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Illinois State

Also known as: Illinois State Redbirds, Illinois State
Program History

2016 Team Stats (3 games)

58.7
PPG
68.2
Opp
-8.0
Margin
31.5%
FG%
23.9%
3P%
82.5%
FT%
42.3
RPG
9.7
APG
13.0
TO
85.5
Pace

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1294 (#146) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1271 (#159) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +23.5 (#165) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.246 (#74) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.7 More → 0.550 (#61) AdjNet +1.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.9 More → 0.555 (#61) AdjNet +1.9

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-30 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 63 - 75
2015-12-19 @ Saint Joseph's Hawks L 65 - 79
2016-01-15 vs Evansville Purple Aces L 55 - 66
2016-02-06 vs Wichita State Shockers W 58 - 53

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Akoon-Purcell D. Akoon-Purcell C 4 29.0 14.5 7.8 1.8 0.8 0.0 3.5 11.8 9.5 - - - 36.2 20.0 90.9 - 55.9 38.3
P. Lee P. Lee G 4 29.5 11.2 2.0 2.5 1.2 0.0 2.0 8.0 7.0 - - - 34.4 35.7 87.5 0.27 63.3 42.2
M. McIntosh M. McIntosh F 4 27.2 10.8 5.2 2.0 0.8 0.2 2.8 7.5 8.8 - - - 26.7 25.0 75.0 -0.09 60.9 30.0
D. Hawkins D. Hawkins F 4 25.2 9.0 6.2 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 9.5 7.8 14 1.6 2.5 23.7 26.3 100.0 0.75 45.8 30.3
R. Griffin R. Griffin G 3 20.7 6.0 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.0 3.3 5.0 - - - 70.0 0.0 0 -0.32 90.0 70.0
N. Banyard N. Banyard F 3 17.0 3.7 5.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.7 5.3 3.3 - - - 31.2 12.5 0 -0.01 34.4 34.4
Q. Brewer Q. Brewer F 4 14.2 3.5 4.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 3.0 4.8 - - - 25.0 0.0 66.7 -0.06 47.8 25.0
T. Wills T. Wills G 4 22.5 2.0 1.5 1.8 1.0 0.5 0.8 2.2 3.8 - - - 22.2 25.0 0 -0.1 44.4 27.8
D. N'Diaye D. N'Diaye C 2 5.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. McCloud J. McCloud C 4 14.0 0.8 1.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.5 0.8 - - - 16.7 25.0 0 -0.35 25.0 25.0
K. Evans K. Evans G 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 -48 -4.4 -5.3 0 0 0 1.1 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG