🐻⬇️🏀

Ill. Springfield

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Ill. Springfield
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1115 (#35) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1113 (#94) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1067 (#107) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +14.3 (#52) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +13.1 (#121) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.752 (#185) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +45.4 More → 0.991 (#85) NetEff +45.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +19.6 More → 0.905 (#127) AdjNet +19.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.7 More → 0.909 (#127) AdjNet +19.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 84.6 | AdjD 69.7 More → 0.795 (#127) AdjO 84.6 | AdjD 69.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 79.8 | AdjD 69.6 More → 0.716 (#61) AdjO 79.8 | AdjD 69.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.775 (#84) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.766 (#83) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 97 | GP 22 More → 1123 (#97) RD 97 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Roosevelt W 88 - 56
2025-11-15 @ Wis.-Parkside L 77 - 95
2025-11-18 vs Judson (IL) W 92 - 69
2025-11-21 vs Williams Baptist W 107 - 78
2025-11-25 vs Cedarville L 62 - 65
2025-11-29 @ Mo.-St. Louis W 86 - 76
2025-12-01 vs William Jewell W 61 - 60
2025-12-04 vs McKendree W 63 - 58
2025-12-06 vs Maryville (MO) W 81 - 68
2025-12-17 @ Ky. Wesleyan L 81 - 87
2025-12-21 vs Mo. Baptist L 77 - 79
2025-12-31 vs William Woods W 108 - 67
2026-01-02 vs UIndy W 91 - 74
2026-01-08 @ Quincy W 91 - 60
2026-01-10 @ Truman St. L 65 - 66
2026-01-15 vs Rockhurst L 56 - 84
2026-01-17 vs Southwest Baptist W 84 - 61
2026-01-22 @ Drury W 87 - 72
2026-01-29 vs Lincoln (MO) W 85 - 76
2026-01-31 vs Mo.-St. Louis W 78 - 74
2026-02-05 @ Maryville (MO) W 85 - 71
2026-02-07 @ McKendree L 69 - 77

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Solomon Oraegbu - 1 35.5 35.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 18.0 19.0 55 2.9 24.5 55.6 44.4 91.7 1.99 75.2 66.7
Noah Franklin - 2 31.6 19.0 10.0 1.0 0.5 1.0 1.0 12.0 18.5 132 6.9 27.7 50.0 50.0 80.0 0.34 66.9 62.5
Justice Sutton - 1 39.2 19.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 16.0 5.0 19 0.9 3.4 43.8 0.0 100.0 3.56 52.2 43.8
Evan Palmquist - 1 30.8 18.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 6.0 13.0 7.0 -136 -9.7 -44.7 46.2 33.3 66.7 -3.0 57.5 53.8
Will Gibson - 1 26.4 18.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 14.0 9.0 -92 -4.2 -22.4 57.1 50.0 33.3 -2.33 58.7 60.7
Jordan Rice - 14 28.8 15.6 2.2 5.9 1.3 0.1 1.9 12.9 10.4 163 7.8 43.3 42.2 35.6 70.3 1.71 52.4 48.1
Isaiah Davis - 14 28.2 15.3 5.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.6 9.5 11.8 -43 -2.0 -17.0 51.9 49.6 85.7 -0.32 75.2 73.7
Andrew Moore - 2 32.2 15.0 7.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.5 12.0 11.0 135 6.4 27.8 41.7 33.3 72.7 3.3 52.0 45.8
Isaac Patterson - 1 34.0 15.0 8.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 16.0 8.0 -12 -0.8 -2.8 31.2 35.7 0 0.96 46.9 46.9
Julian Brown - 1 32.5 14.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 10.0 3 0.6 0.8 55.6 80.0 0 1.11 77.8 77.8
Jaylen Davis - 1 26.7 14.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 9.0 -63 -3.1 -10.5 45.5 40.0 100.0 1.54 58.9 54.5
Eric Hackett - 2 27.9 13.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 7.5 -127 -5.5 -42.6 68.8 71.4 0 -1.67 84.4 84.4
Emmanuel Byrd - 1 27.1 13.0 13.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 11.0 20.0 -13 -0.6 -3.1 54.5 0.0 25.0 -1.92 50.9 54.5
Jahki Parrinello - 1 33.5 13.0 7.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 10.0 11.0 56 2.5 13.1 30.0 0.0 77.8 0.42 46.6 30.0
Amar Kadic - 1 25.2 13.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 12.0 7.0 -7 -0.4 -3.6 41.7 37.5 0.0 -0.91 50.5 54.2
Tye Banks - 14 27.5 12.1 5.0 1.8 0.4 0.1 1.1 9.9 8.4 132 6.3 37.4 52.5 35.3 46.2 0.12 54.4 54.7
Marlon Williams - 14 27.5 12.1 5.0 1.8 0.4 0.1 1.1 9.9 8.4 78 4.1 127.2 52.5 35.3 46.2 0.33 54.4 54.7
Rini Harris - 2 30.3 12.0 6.0 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 9.5 11.0 183 8.7 37.3 42.1 14.3 77.8 2.13 52.3 44.7
Ashton Jermain - 1 35.3 11.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 8.0 4.0 8 0.4 1.7 50.0 25.0 100.0 1.29 61.9 56.2
Cha'Vez Woods - 2 34.2 10.5 3.5 4.0 1.5 0.5 3.0 11.5 5.5 92 4.6 21.1 34.8 28.6 50.0 -2.55 44.0 43.5
Britton Dutton - 14 19.1 10.2 1.7 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.9 6.9 6.0 110 5.2 32.6 53.1 48.9 85.7 0.35 67.9 65.1
Henry Sanchez Perez - 2 24.2 10.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 11.5 1.5 -90 -8.2 -482.1 34.8 36.4 0 -0.01 43.5 43.5
Anthony Ruffolo - 1 31.2 10.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 8.0 -14 -0.6 -2.2 33.3 28.6 0 -0.64 41.7 41.7
Alexander Stell - 14 26.0 9.9 9.0 1.6 0.6 1.6 1.0 6.3 15.5 158 7.9 44.3 60.2 16.7 61.5 0.93 62.7 60.8
Drew Kingery - 1 31.3 9.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 9.0 43 2.0 9.6 50.0 33.3 100.0 -1.32 65.4 58.3
Max Ekono - 1 32.5 9.0 10.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 13.0 33 1.4 9.4 37.5 40.0 50.0 -1.19 50.7 50.0
Sam Johnson - 1 25.3 9.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 3.0 -51 -2.3 -8.9 33.3 0.0 75.0 -0.86 41.8 33.3
Preston Clark - 1 37.6 9.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 7.0 -57 -3.6 -212.4 42.9 33.3 100.0 0.22 57.1 50.0
Greg Ballard - 2 15.0 8.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 3.0 -60 -3.8 -43.7 60.0 55.6 0 0.27 85.0 85.0
Raynard Horry - 2 18.4 8.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.5 3.0 -139 -10.7 -61.4 46.2 75.0 100.0 -2.32 61.2 57.7
Malcolm Davis - 1 29.7 8.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 7.0 -13 -0.5 -3.9 25.0 16.7 75.0 -1.23 41.0 31.2
Quientan McCafferty - 1 12.9 7.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 7.0 6.0 28 1.6 14.1 42.9 33.3 0 -0.25 50.0 50.0
Kobe Clark - 2 38.0 7.0 5.5 3.5 2.0 0.5 3.5 8.0 7.0 -223 -9.7 -58.5 31.2 20.0 50.0 -1.27 39.4 37.5
William Beck - 1 19.3 7.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 9.0 -25 -1.2 -12.7 25.0 0.0 83.3 0.37 52.7 25.0
Moses Wilson - 1 21.3 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 6.0 3.0 13 1.3 36.7 50.0 33.3 0 0.29 58.3 58.3
Adidas Davis - 13 18.4 6.8 2.2 0.5 0.6 0.0 0.2 4.2 5.8 40 1.9 27.6 55.6 56.2 91.7 -0.75 75.1 72.2
Tyler Chapman - 1 24.8 6.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 -1.0 -31 -1.8 -9.8 20.0 16.7 50.0 -1.5 27.6 25.0
Kanukayi Gudza - 1 32.7 6.0 7.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 12.0 -71 -3.2 -18.1 33.3 50.0 0 -0.51 50.0 50.0
Gabriel Clemmons - 2 20.2 5.5 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.5 4.5 3.0 -152 -10.9 -61.8 44.4 0.0 75.0 -1.81 51.1 44.4
Ja'Vion Byers - 1 25.8 5.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 0.0 49 2.3 10.6 28.6 50.0 0 1.58 35.7 35.7
Cannon Roth - 1 16.1 5.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 -37 -2.8 -496.1 33.3 0.0 100.0 0.06 57.9 33.3
Donaven Younger - 14 14.1 4.9 3.7 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 2.9 6.5 26 1.4 24.5 63.4 0 73.9 -0.35 67.5 63.4
Marquis Carver-Smith - 1 17.1 4.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 0.0 -59 -2.8 -26.6 20.0 0.0 100.0 -1.37 34.0 20.0
Curtis Blair III - 1 19.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 31 1.4 10.0 0.0 0.0 66.7 -0.48 35.5 0.0
Jonathan Whiteside - 1 13.6 4.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 -26 -1.2 -7.8 66.7 0 0 0.07 66.7 66.7
Evan Simon - 6 4.8 3.0 0.8 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.2 2.5 1.5 - - - 40.0 36.4 66.7 - 55.1 53.3
Robin Discamps - 1 6.7 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 1.0 41 2.0 73.8 33.3 33.3 0.0 -0.25 38.7 50.0
Justin King - 2 17.6 3.0 3.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 3.5 3.0 95 4.5 24.9 42.9 0.0 0.0 4.08 40.3 42.9
Wyatt Zellers - 2 23.6 3.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.0 2.5 132 6.3 35.8 33.3 33.3 0 1.15 50.0 50.0
Mikail Harmison - 1 16.5 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.0 26 1.2 10.6 25.0 25.0 0 2.18 37.5 37.5
Jordan Jonathan - 1 17.2 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -7 -0.3 -2.1 100.0 100.0 0 -0.46 150.0 150.0
Jorden Williams - 14 11.2 2.7 1.1 2.1 0.6 0.1 1.2 2.7 2.6 2 0.1 1.7 34.2 27.8 50.0 -0.92 43.0 40.8
Lyncoln Koester - 12 10.4 2.6 0.9 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.8 2.8 0.8 15 0.9 11.2 35.3 20.0 100.0 -0.63 42.8 38.2
Landon Schlanger - 7 6.1 2.4 1.1 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.1 1.6 - - - 40.0 0 50.0 - 43.8 40.0
Colin Schuler - 14 10.4 2.3 2.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.8 26 1.2 22.8 54.5 50.0 75.0 -0.89 62.7 59.1
Caleb Burton - 1 10.7 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -42 -2.6 -26.5 100.0 0 0 -2.58 100.0 100.0
Kyle Scharbrough - 1 32.7 2.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 5 0.2 1.2 33.3 0.0 0 0.78 33.3 33.3
Troy Anderson - 1 14.4 1.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 46 2.2 14.5 0 0 50.0 1.57 56.8 0
Sterling Rivera - 1 15.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 54 5.4 48.4 0 0 50.0 -1.5 56.8 0
Elliott Yorke Jr - 1 1.7 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 26.6 0.0
Lincoln Palbicki - 1 17.8 1.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 7.0 -12 -0.6 -20.9 0 0 50.0 0.21 56.8 0
Dezmund Jackson - 6 4.1 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.2 1.2 0.8 - - - 28.6 0.0 0 - 28.6 28.6
Domas Narcevicius - 4 2.7 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Jakob Fredricksen - 2 5.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 56 2.8 39.7 0.0 0 50.0 -0.51 26.6 0.0
Brennan Lovette - 1 5.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 82 4.1 44.1 0 0 0 -0.07 0 0
Matthieu Biembongo - 1 14.1 0.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 5.0 9 0.5 3.9 0.0 0 0 -2.09 0.0 0.0
Tyler Lucas - 1 6.7 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -1.0 -7 -0.4 -4.9 0.0 0 0 0.79 0.0 0.0
D'Necco Rucker - 1 6.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -32 -1.4 -20.7 0 0 0 0.17 0 0
Rashad Williams - 1 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12 0.5 18.0 0 0 0 -1.01 0 0
Noah Courtney - 1 10.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 -14 -1.3 -9.1 0.0 0.0 0 -0.6 0.0 0.0
Grant Fridley - 2 2.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 -0.18 0.0 0.0
Joshua Schönbäck - 1 12.3 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 29 2.6 16.1 0 0 0 -1.82 0 0
Andrew Blanton - 1 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 40 4.4 28.2 0 0 0 2.95 0 0
Ethan Sellars - 1 19.6 0.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 -105 -5.2 -33.2 0.0 0.0 0 -1.33 0.0 0.0
PJ Moore - 1 0.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -2 -0.1 -4.4 0 0 0 -0.27 0 0
Ty Romero - 1 5.8 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -2.0 -58 -3.1 -29.6 0.0 0.0 0 0.02 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG