Howard
Model Outputs
1999-2000
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 403 (#318) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 545 (#317) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 771 (#318) | HCA +114 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -23.3 (#316) | HCA +3.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -24.5 (#317) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.047 (#315) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.022 (#318) | AdjNet -32.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.021 (#318) | AdjNet -33.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.118 (#316) | AdjO 61.3 | AdjD 83.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.165 (#317) | AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 82.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.068 (#317) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.073 (#318) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 520 (#317) | RD 146 | GP 28 |
2000 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1999-11-20 | @ | DePaul | L | 61 - 105 |
| 1999-12-01 | vs | Lafayette | L | 55 - 64 |
| 1999-12-03 | @ | Michigan State | L | 45 - 75 |
| 1999-12-04 | N | Loyola (IL) | L | 53 - 77 |
| 1999-12-06 | @ | Georgetown | L | 37 - 78 |
| 1999-12-21 | @ | Delaware | L | 52 - 97 |
| 1999-12-27 | @ | Louisiana State | L | 55 - 81 |
| 1999-12-29 | @ | Tulane | L | 63 - 76 |
| 2000-01-02 | @ | North Carolina | L | 53 - 86 |
| 2000-01-08 | vs | North Carolina A&T | W | 69 - 62 |
| 2000-01-10 | vs | South Carolina State | L | 63 - 71 |
| 2000-01-15 | @ | Hampton | L | 82 - 99 |
| 2000-01-20 | @ | Norfolk State | L | 85 - 97 |
| 2000-01-22 | @ | Bethune-Cookman | L | 70 - 95 |
| 2000-01-24 | vs | Florida A&M | L | 67 - 73 |
| 2000-01-26 | @ | Morgan State | L | 74 - 76 |
| 2000-01-31 | @ | Maryland–Eastern Shore | L | 81 - 94 |
| 2000-02-02 | @ | Delaware State | L | 76 - 83 |
| 2000-02-05 | vs | Coppin State | L | 61 - 86 |
| 2000-02-07 | vs | Morgan State | L | 72 - 79 |
| 2000-02-12 | @ | North Carolina A&T | L | 72 - 106 |
| 2000-02-14 | @ | South Carolina State | L | 60 - 89 |
| 2000-02-19 | vs | Hampton | L | 61 - 86 |
| 2000-02-21 | vs | Norfolk State | L | 88 - 91 |
| 2000-02-26 | vs | Delaware State | L | 72 - 75 |
| 2000-03-01 | vs | Maryland–Eastern Shore | L | 64 - 69 |
| 2000-03-03 | @ | Coppin State | L | 65 - 108 |
| 2000-03-06 | N | North Carolina A&T | L | 69 - 94 |
2000 Roster
No roster data available for this season.