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Ill. Springfield

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Ill. Springfield
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1089 (#102) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1101 (#103) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1067 (#107) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +11.8 (#76) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +13.1 (#121) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.752 (#42) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +45.4 More → 0.991 (#80) NetEff +45.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +19.6 More → 0.905 (#29) AdjNet +19.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.7 More → 0.909 (#29) AdjNet +19.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 84.6 | AdjD 69.7 More → 0.795 (#32) AdjO 84.6 | AdjD 69.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 79.8 | AdjD 69.6 More → 0.716 (#61) AdjO 79.8 | AdjD 69.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.775 (#84) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.766 (#83) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 97 | GP 22 More → 1124 (#97) RD 97 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 vs Roosevelt W 88 - 56
2025-11-15 @ Wis.-Parkside L 77 - 95
2025-11-18 vs Judson (IL) W 92 - 69
2025-11-21 vs Williams Baptist W 107 - 78
2025-11-25 vs Cedarville L 62 - 65
2025-11-29 @ Mo.-St. Louis W 86 - 76
2025-12-01 vs William Jewell W 61 - 60
2025-12-04 vs McKendree W 63 - 58
2025-12-06 vs Maryville (MO) W 81 - 68
2025-12-17 @ Ky. Wesleyan L 81 - 87
2025-12-21 vs Mo. Baptist L 77 - 79
2025-12-31 vs William Woods W 108 - 67
2026-01-02 vs UIndy W 91 - 74
2026-01-08 @ Quincy W 91 - 60
2026-01-10 @ Truman St. L 65 - 66
2026-01-15 vs Rockhurst L 56 - 84
2026-01-17 vs Southwest Baptist W 84 - 61
2026-01-22 @ Drury W 87 - 72
2026-01-29 vs Lincoln (MO) W 85 - 76
2026-01-31 vs Mo.-St. Louis W 78 - 74
2026-02-05 @ Maryville (MO) W 85 - 71
2026-02-07 @ McKendree L 69 - 77
2026-02-10 @ Missouri S&T L 66 - 87
2026-02-14 @ UIndy L 68 - 81
2026-02-19 vs Lewis W 63 - 58
2026-02-21 vs Upper Iowa W 82 - 77
2026-02-26 @ William Jewell L 68 - 69
2026-02-28 @ Rockhurst L 75 - 84
2026-03-06 vs McKendree L 63 - 89

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jordan Rice - 29 28.9 16.7 2.6 5.1 1.2 0.1 2.1 13.6 10.1 22 21 1.0 1.5 41.5 29.9 72.7 -0.02 52.1 46.6
Isaiah Davis - 29 28.4 12.3 4.4 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.5 9.2 8.4 27 21 1.3 1.9 43.2 40.7 82.1 1.43 63.2 61.3
Tye Banks - 29 26.1 10.7 4.7 1.3 0.4 0.1 1.3 8.7 7.1 32 21 1.5 2.5 51.4 36.2 47.8 0.65 54.7 54.7
Britton Dutton - 29 22.3 10.3 1.9 1.1 0.7 0.1 1.0 7.5 5.5 51 21 2.4 4.2 48.2 43.8 83.0 2.01 62.2 58.7
Alexander Stell - 5 26.1 8.2 9.2 1.4 0.6 2.0 1.0 6.6 13.8 - - - - 51.5 33.3 42.9 - 52.3 53.0
Alex Stell - 24 26.1 7.5 8.4 1.7 0.5 1.0 0.8 4.7 13.5 20 21 1.0 1.5 57.5 0.0 65.3 -1.1 61.3 57.5
Marlon Williams - 24 14.0 5.6 2.2 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.7 4.1 4.3 -43 18 -2.4 -9.3 57.1 41.9 37.5 -1.8 61.7 63.8
Adidas Davis - 28 16.5 5.5 2.0 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.4 4.3 4.0 -43 21 -2.0 -5.8 45.5 39.5 92.9 -2.5 60.9 58.7
Donaven Younger - 24 12.8 4.9 3.2 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.5 3.3 5.4 -13 15 -0.9 -3.2 62.5 0 58.6 -1.23 63.1 62.5
Lyncoln Koester - 24 10.2 2.7 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.5 3.0 1.2 -6 17 -0.4 -1.3 33.8 33.3 100.0 0.96 43.4 39.4
Jorden Williams - 29 11.1 2.6 1.3 1.9 0.5 0.0 1.0 2.6 2.7 -29 21 -1.4 -5.2 36.5 28.2 42.9 -1.62 44.4 43.9
Colin Schuler - 29 11.0 2.2 2.5 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.6 3.4 -3 21 -0.1 -0.5 54.3 41.7 80.0 -0.25 62.5 59.8
Evan Simon - 8 4.0 2.2 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 2.1 1.0 - - - - 35.3 30.8 66.7 -1.26 49.1 47.1
Landon Schlanger - 13 5.6 1.5 1.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.3 -11 7 -1.6 -17.5 35.0 0 46.2 -1.96 38.9 35.0
Dezmund Jackson - 4 4.8 1.0 1.2 0.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.2 2.0 - - - - 40.0 0.0 0 - 40.0 40.0
Domas Narcevicius - 5 2.1 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.8 - - - - 50.0 0.0 0 -1.06 50.0 50.0
Dezmund Olivier - 4 2.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 -0.8 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -0.64 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG