Ill. Springfield
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 947 (#275) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 889 (#306) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.4 (#229) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.339 (#428) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.136 (#326) | NetEff -14.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.612 (#349) | AdjNet +3.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.636 (#344) | AdjNet +4.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.550 (#361) | AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 68.9 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Tiffin | L | 63 - 70 |
| 2024-11-09 | @ | Hillsdale | L | 52 - 76 |
| 2024-11-14 | vs | Stephens College | L | 56 - 70 |
| 2024-11-18 | @ | Marquette | L | 37 - 92 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Union (TN) | L | 81 - 111 |
| 2024-11-30 | vs | Mo.-St. Louis | L | 67 - 87 |
| 2024-12-02 | @ | William Jewell | L | 68 - 74 |
| 2024-12-05 | @ | Maryville (MO) | L | 58 - 79 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | McKendree | L | 62 - 72 |
| 2024-12-14 | vs | Wis.-Parkside | L | 43 - 77 |
| 2024-12-19 | @ | Lake Superior St. | L | 56 - 63 |
| 2024-12-20 | @ | Ferris St. | L | 55 - 82 |
| 2025-01-02 | vs | St. Ambrose | W | 72 - 44 |
| 2025-01-05 | @ | UIndy | W | 67 - 58 |
| 2025-01-09 | vs | Truman St. | W | 73 - 50 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Quincy | L | 64 - 80 |
| 2025-01-16 | @ | Southwest Baptist | L | 78 - 81 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Rockhurst | L | 50 - 63 |
| 2025-01-23 | vs | Missouri S&T | W | 63 - 56 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Drury | L | 65 - 85 |
| 2025-01-30 | @ | Mo.-St. Louis | L | 48 - 49 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Lincoln (MO) | W | 53 - 44 |
| 2025-02-06 | vs | McKendree | L | 70 - 77 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Maryville (MO) | L | 68 - 81 |
| 2025-02-13 | vs | UIndy | L | 78 - 80 |
| 2025-02-20 | @ | Upper Iowa | L | 53 - 77 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Lewis | L | 52 - 78 |
| 2025-02-27 | vs | William Jewell | L | 57 - 73 |
| 2025-03-01 | vs | Rockhurst | L | 63 - 64 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Mcdonald | - | 1 | 25.0 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 12.0 | 20.0 | 74 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.84 | 79.2 | 79.2 |
| Kayla Rice | - | 29 | 31.4 | 15.8 | 3.1 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 15.9 | 5.4 | 14 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 32.1 | 30.1 | 74.6 | 0.34 | 44.6 | 40.1 |
| Emari Doby | - | 29 | 28.9 | 12.0 | 4.9 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 3.1 | 11.0 | 5.5 | -15 | -0.5 | -0.5 | 41.6 | 27.1 | 80.6 | 0.25 | 49.3 | 45.2 |
| Sydney Pnacek | - | 1 | 13.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | -52 | -1.4 | -5.2 | 62.5 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.27 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Niyah Udoiwod | - | 1 | 36.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0.0 | 75.0 | -0.24 | 70.9 | 66.7 |
| Savannah Smith | - | 1 | 18.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 26 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 42.9 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.23 | 57.1 | 42.9 |
| Allysia Mcdaniel | - | 4 | 22.0 | 9.8 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 8.2 | 3.8 | -17 | -0.4 | -0.6 | 54.5 | 0.0 | 60.0 | -0.16 | 55.4 | 54.5 |
| Niyah Udoiwood | - | 28 | 27.0 | 8.7 | 4.5 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 7.1 | 6.4 | -47 | -1.7 | -2.0 | 55.3 | 0 | 61.5 | -0.57 | 56.4 | 55.3 |
| Diavian Mehundrew | - | 26 | 22.1 | 8.6 | 3.1 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 8.7 | 2.7 | -22 | -1.0 | -1.1 | 36.6 | 26.5 | 73.0 | -0.24 | 46.0 | 43.4 |
| Caitlin Splain | - | 1 | 22.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 39 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 42.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.09 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Sarah Aleknavicius | - | 1 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 55 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.59 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Saharra Murphy | - | 29 | 33.6 | 4.7 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 0.2 | 3.7 | 5.2 | 5.5 | -65 | -2.3 | -2.1 | 36.0 | 28.1 | 61.3 | -0.39 | 41.6 | 39.0 |
| Annalise Pietrzyk | - | 1 | 16.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 21 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.74 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Ellie Bruce | - | 1 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | -68 | -1.7 | -3.2 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | -0.35 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Ashley Konkle | - | 1 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Makenna Yeager | - | 29 | 21.0 | 3.5 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 3.1 | 3.6 | 4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 40.4 | 26.5 | 65.6 | -0.03 | 49.5 | 45.5 |
| Kendall Mccormick | - | 1 | 20.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 9 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.13 | 25.5 | 20.0 |
| Emma Ruhlman | - | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | -14 | -0.4 | -0.6 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.36 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Emilia Sularski | - | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | -2.0 | -37 | -1.9 | -6.9 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.48 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Mandi Pham | - | 27 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 43.5 | 42.9 | 52.9 | -0.53 | 57.4 | 56.5 |
| Amaya Asher | - | 16 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.4 | -0.1 | -59 | -3.3 | -8.3 | 34.8 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -0.42 | 41.9 | 39.1 |
| Sydney Moss | - | 17 | 9.1 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 | -4 | -0.5 | -0.7 | 26.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.3 | 26.3 | 26.3 |
| Tatianna McLaren | - | 9 | 2.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 25.5 | 20.0 |
| Bailey Parham | - | 8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Laylah Jackson | - | 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.41 | 0 | 0 |
| Magdalena Sularski | - | 1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -74 | -2.7 | -6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.68 | 0 | 0 |
| Payton Adkins | - | 1 | 11.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.21 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG