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Illinois Fighting Illini

Season: 2027 preview
Also known as: Illinois Fighting Illini
Program History

Model Outputs

2003-2004
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and includes an unverified participant universe. More โ†’ Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and includes an unverified participant universe.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1549 (#39) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ +35.6 (#45) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.660 (#31) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +8.7 More โ†’ 0.748 (#4) NetEff +8.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +5.9 More โ†’ 0.665 (#45) AdjNet +5.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.1 More โ†’ 0.670 (#43) AdjNet +6.1

2004 Schedule & Results

No games found for this season.

2004 Roster

No roster data available for this season.