Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1029 (#262) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1045 (#277) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1002 (#439) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +23.7 (#92) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.999 (#65) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.966 (#122) | AdjNet +28.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.969 (#121) | AdjNet +28.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.919 (#66) | AdjO 98.8 | AdjD 72.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.747 (#67) | AdjO 86.3 | AdjD 74.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.824 (#76) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.790 (#92) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 991 (#377) | RD 350 | GP 1 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-26 | vs | St. Mary's (MD) | W | 115 - 61 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harris | - | 1 | 22.4 | 36.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 17.0 | 30.0 | -5 | -0.2 | -0.8 | 76.5 | 75.0 | 87.5 | 2.02 | 87.7 | 85.3 |
| Travelle Bryson | - | 1 | 20.9 | 14.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 10.0 | -40 | -2.0 | -15.1 | 55.6 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -1.14 | 60.1 | 55.6 |
| Danas Kazakevicius | - | 1 | 19.1 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 70.9 | 66.7 |
| Alex Cotton | - | 1 | 26.1 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 37.5 | 20.0 | 100.0 | - | 53.6 | 43.8 |
| Ose Okojie | - | 1 | 13.3 | 10.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 83.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 64.4 | 83.3 |
| Isaiah Brown | - | 1 | 13.6 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | -39 | -2.6 | -15.8 | 66.7 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -2.43 | 90.2 | 83.3 |
| Shane Frazier | - | 1 | 4.8 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | - | 133.0 | 150.0 |
| Cam Gillus | - | 1 | 17.2 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 15.0 | 18 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.05 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| BJ Powell | - | 1 | 12.2 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | - | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Jeremiah Johnson | - | 1 | 15.2 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 3 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 2.69 | 33.8 | 37.5 |
| Ed Holland III | - | 1 | 7.4 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 41.0 | 50.0 |
| Stefan Isailovic | - | 1 | 8.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 69.4 | 100.0 |
| Julian Johnson | - | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | 2.69 | 56.8 | 0 |
| Calvin Robins Jr. | - | 1 | 7.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 57 | 4.4 | 17.9 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | 2.97 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| River Smith | - | 1 | 4.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 1.0 | 29.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.84 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG