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Indiana Pacers

2026-2027 Team Stats (13 games)

111.2
PPG
113.2
Opp
-2.1
Margin
46.5%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
75.7%
FT%
41.8
RPG
27.5
APG
14.1
TO
101.7
Est. poss./game
108.7
Adj PPG
112.8
Adj Opp PPG
#22
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 895 (#23) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +23 elo More โ†’ 896 (#23) HCA +23 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +27 elo More โ†’ 919 (#23) HCA +27 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.9 More โ†’ -5.5 (#22) HCA +1.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.1 More โ†’ -5.8 (#22) HCA +2.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.424 (#19) -
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 108.7 | AdjD 112.8 More โ†’ 0.388 (#22) AdjO 108.7 | AdjD 112.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 108.7 | AdjD 112.4 More โ†’ 0.390 (#22) AdjO 108.7 | AdjD 112.4
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 110 | GP 13 More โ†’ 872 (#24) RD 110 | GP 13

Rank through the season

League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.

Elo Points Off/Def Recency

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-10-21 @ New Orleans Pelicans W 123 - 120
2026-10-23 vs Dallas Mavericks L 105 - 121
2026-10-25 @ Brooklyn Nets W 136 - 109
2026-10-26 @ Milwaukee Bucks L 102 - 110
2026-10-28 vs Philadelphia 76ers L 109 - 114
2026-10-30 @ Miami Heat L 125 - 145
2026-11-01 vs Brooklyn Nets L 90 - 98
2026-11-02 vs Atlanta Hawks L 104 - 108
2026-11-04 @ Memphis Grizzlies W 107 - 103
2026-11-07 vs Denver Nuggets L 102 - 114
2026-11-09 @ Dallas Mavericks L 122 - 125
2026-11-11 vs Washington Wizards W 114 - 101
2026-11-13 vs New York Knicks W 106 - 104
2026-11-15 @ Philadelphia 76ers - Preview
2026-11-18 vs Houston Rockets - Preview
2026-11-20 @ Cleveland Cavaliers - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Pascal Siakam Pascal Siakam F 12 32.2 22.4 6.5 4.2 0.9 0.1 2.2 16.1 15.8 -7 12 -0.6 -0.7 50.3 35.6 71.1 0.64 59.4 55.7
Tyrese Haliburton Tyrese Haliburton G 4 33.0 21.8 4.5 9.5 1.2 0.8 2.2 15.5 20.0 17 4 4.2 5.1 51.6 37.0 86.7 -0.12 63.4 59.7
Andrew Nembhard Andrew Nembhard G 11 33.4 16.6 2.3 7.7 0.5 0.2 2.5 12.6 12.1 -4 11 -0.4 -0.4 44.6 40.3 89.5 -0.71 58.8 53.6
Obi Toppin Obi Toppin F 10 20.7 12.4 4.6 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.8 9.0 9.1 -5 10 -0.5 -1.0 52.2 37.0 72.2 -0.52 63.3 61.7
Aaron Nesmith Aaron Nesmith G 11 25.8 12.3 2.7 1.6 0.7 0.3 1.5 10.3 5.9 -59 11 -5.4 -8.3 39.8 31.7 80.6 -1.05 53.3 48.7
Ivica Zubac Ivica Zubac C 8 23.5 10.8 8.9 1.6 0.0 0.8 1.6 8.0 12.4 -15 8 -1.9 -3.2 56.2 0 70.0 -0.29 59.1 56.2
Kelly Oubre Jr. Kelly Oubre Jr. G 11 24.2 10.2 2.9 1.3 0.7 0.8 0.6 8.9 6.4 -44 11 -4.0 -6.7 43.9 21.4 73.9 -1.37 51.8 48.5
Quenton Jackson Quenton Jackson G 13 21.5 9.0 3.6 2.7 1.3 0.2 1.2 6.8 8.8 38 13 2.9 5.4 46.6 35.9 87.5 0.39 59.4 54.5
Jay Huff Jay Huff C 11 16.7 7.1 3.5 0.8 0.1 0.7 0.7 5.2 6.4 -24 11 -2.2 -5.2 50.9 30.3 83.3 -1.42 62.6 59.6
Jarace Walker Jarace Walker F 12 21.1 6.8 5.3 1.7 0.5 0.5 1.4 6.7 6.8 -36 12 -3.0 -5.7 36.2 30.2 57.9 -2.6 46.4 44.4
T.J. McConnell T.J. McConnell G 4 12.0 5.2 2.0 4.5 1.0 0.2 1.8 5.5 5.8 -3 4 -0.8 -2.5 45.5 0.0 100.0 -0.88 46.8 45.5
Kobe Brown Kobe Brown G 6 13.5 4.7 2.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.5 3.8 3.8 -7 6 -1.2 -3.4 43.5 25.0 83.3 -1.63 54.6 50.0
Larry Nance Jr. Larry Nance Jr. F 12 14.5 4.4 2.5 0.6 0.9 0.2 0.6 3.4 4.6 -6 12 -0.5 -1.4 46.3 39.3 57.1 -0.62 60.1 59.8
Braden Smith Braden Smith - 8 13.2 3.8 0.6 2.4 1.0 0.4 1.0 3.6 3.5 - - - - 44.8 28.6 50.0 - 48.8 48.3
Jalen Slawson Jalen Slawson - 11 14.2 3.4 3.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.9 2.4 5.7 31 11 2.8 7.9 42.3 20.0 68.4 0.51 53.8 46.2
Ben Sheppard Ben Sheppard G 1 12.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 -2 1 -2.0 -6.6 33.3 50.0 0 -1.47 50.0 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

946 located field-goal attempts in 11 games (NBA Stats). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Siakam16% Siakam25% Nembhard31% Siakam62% Nembhard25% Toppin21% Nesmith28% Nembhard19% Nembhard35% Walker19%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Walker13% Siakam21% Siakam38% Siakam42% Nembhard29% Toppin17% Nesmith25% Nembhard21% Nesmith15% Siakam18%
Misses: who misses most here

Pascal SiakamAndrew NembhardObi ToppinAaron NesmithJarace Walker

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 182-266 68.4 364 Pascal Siakam 16% (60 pts) Obi Toppin 13% (46 pts) Jarace Walker 13% (11 misses) Pascal Siakam 13% (11 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 97-196 49.5 194 Pascal Siakam 25% (48 pts) Andrew Nembhard 14% (28 pts) Pascal Siakam 21% (21 misses) Ivica Zubac 11% (11 misses)
Mid-range left 13-34 38.2 26 Andrew Nembhard 31% (8 pts) Pascal Siakam 31% (8 pts) Pascal Siakam 38% (8 misses) Andrew Nembhard 29% (6 misses)
Mid-range center 8-20 40.0 16 Pascal Siakam 62% (10 pts) Andrew Nembhard 12% (2 pts) Pascal Siakam 42% (5 misses) Aaron Nesmith 17% (2 misses)
Mid-range right 12-33 36.4 24 Andrew Nembhard 25% (6 pts) Aaron Nesmith 17% (4 pts) Andrew Nembhard 29% (6 misses) Pascal Siakam 19% (4 misses)
Left corner 3 19-54 35.2 57 Obi Toppin 21% (12 pts) Quenton Jackson 21% (12 pts) Obi Toppin 17% (6 misses) Jarace Walker 14% (5 misses)
Right corner 3 25-69 36.2 75 Aaron Nesmith 28% (21 pts) Jay Huff 20% (15 pts) Aaron Nesmith 25% (11 misses) Kelly Oubre Jr. 23% (10 misses)
Above-break 3 left 31-97 32.0 93 Andrew Nembhard 19% (18 pts) Pascal Siakam 19% (18 pts) Andrew Nembhard 21% (14 misses) Quenton Jackson 14% (9 misses)
Above-break 3 center 26-78 33.3 78 Andrew Nembhard 35% (27 pts) Aaron Nesmith 15% (12 pts) Aaron Nesmith 15% (8 misses) Andrew Nembhard 15% (8 misses)
Above-break 3 right 32-99 32.3 96 Jarace Walker 19% (18 pts) Andrew Nembhard 12% (12 pts) Pascal Siakam 18% (12 misses) Aaron Nesmith 15% (10 misses)