Illinois Fighting Illini
Model Outputs
2004-2005
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1215 (#62) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1136 (#99) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +27.0 (#85) | HCA +3.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.390 (#247) | - |
2005 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004-11-20 | vs | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | W | 88 - 38 |
| 2004-11-23 | @ | Saint Joseph's Hawks | W | 64 - 50 |
| 2004-11-27 | @ | Saint Peter's Peacocks | W | 81 - 55 |
| 2004-12-01 | @ | Green Bay Phoenix | L | 43 - 72 |
| 2004-12-04 | @ | Louisiana Tech Lady Techsters | W | 71 - 65 |
| 2004-12-07 | vs | Bradley Braves | L | 67 - 70 |
| 2004-12-11 | vs | Pacific Tigers | W | 74 - 31 |
| 2004-12-19 | vs | UCLA Bruins | W | 78 - 63 |
| 2004-12-21 | @ | Illinois State Redbirds | W | 82 - 72 |
| 2004-12-28 | vs | Central Michigan Chippewas | W | 82 - 44 |
| 2004-12-30 | @ | Michigan Wolverines | W | 65 - 63 |
| 2005-01-02 | vs | Iowa Hawkeyes | L | 58 - 72 |
| 2005-01-09 | @ | Northwestern Wildcats | W | 73 - 65 |
| 2005-01-13 | @ | Penn State Lady Lions | L | 41 - 76 |
| 2005-01-16 | vs | Wisconsin Badgers | W | 79 - 66 |
| 2005-01-19 | vs | Michigan State Spartans | L | 42 - 62 |
| 2005-01-23 | @ | Minnesota Golden Gophers | L | 68 - 80 |
| 2005-01-27 | vs | Indiana Hoosiers | W | 53 - 43 |
| 2005-01-30 | vs | Ohio State Buckeyes | L | 55 - 69 |
| 2005-02-03 | @ | Purdue Boilermakers | W | 66 - 56 |
| 2005-02-06 | @ | Michigan State Spartans | L | 59 - 68 |
| 2005-02-10 | @ | Wisconsin Badgers | L | 60 - 65 |
| 2005-02-13 | vs | Penn State Lady Lions | L | 56 - 63 |
| 2005-02-16 | vs | Northwestern Wildcats | W | 68 - 33 |
| 2005-02-22 | vs | Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | W | 86 - 37 |
| 2005-02-24 | @ | Iowa Hawkeyes | L | 63 - 87 |
| 2005-02-27 | vs | Michigan Wolverines | W | 65 - 56 |
| 2005-03-03 | vs | Northwestern Wildcats | W | 66 - 43 |
| 2005-03-04 | @ | Michigan State Spartans | L | 50 - 61 |
| 2005-03-16 | @ | Indiana State Sycamores | L | 60 - 72 |
2005 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
D. Brown
|
- | 3 | 29.7 | 19.7 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 9.3 | 17.3 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 72.2 | 66.7 | - | 96.3 | 98.2 |
D. Williams
|
- | 3 | 29.7 | 17.7 | 4.3 | 6.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.3 | 15.7 | - | - | - | 55.9 | 37.5 | 81.8 | - | 68.2 | 64.7 |
L. Head
|
- | 3 | 30.3 | 15.0 | 3.3 | 6.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 10.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 56.7 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 68.9 | 65.0 |
R. Powell
|
- | 3 | 18.7 | 10.3 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 5.7 | 11.3 | - | - | - | 58.8 | 66.7 | 69.2 | - | 68.2 | 64.7 |
J. Augustine
|
- | 3 | 23.0 | 9.0 | 7.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5.0 | 13.7 | - | - | - | 73.3 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 78.5 | 73.3 |
J. Ingram
|
- | 3 | 15.7 | 4.7 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 3.7 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 45.5 | 0.0 | 66.7 | - | 51.3 | 45.5 |
Nick Smith
|
- | 3 | 15.3 | 4.0 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 4.3 | 3.3 | - | - | - | 38.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 43.2 | 42.3 |
W. Carter
|
F | 3 | 14.0 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 71.7 | 75.0 |
R. McBride
|
- | 3 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.3 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 28.6 | 0 | - | 42.9 | 42.9 |
F. Nkemdi
|
- | 3 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 40.0 | 40.0 |
S. Pruitt
|
- | 3 | 4.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | -0.7 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 22.5 | 25.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG