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Illinois Col.

Also known as: Illinois Col.
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1036 (#155) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 969 (#275) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -3.6 (#216) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.613 (#394) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +3.5 More → 0.615 (#196) NetEff +3.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.2 More → 0.355 (#430) AdjNet -5.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.5 More → 0.344 (#432) AdjNet -5.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.9 | AdjD 68.2 More → 0.403 (#434) AdjO 63.9 | AdjD 68.2

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-09 vs Concordia Chicago W 75 - 36
2024-11-13 @ Webster L 58 - 75
2024-11-15 @ Greenville L 64 - 67
2024-11-16 vs Westminster (MO) L 65 - 71
2024-11-20 vs Fontbonne W 70 - 29
2024-11-23 vs Illinois Tech L 58 - 63
2024-11-26 @ Aurora L 52 - 94
2024-12-04 vs Cornell College L 58 - 60
2024-12-07 vs Ripon L 39 - 79
2024-12-14 @ Lawrence L 47 - 63
2024-12-29 vs Wis.-Stevens Point L 49 - 67
2024-12-30 @ Marywood W 80 - 60
2025-01-04 vs Monmouth (IL) W 75 - 50
2025-01-08 @ Beloit W 76 - 46
2025-01-11 @ Ripon L 49 - 88
2025-01-14 @ Knox L 69 - 84
2025-01-18 vs Lake Forest W 74 - 55
2025-01-25 vs Beloit W 72 - 47
2025-01-28 @ Cornell College L 61 - 62
2025-02-01 @ Grinnell L 59 - 65
2025-02-05 @ Monmouth (IL) W 86 - 68
2025-02-08 vs Lawrence W 72 - 67
2025-02-11 vs Grinnell L 49 - 72
2025-02-15 @ Lake Forest W 70 - 68
2025-02-19 vs Knox L 52 - 70

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Anna Mckee - 1 34.0 17.0 10.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 6.0 16.0 9.0 24 1.0 1.2 37.5 44.4 33.3 -0.03 49.1 50.0
Jayln Patterson - 25 24.3 12.8 6.2 1.0 1.3 0.9 1.8 10.7 9.7 123 3.3 3.5 47.2 34.8 78.5 0.52 54.0 50.2
Ashlyn Wightman - 24 23.7 9.5 8.4 1.0 1.2 2.4 1.7 10.3 10.4 41 1.7 2.0 38.9 16.7 62.5 0.01 42.0 39.1
Kaity Robison - 2 17.0 7.5 2.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 3.0 6.0 3.0 - - - 50.0 33.3 100.0 - 58.2 54.2
Kallie Oestreicher - 25 21.8 6.8 2.7 1.7 1.0 0.2 1.7 8.1 2.6 101 2.7 3.4 33.5 25.5 61.1 0.37 40.5 39.4
Raegen Stringer - 25 26.7 5.3 3.4 3.9 2.0 0.0 2.4 6.2 6.0 73 2.1 2.3 36.5 18.4 50.0 0.12 39.8 38.8
Aubrey Kietzman - 25 14.2 3.4 1.4 1.6 0.4 0.0 1.7 3.1 1.9 49 1.3 4.2 37.2 36.2 64.3 0.4 49.9 48.1
Kaity Robinson - 24 11.2 3.3 1.2 0.7 1.0 0.0 1.2 3.0 2.1 -27 -0.8 -2.1 38.9 33.3 68.2 0.31 48.4 44.4
Jenna Bowman - 25 11.3 3.0 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.6 2.6 1.8 -15 -0.6 -2.1 40.9 34.6 75.0 -0.16 55.3 54.5
Mckenna Christiansen - 1 9.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -65 -1.8 -6.7 50.0 50.0 0 -0.86 75.0 75.0
Ella Ausmus - 22 6.4 1.9 2.4 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.5 2.4 2.2 31 1.8 7.5 30.2 0.0 75.0 0.48 35.2 30.2
Shaili Betts - 25 7.8 1.5 3.0 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.8 2.1 2.5 -38 -1.5 -5.7 34.6 0 15.4 -0.53 32.9 34.6
De'Jah Yankaway - 14 6.1 1.4 1.8 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.6 1.9 9 0.5 1.8 36.4 0.0 18.8 -0.09 32.7 36.4
Allison Icenogle - 25 2.0 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 0.2 -1 -0.1 -0.7 37.5 30.4 0 -0.1 48.4 48.4
Taytum White - 14 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.6 - - - 50.0 50.0 75.0 -0.19 64.4 58.3
Bianca Adubato - 24 2.5 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.8 -0.1 7 0.4 4.8 5.6 14.3 50.0 0.02 20.7 8.3
Amya Mayes - 24 1.8 0.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 6 0.4 4.8 40.0 0.0 0.0 0.05 36.8 40.0
Alexis Van Dyke - 24 1.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 -0.2 -4 -0.2 -3.2 17.6 0.0 100.0 -0.13 22.4 17.6
Jaelyn Hill - 24 2.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.7 0.1 0.1 4 0.2 2.6 0.0 0.0 62.5 0.01 45.3 0.0
Courtney Stoub - 24 1.4 0.2 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 - - - 25.0 0.0 33.3 - 26.8 25.0
Callie Hughes - 11 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Lanyra Mcgill - 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -33 -5.5 -36.2 0.0 0 0 -0.49 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG