Illinois Col.
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 965 (#331) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 953 (#312) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +0.1 (#121) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.777 (#302) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.716 (#164) | NetEff +7.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.609 (#311) | AdjNet +3.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.604 (#311) | AdjNet +3.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.542 (#325) | AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 69.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Webster | W | 70 - 60 |
| 2024-11-11 | @ | Blackburn | W | 76 - 58 |
| 2024-11-15 | vs | Concordia Wisconsin | W | 81 - 79 |
| 2024-11-16 | vs | Neb. Wesleyan | W | 66 - 57 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Millikin | W | 65 - 53 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | MSOE | L | 59 - 61 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Cornell College | L | 67 - 71 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Ripon | W | 65 - 52 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Lawrence | L | 75 - 77 |
| 2024-12-20 | @ | Trinity (TX) | L | 69 - 72 |
| 2024-12-21 | @ | Southwestern (TX) | W | 58 - 52 |
| 2024-12-30 | @ | Benedictine (IL) | W | 86 - 82 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Monmouth (IL) | W | 77 - 62 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Beloit | W | 71 - 62 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Ripon | L | 62 - 74 |
| 2025-01-14 | @ | Knox | W | 82 - 67 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Lake Forest | W | 81 - 75 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Beloit | W | 61 - 50 |
| 2025-01-28 | @ | Cornell College | W | 73 - 70 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Grinnell | L | 110 - 123 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Monmouth (IL) | L | 68 - 73 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Lawrence | W | 66 - 43 |
| 2025-02-11 | vs | Grinnell | W | 109 - 71 |
| 2025-02-15 | @ | Lake Forest | L | 76 - 78 |
| 2025-02-19 | vs | Knox | W | 86 - 63 |
| 2025-02-28 | @ | Grinnell | L | 81 - 86 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buzz Ritzel | - | 26 | 34.7 | 18.3 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 2.5 | 14.3 | 9.6 | 47 | 3.9 | 7.4 | 43.2 | 33.8 | 75.7 | 1.5 | 55.1 | 50.1 |
| Josh Harris | - | 24 | 31.7 | 15.5 | 4.5 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 14.7 | 6.4 | 26 | 2.4 | 4.1 | 38.0 | 27.6 | 73.5 | 1.03 | 47.6 | 43.9 |
| Ty Lenhardt | - | 25 | 21.6 | 10.6 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 8.0 | 6.2 | -51 | -3.4 | -14.0 | 43.7 | 48.1 | 79.4 | 0.08 | 58.1 | 53.3 |
| Seth Doss | - | 26 | 24.7 | 9.6 | 7.7 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 6.2 | 12.3 | 3 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 58.0 | 50.0 | 56.6 | 0.64 | 59.7 | 58.3 |
| Javonte McKenzie | - | 25 | 23.5 | 7.3 | 5.3 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5.9 | 8.8 | 27 | 3.0 | 9.3 | 48.0 | 31.0 | 62.2 | 0.51 | 54.5 | 52.4 |
| Austin Robinson | - | 26 | 13.9 | 3.7 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 5.0 | 14 | 0.8 | 8.2 | 45.6 | 12.5 | 73.3 | 0.3 | 54.7 | 46.3 |
| Marcus Coleman | - | 25 | 9.6 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 3.5 | -52 | -13.0 | -38.8 | 48.8 | 25.0 | 71.8 | -0.32 | 60.7 | 52.3 |
| Jaylen Swinney | - | 25 | 13.7 | 2.9 | 4.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 3.3 | 4.9 | 13 | 2.2 | 5.3 | 31.7 | 22.9 | 38.5 | 0.31 | 39.1 | 38.4 |
| Nick Doroskin | - | 26 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.3 | -3 | -0.3 | -2.4 | 61.5 | 25.0 | 60.0 | 0.04 | 63.8 | 63.5 |
| Matt Thompson | - | 25 | 5.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 9 | 1.8 | 15.7 | 23.9 | 20.0 | 0 | -0.25 | 29.3 | 29.3 |
| Nathan Bobikiewicz | - | 24 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 8 | 2.7 | 28.3 | 40.0 | 42.1 | 33.3 | -0.48 | 58.6 | 60.0 |
| Isayah Kloster | - | 25 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 9 | 0.9 | 7.3 | 53.8 | 0 | 83.3 | 0.12 | 60.7 | 53.8 |
| Jake Hoyt | - | 25 | 7.6 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.8 | -5 | -1.0 | -3.7 | 17.6 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 25.7 | 17.6 |
| Connor Brown | - | 25 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | -10 | -2.0 | -125.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.97 | 14.8 | 0.0 |
| Andrew Thomas | - | 24 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -2 | -2.0 | -282.4 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.48 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Wilson Lodge | - | 22 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| DeShawn Nolan | - | 25 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Rahim Bolden | - | 20 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Alex Boose | - | 18 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Brady Clark | - | 23 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Zion Hampton | - | 13 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Kellen Leifheit | - | 18 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Henry Thomas | - | 24 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 56.8 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG