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Illinois Fighting Illini

Also known as: Illinois Fighting Illini
Program History

Model Outputs

2004-2005
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1215 (#62) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1136 (#99) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → +27.0 (#85) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.390 (#247) -

2005 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2004-11-20 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 88 - 38
2004-11-23 @ Saint Joseph's Hawks W 64 - 50
2004-11-27 @ Saint Peter's Peacocks W 81 - 55
2004-12-01 @ Green Bay Phoenix L 43 - 72
2004-12-04 @ Louisiana Tech Lady Techsters W 71 - 65
2004-12-07 vs Bradley Braves L 67 - 70
2004-12-11 vs Pacific Tigers W 74 - 31
2004-12-19 vs UCLA Bruins W 78 - 63
2004-12-21 @ Illinois State Redbirds W 82 - 72
2004-12-28 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 82 - 44
2004-12-30 @ Michigan Wolverines W 65 - 63
2005-01-02 vs Iowa Hawkeyes L 58 - 72
2005-01-09 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 73 - 65
2005-01-13 @ Penn State Lady Lions L 41 - 76
2005-01-16 vs Wisconsin Badgers W 79 - 66
2005-01-19 vs Michigan State Spartans L 42 - 62
2005-01-23 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 68 - 80
2005-01-27 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 53 - 43
2005-01-30 vs Ohio State Buckeyes L 55 - 69
2005-02-03 @ Purdue Boilermakers W 66 - 56
2005-02-06 @ Michigan State Spartans L 59 - 68
2005-02-10 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 60 - 65
2005-02-13 vs Penn State Lady Lions L 56 - 63
2005-02-16 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 68 - 33
2005-02-22 vs Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons W 86 - 37
2005-02-24 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 63 - 87
2005-02-27 vs Michigan Wolverines W 65 - 56
2005-03-03 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 66 - 43
2005-03-04 @ Michigan State Spartans L 50 - 61
2005-03-16 @ Indiana State Sycamores L 60 - 72

2005 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Brown D. Brown - 3 29.7 19.7 2.7 3.3 1.7 0.3 1.0 9.3 17.3 - - - 75.0 72.2 66.7 - 96.3 98.2
D. Williams D. Williams - 3 29.7 17.7 4.3 6.7 0.3 0.0 2.0 11.3 15.7 - - - 55.9 37.5 81.8 - 68.2 64.7
L. Head L. Head - 3 30.3 15.0 3.3 6.0 1.3 0.0 1.7 10.0 14.0 - - - 56.7 33.3 100.0 - 68.9 65.0
R. Powell R. Powell - 3 18.7 10.3 4.3 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.7 5.7 11.3 - - - 58.8 66.7 69.2 - 68.2 64.7
J. Augustine J. Augustine - 3 23.0 9.0 7.0 1.7 0.7 1.7 1.3 5.0 13.7 - - - 73.3 0 100.0 - 78.5 73.3
J. Ingram J. Ingram - 3 15.7 4.7 3.3 1.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 3.7 5.0 - - - 45.5 0.0 66.7 - 51.3 45.5
Nick Smith Nick Smith - 3 15.3 4.0 2.3 0.7 0.3 0.7 0.3 4.3 3.3 - - - 38.5 50.0 50.0 - 43.2 42.3
W. Carter W. Carter F 3 14.0 2.3 3.7 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.7 1.3 5.0 - - - 75.0 0 50.0 - 71.7 75.0
R. McBride R. McBride - 3 15.0 2.0 0.7 1.3 0.3 0.3 1.0 2.3 1.3 - - - 28.6 28.6 0 - 42.9 42.9
F. Nkemdi F. Nkemdi - 3 4.0 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.7 -1.0 - - - 40.0 0 0 - 40.0 40.0
S. Pruitt S. Pruitt - 3 4.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 -0.7 - - - 25.0 0 0.0 - 22.5 25.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG