Illinois Col.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1036 (#155) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 969 (#275) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.6 (#216) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.613 (#394) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.615 (#196) | NetEff +3.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.355 (#430) | AdjNet -5.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.344 (#432) | AdjNet -5.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.403 (#434) | AdjO 63.9 | AdjD 68.2 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Concordia Chicago | W | 75 - 36 |
| 2024-11-13 | @ | Webster | L | 58 - 75 |
| 2024-11-15 | @ | Greenville | L | 64 - 67 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Westminster (MO) | L | 65 - 71 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Fontbonne | W | 70 - 29 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Illinois Tech | L | 58 - 63 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Aurora | L | 52 - 94 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Cornell College | L | 58 - 60 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Ripon | L | 39 - 79 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Lawrence | L | 47 - 63 |
| 2024-12-29 | vs | Wis.-Stevens Point | L | 49 - 67 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Marywood | W | 80 - 60 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Monmouth (IL) | W | 75 - 50 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Beloit | W | 76 - 46 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Ripon | L | 49 - 88 |
| 2025-01-14 | @ | Knox | L | 69 - 84 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Lake Forest | W | 74 - 55 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Beloit | W | 72 - 47 |
| 2025-01-28 | @ | Cornell College | L | 61 - 62 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Grinnell | L | 59 - 65 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Monmouth (IL) | W | 86 - 68 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Lawrence | W | 72 - 67 |
| 2025-02-11 | vs | Grinnell | L | 49 - 72 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Lake Forest | W | 70 - 68 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Knox | L | 52 - 70 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Mckee | - | 1 | 34.0 | 17.0 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 16.0 | 9.0 | 24 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 37.5 | 44.4 | 33.3 | -0.03 | 49.1 | 50.0 |
| Jayln Patterson | - | 25 | 24.3 | 12.8 | 6.2 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 10.7 | 9.7 | 123 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 47.2 | 34.8 | 78.5 | 0.52 | 54.0 | 50.2 |
| Ashlyn Wightman | - | 24 | 23.7 | 9.5 | 8.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 10.3 | 10.4 | 41 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 38.9 | 16.7 | 62.5 | 0.01 | 42.0 | 39.1 |
| Kaity Robison | - | 2 | 17.0 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 58.2 | 54.2 |
| Kallie Oestreicher | - | 25 | 21.8 | 6.8 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 8.1 | 2.6 | 101 | 2.7 | 3.4 | 33.5 | 25.5 | 61.1 | 0.37 | 40.5 | 39.4 |
| Raegen Stringer | - | 25 | 26.7 | 5.3 | 3.4 | 3.9 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 6.2 | 6.0 | 73 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 36.5 | 18.4 | 50.0 | 0.12 | 39.8 | 38.8 |
| Aubrey Kietzman | - | 25 | 14.2 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 49 | 1.3 | 4.2 | 37.2 | 36.2 | 64.3 | 0.4 | 49.9 | 48.1 |
| Kaity Robinson | - | 24 | 11.2 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 3.0 | 2.1 | -27 | -0.8 | -2.1 | 38.9 | 33.3 | 68.2 | 0.31 | 48.4 | 44.4 |
| Jenna Bowman | - | 25 | 11.3 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.6 | 1.8 | -15 | -0.6 | -2.1 | 40.9 | 34.6 | 75.0 | -0.16 | 55.3 | 54.5 |
| Mckenna Christiansen | - | 1 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -65 | -1.8 | -6.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.86 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Ella Ausmus | - | 22 | 6.4 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 31 | 1.8 | 7.5 | 30.2 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.48 | 35.2 | 30.2 |
| Shaili Betts | - | 25 | 7.8 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 2.5 | -38 | -1.5 | -5.7 | 34.6 | 0 | 15.4 | -0.53 | 32.9 | 34.6 |
| De'Jah Yankaway | - | 14 | 6.1 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 9 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 36.4 | 0.0 | 18.8 | -0.09 | 32.7 | 36.4 |
| Allison Icenogle | - | 25 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.2 | -1 | -0.1 | -0.7 | 37.5 | 30.4 | 0 | -0.1 | 48.4 | 48.4 |
| Taytum White | - | 14 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 75.0 | -0.19 | 64.4 | 58.3 |
| Bianca Adubato | - | 24 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 | -0.1 | 7 | 0.4 | 4.8 | 5.6 | 14.3 | 50.0 | 0.02 | 20.7 | 8.3 |
| Amya Mayes | - | 24 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 0.4 | 4.8 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.05 | 36.8 | 40.0 |
| Alexis Van Dyke | - | 24 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | -0.2 | -4 | -0.2 | -3.2 | 17.6 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.13 | 22.4 | 17.6 |
| Jaelyn Hill | - | 24 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 4 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 62.5 | 0.01 | 45.3 | 0.0 |
| Courtney Stoub | - | 24 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 33.3 | - | 26.8 | 25.0 |
| Callie Hughes | - | 11 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Lanyra Mcgill | - | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -33 | -5.5 | -36.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.49 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG