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Incarnate Word

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Incarnate Word Cardinals
Program History
Coach: Ken Burmeister

2014 Team Stats (2 games)

77.5
PPG
58.5
Opp
+19.0
Margin
52.6%
FG%
48.4%
3P%
75.5%
FT%
35.5
RPG
7.0
APG
16.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
70.1
Adj PPG
75.6
Adj Opp PPG
#267
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1011 (#166) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 988 (#179) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More → 1050 (#102) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -6.6 (#272) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -7.0 (#274) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.585 (#120) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -8.7 More → 0.268 (#262) AdjNet -8.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -8.9 More → 0.264 (#262) AdjNet -8.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 75.6 More → 0.378 (#267) AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 75.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 71.8 More → 0.460 (#213) AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 71.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.405 (#226) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.421 (#217) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 170 | GP 15 More → 975 (#185) RD 170 | GP 15

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-09 @ Northwood University Knights W 88 - 72
2013-11-11 @ Trinity (TX) Tigers W 74 - 62
2013-11-16 @ Huston Tillotson Rams W 85 - 78
2013-11-19 vs Northwood University Knights W 106 - 94
2013-11-22 @ Southwestern U Pirates W 80 - 61
2013-11-26 @ North Texas Mean Green L 67 - 84
2013-11-30 vs Texas A&M International Dustdevils W 75 - 56
2013-12-04 vs St. Edward's Hilltoppers W 77 - 67
2013-12-14 vs McMurry War Hawks W 83 - 56
2013-12-16 vs The Open Bible Open Bible W 96 - 60
2013-12-17 vs The Open Bible Open Bible W 98 - 53
2013-12-30 vs Huston Tillotson Rams W 102 - 73
2014-01-04 vs Our Lady of the Lake Saints W 100 - 85
2014-01-09 @ SE Louisiana Lions L 72 - 76
2014-01-11 @ LSU New Orleans Privateers W 78 - 55
2014-01-16 vs Central Arkansas Bears W 87 - 72
2014-01-18 vs Oral Roberts Golden Eagles L 77 - 79
2014-01-23 vs Sam Houston Bearkats W 85 - 74
2014-01-25 vs Lamar Cardinals W 75 - 64
2014-01-30 @ Northwestern State Demons L 86 - 100
2014-02-01 @ Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks L 74 - 76
2014-02-06 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders W 82 - 78
2014-02-08 vs Houston Christian Huskies W 89 - 82
2014-02-13 vs Abilene Christian Wildcats W 80 - 68
2014-02-27 @ McNeese Cowboys L 72 - 87
2014-03-01 @ Nicholls Colonels W 69 - 67
2014-03-08 @ Abilene Christian Wildcats W 59 - 56

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Denzel Livingston Denzel Livingston G 6 31.8 20.0 7.8 2.5 1.5 1.3 1.7 3.0 28.5 91 15 6.1 7.4 61.1 60.0 87.5 0.0 239.6 77.8
Kyle Hittle Kyle Hittle F 6 34.2 16.5 6.0 1.0 0.3 0.2 2.2 2.7 19.2 100 15 6.7 8.1 56.2 45.5 83.3 1.96 265.6 71.9
Mitchell Badillo Mitchell Badillo G 6 30.7 11.3 5.0 3.2 1.2 0.0 1.7 1.5 17.5 79 15 5.3 8.3 55.6 100.0 100.0 -0.71 303.6 72.2
Sam Burmeister Sam Burmeister G 6 34.3 8.8 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.0 1.5 2.2 10.7 94 15 6.3 8.1 38.5 16.7 0.0 0.83 185.1 42.3
Ian Markolf Ian Markolf C 6 21.7 6.8 6.7 1.5 0.0 0.7 2.5 2.0 11.2 42 11 3.8 7.0 50.0 0 50.0 -0.66 140.0 50.0
Anthony Horton Anthony Horton F 2 19.5 6.0 3.5 1.0 1.5 0.0 1.0 4.5 6.5 42 15 2.8 4.2 44.4 0.0 80.0 -3.53 53.6 44.4
Justin Philippe Justin Philippe F 6 12.0 3.8 3.3 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.7 4.8 -1 15 -0.1 -0.2 60.0 0 100.0 -3.52 110.2 60.0
John Baker John Baker F 5 7.8 1.4 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 2.8 2 14 0.1 1.3 100.0 0 100.0 -3.12 109.4 100.0
Joseph Louwagie Joseph Louwagie G 4 5.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 - - - - 50.0 0 100.0 -2.3 69.4 50.0
Phillip Johnson Phillip Johnson G 6 4.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 -25 10 -2.5 -40.4 50.0 0 0 -4.77 100.0 50.0
Winslo Barry Winslo Barry F 6 4.7 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.0 18 15 1.2 5.8 33.3 0 25.0 -2.19 31.5 33.3
Chris Starkes Chris Starkes G 4 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 -0.2 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.56 0 0
Marcus Brock Marcus Brock G 3 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.81 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG