5 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 3.4 | 1.6 | -8 | 5 | -1.6 | -4.0 | 17.6 | 14.3 | 60.0 | -0.82 | 26.0 | 20.6 |
Jazelle Young
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Zoë Dispennette
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Allison Mcgill
|
ATH | 2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 36.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.64 | 0 | 0 |
Ariana Peagler
|
G | 3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.36 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
330 located field-goal attempts in 5 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Saroiya AjomaleKristen McMillanAaliyah YoungbloodAshley SinghatehJayci AllenAmerie FlowersKarsen Marshall
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 43-71 | 60.6 | 86 | Kristen McMillan 26% (22 pts) | Aaliyah Youngblood 16% (14 pts) | Aaliyah Youngblood 29% (8 misses) | Ashley Singhateh 21% (6 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 41-109 | 37.6 | 82 | Amerie Flowers 20% (16 pts) | Natalia Williams 17% (14 pts) | Aaliyah Youngblood 24% (16 misses) | Amerie Flowers 18% (12 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 5-18 | 27.8 | 10 | Saroiya Ajomale 40% (4 pts) | Crystal Schultz 20% (2 pts) | Saroiya Ajomale 31% (4 misses) | Crystal Schultz 15% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 5-9 | 55.6 | 10 | Aaliyah Youngblood 20% (2 pts) | Amerie Flowers 20% (2 pts) | Aaliyah Youngblood 25% (1 misses) | Eanae Dagons 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 4-14 | 28.6 | 8 | Saroiya Ajomale 50% (4 pts) | Ashley Singhateh 25% (2 pts) | Ashley Singhateh 30% (3 misses) | Saroiya Ajomale 30% (3 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 3-8 | 37.5 | 9 | Aaliyah Youngblood 67% (6 pts) | Jayci Allen 33% (3 pts) | Aaliyah Youngblood 60% (3 misses) | Jayci Allen 40% (2 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 3-10 | 30.0 | 9 | Ashley Singhateh 33% (3 pts) | Jayci Allen 33% (3 pts) | Jayci Allen 29% (2 misses) | Saroiya Ajomale 29% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 13-39 | 33.3 | 39 | Jayci Allen 46% (18 pts) | Karsen Marshall 23% (9 pts) | Jayci Allen 35% (9 misses) | Saroiya Ajomale 23% (6 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 1-11 | 9.1 | 3 | Saroiya Ajomale 100% (3 pts) | - | Aaliyah Youngblood 30% (3 misses) | Eanae Dagons 30% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 9-41 | 22.0 | 27 | Saroiya Ajomale 44% (12 pts) | Karsen Marshall 22% (6 pts) | Karsen Marshall 22% (7 misses) | Aaliyah Youngblood 16% (5 misses) |