Illinois Col.
Model Outputs
2023-2024
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1036 (#155) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 969 (#275) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.3 (#216) | HCA +2.4 |
2024 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-08 | @ | Fontbonne | W | 72 - 39 |
| 2023-11-11 | @ | Concordia Chicago | L | 88 - 93 |
| 2023-11-15 | vs | Webster | L | 55 - 79 |
| 2023-11-17 | vs | Westminster (MO) | W | 77 - 73 |
| 2023-11-18 | @ | Greenville | W | 69 - 61 |
| 2023-11-26 | @ | Millikin | L | 52 - 84 |
| 2023-11-28 | @ | Cornell College | L | 61 - 64 |
| 2023-12-02 | @ | Ripon | L | 51 - 71 |
| 2023-12-06 | @ | Monmouth (IL) | W | 76 - 60 |
| 2023-12-09 | vs | Lawrence | W | 49 - 40 |
| 2023-12-17 | @ | Illinois Tech | W | 58 - 38 |
| 2023-12-19 | vs | Aurora | L | 76 - 82 |
| 2023-12-30 | vs | Eureka | W | 67 - 55 |
| 2024-01-03 | vs | Beloit | W | 57 - 50 |
| 2024-01-06 | vs | Ripon | L | 65 - 70 |
| 2024-01-10 | vs | Knox | L | 70 - 80 |
| 2024-01-14 | @ | Lake Forest | W | 65 - 52 |
| 2024-01-20 | @ | Beloit | L | 61 - 63 |
| 2024-01-23 | vs | Cornell College | W | 60 - 54 |
| 2024-01-27 | vs | Grinnell | W | 61 - 55 |
| 2024-01-31 | vs | Monmouth (IL) | W | 72 - 45 |
| 2024-02-03 | @ | Lawrence | W | 67 - 51 |
| 2024-02-07 | @ | Grinnell | L | 63 - 78 |
| 2024-02-10 | vs | Lake Forest | W | 96 - 44 |
| 2024-02-14 | @ | Knox | W | 91 - 76 |
| 2024-02-23 | @ | Knox | L | 80 - 97 |
2024 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendra Bass | - | 25 | 30.1 | 15.9 | 5.2 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 0.3 | 4.1 | 12.2 | 11.1 | - | - | - | 47.4 | 28.1 | 75.2 | -0.27 | 55.4 | 50.0 |
| Ashlyn Wightman | - | 25 | 26.2 | 11.6 | 8.6 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 10.9 | 11.2 | - | - | - | 44.5 | 0.0 | 77.4 | -0.16 | 48.4 | 44.5 |
| Jayln Patterson | - | 25 | 25.5 | 10.6 | 7.1 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 9.7 | 8.4 | 35 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 41.6 | 31.4 | 74.3 | 0.39 | 48.4 | 43.8 |
| Maya Smith | - | 25 | 30.4 | 9.1 | 5.1 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 0.1 | 3.5 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 18 | 3.6 | 9.9 | 34.5 | 32.6 | 78.9 | -0.07 | 48.6 | 41.8 |
| Anna McKee | - | 25 | 19.5 | 5.4 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 6.8 | 1.4 | - | - | - | 26.6 | 26.1 | 46.4 | -0.32 | 37.0 | 35.8 |
| Madison Webb | - | 24 | 21.8 | 5.2 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 5.2 | 6.2 | 34 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 33.9 | 33.3 | 52.8 | -0.12 | 44.7 | 42.7 |
| Gracie Kizer | - | 25 | 17.0 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 5.6 | 0.7 | 16 | 3.2 | 3.7 | 30.2 | 20.0 | 35.7 | 0.5 | 37.2 | 37.1 |
| Sarra Faust | - | 25 | 17.6 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 4.4 | 2.1 | - | - | - | 29.4 | 19.4 | 58.1 | - | 36.3 | 32.6 |
| Brooklyn Stiefel | - | 25 | 11.5 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.1 | - | - | - | 22.4 | 8.3 | 61.5 | - | 29.2 | 24.5 |
| Shaili Betts | - | 22 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.24 | 68.0 | 60.0 |
| Bianca Adubato | - | 25 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 27.3 | 14.3 | 0 | - | 31.8 | 31.8 |
| Keaton Link | - | 20 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 14.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 14.3 | 14.3 |
| Jaelyn Hill | - | 25 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | -13 | -1.0 | -1.2 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.39 | 17.4 | 25.0 |
| Ava Uhles | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| JAELYN HILL | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -13 | -1.0 | -1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.39 | 0 | 0 |
| Amya Mayes | - | 25 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | -0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Isabella Aguirre | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Maty Thiam | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Callie Hughes | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG