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Illinois State

Season: 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016
Also known as: Illinois State Redbirds, Illinois State
Program History
Coach: Porter Moser

Model Outputs

2003-2004
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1363 (#150) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1341 (#125) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More → +26.1 (#145) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.269 (#94) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -7.1 More → 0.305 (#88) AdjNet -7.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -7.1 More → 0.305 (#88) AdjNet -7.1

2004 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2003-11-23 vs Florida A&M W 87 - 70
2003-12-02 vs Bellarmine W 87 - 53
2003-12-06 vs Illinois State W 80 - 69
2003-12-16 vs Western Kentucky L 65 - 66
2003-12-20 vs Northern Iowa W 64 - 61
2004-01-03 @ - W 80 - 73
2004-01-07 vs Illinois State L 55 - 56
2004-01-14 @ - W 59 - 55
2004-01-18 vs Missouri State L 42 - 54
2004-01-21 vs Southern Illinois W 71 - 58
2004-01-24 @ - W 72 - 63
2004-01-31 vs Illinois State L 54 - 57
2004-02-04 vs Wichita State W 70 - 50
2004-02-11 @ - W 79 - 48
2004-02-14 vs Indiana State L 37 - 63
2004-02-18 @ - W 65 - 46
2004-02-21 vs Loyola (IL) L 71 - 77
2004-02-25 vs Illinois State L 56 - 72
2004-03-01 vs Illinois State W 73 - 68
2004-03-05 @ - W 76 - 56
2004-03-06 @ - L 54 - 68

2004 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Trey Guidry G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Marcus Arnold F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Vince Greene G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Gregg Alexander G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Najeeb Echols F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Neil Plank G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Greg Dilligard F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Chris Burras F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Kevin Troc G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Dana Ford G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Kenneth Hill F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Matt Miller G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Michael Sams F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Ronnie Carlwell C 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Kyle Flowers F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Micah Kirstein G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG