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Ill. Springfield

Also known as: Ill. Springfield
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 947 (#275) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 889 (#306) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -2.4 (#229) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.339 (#428) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -14.3 More → 0.136 (#326) NetEff -14.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.9 More → 0.612 (#349) AdjNet +3.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.7 More → 0.636 (#344) AdjNet +4.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 68.9 More → 0.550 (#361) AdjO 71.1 | AdjD 68.9

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Tiffin L 63 - 70
2024-11-09 @ Hillsdale L 52 - 76
2024-11-14 vs Stephens College L 56 - 70
2024-11-18 @ Marquette L 37 - 92
2024-11-23 @ Union (TN) L 81 - 111
2024-11-30 vs Mo.-St. Louis L 67 - 87
2024-12-02 @ William Jewell L 68 - 74
2024-12-05 @ Maryville (MO) L 58 - 79
2024-12-07 @ McKendree L 62 - 72
2024-12-14 vs Wis.-Parkside L 43 - 77
2024-12-19 @ Lake Superior St. L 56 - 63
2024-12-20 @ Ferris St. L 55 - 82
2025-01-02 vs St. Ambrose W 72 - 44
2025-01-05 @ UIndy W 67 - 58
2025-01-09 vs Truman St. W 73 - 50
2025-01-11 vs Quincy L 64 - 80
2025-01-16 @ Southwest Baptist L 78 - 81
2025-01-18 @ Rockhurst L 50 - 63
2025-01-23 vs Missouri S&T W 63 - 56
2025-01-25 vs Drury L 65 - 85
2025-01-30 @ Mo.-St. Louis L 48 - 49
2025-02-01 @ Lincoln (MO) W 53 - 44
2025-02-06 vs McKendree L 70 - 77
2025-02-08 vs Maryville (MO) L 68 - 81
2025-02-13 vs UIndy L 78 - 80
2025-02-20 @ Upper Iowa L 53 - 77
2025-02-22 @ Lewis L 52 - 78
2025-02-27 vs William Jewell L 57 - 73
2025-03-01 vs Rockhurst L 63 - 64

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Lauren Mcdonald - 1 25.0 19.0 5.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 12.0 20.0 74 2.4 2.3 66.7 50.0 0 0.84 79.2 79.2
Kayla Rice - 29 31.4 15.8 3.1 2.0 2.9 0.2 2.7 15.9 5.4 14 0.4 0.4 32.1 30.1 74.6 0.34 44.6 40.1
Emari Doby - 29 28.9 12.0 4.9 1.2 1.4 0.2 3.1 11.0 5.5 -15 -0.5 -0.5 41.6 27.1 80.6 0.25 49.3 45.2
Sydney Pnacek - 1 13.0 12.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 10.0 -52 -1.4 -5.2 62.5 50.0 0 -0.27 75.0 75.0
Niyah Udoiwod - 1 36.0 11.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 8.0 - - - 66.7 0.0 75.0 -0.24 70.9 66.7
Savannah Smith - 1 18.0 10.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 7.0 8.0 26 0.9 1.2 42.9 0 100.0 0.23 57.1 42.9
Allysia Mcdaniel - 4 22.0 9.8 4.0 0.8 0.5 0.5 3.5 8.2 3.8 -17 -0.4 -0.6 54.5 0.0 60.0 -0.16 55.4 54.5
Niyah Udoiwood - 28 27.0 8.7 4.5 0.9 1.4 0.2 2.2 7.1 6.4 -47 -1.7 -2.0 55.3 0 61.5 -0.57 56.4 55.3
Diavian Mehundrew - 26 22.1 8.6 3.1 1.2 1.0 0.2 2.5 8.7 2.7 -22 -1.0 -1.1 36.6 26.5 73.0 -0.24 46.0 43.4
Caitlin Splain - 1 22.0 8.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 5.0 39 1.3 1.3 42.9 50.0 0 0.09 57.1 57.1
Sarah Aleknavicius - 1 17.0 8.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 8.0 6.0 55 1.7 2.7 50.0 0.0 0 0.59 50.0 50.0
Saharra Murphy - 29 33.6 4.7 4.1 3.2 2.2 0.2 3.7 5.2 5.5 -65 -2.3 -2.1 36.0 28.1 61.3 -0.39 41.6 39.0
Annalise Pietrzyk - 1 16.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 21 0.5 0.7 50.0 0.0 0 0.74 50.0 50.0
Ellie Bruce - 1 10.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 -68 -1.7 -3.2 66.7 0 0 -0.35 66.7 66.7
Ashley Konkle - 1 10.0 4.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 - - - 66.7 0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Makenna Yeager - 29 21.0 3.5 2.4 1.3 0.9 0.1 1.6 3.1 3.6 4 0.1 0.2 40.4 26.5 65.6 -0.03 49.5 45.5
Kendall Mccormick - 1 20.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 5.0 9 0.3 0.3 20.0 0.0 50.0 -0.13 25.5 20.0
Emma Ruhlman - 1 10.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 1.0 -14 -0.4 -0.6 20.0 0.0 0 0.36 20.0 20.0
Emilia Sularski - 1 10.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 -2.0 -37 -1.9 -6.9 25.0 0.0 0 -0.48 25.0 25.0
Mandi Pham - 27 4.9 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.0 7 0.3 1.2 43.5 42.9 52.9 -0.53 57.4 56.5
Amaya Asher - 16 3.7 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 1.4 -0.1 -59 -3.3 -8.3 34.8 25.0 100.0 -0.42 41.9 39.1
Sydney Moss - 17 9.1 0.6 1.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8 1.1 0.3 -4 -0.5 -0.7 26.3 0.0 0 -0.3 26.3 26.3
Tatianna McLaren - 9 2.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.1 - - - 20.0 0.0 50.0 - 25.5 20.0
Bailey Parham - 8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Laylah Jackson - 7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.41 0 0
Magdalena Sularski - 1 11.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 -74 -2.7 -6.5 0 0 0 -0.68 0 0
Payton Adkins - 1 11.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 7 0.5 2.7 0.0 0.0 0 -0.21 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG