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Howard Payne

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Howard Payne
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1036 (#151) HCA +95 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +9.2 (#168) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.275 (#451) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.1 More → 0.259 (#515) AdjNet -9.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -8.9 More → 0.262 (#514) AdjNet -8.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 84.8 | AdjD 92.6 More → 0.329 (#530) AdjO 84.8 | AdjD 92.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 78.6 | AdjD 72.9 More → 0.627 (#121) AdjO 78.6 | AdjD 72.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.727 (#117) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.711 (#121) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 232 | GP 2 More → 1201 (#47) RD 232 | GP 2

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-06 vs Dist. Columbia W 103 - 71
2025-12-06 vs Bowie St. W 85 - 69
2026-01-19 vs Morehouse W 78 - 69

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Cedric Taylor III - 1 36.5 16.0 13.0 7.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 17.0 19.0 31 1.4 10.0 35.3 33.3 50.0 1.34 44.7 44.1
Ose Okojie - 3 25.5 15.7 2.0 2.0 1.7 0.0 1.0 10.0 10.3 - - - 66.7 33.3 50.0 - 66.6 68.3
Bryce Harris - 3 26.0 14.0 5.0 3.7 0.0 0.3 2.0 8.3 12.7 -86 -4.3 -22.1 40.0 20.0 76.9 -1.02 57.6 44.0
Cam Gillus - 3 29.7 13.3 3.3 4.3 2.0 0.0 1.7 5.7 15.7 - - - 64.7 44.4 82.4 - 81.7 76.5
Alex Cotton - 3 24.0 9.7 6.0 2.0 0.7 0.3 0.7 8.7 9.3 - - - 38.5 36.8 100.0 - 53.9 51.9
Travelle Bryson - 2 25.2 9.5 6.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 10.0 7.0 - - - 40.0 16.7 50.0 - 43.7 42.5
Danas Kazakevicius - 3 14.9 6.3 2.7 2.3 0.3 0.0 2.0 4.0 5.7 - - - 66.7 0 75.0 - 69.0 66.7
Ed Holland III - 2 12.1 6.0 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.5 4.0 - - - 57.1 50.0 75.0 - 68.5 64.3
Calvin Robins Jr. - 3 9.4 5.3 4.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.0 2.0 7.3 15 1.7 378.9 100.0 0 50.0 1.12 84.0 100.0
BJ Powell - 3 6.3 2.7 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.3 1.7 1.7 - - - 40.0 0 80.0 - 55.6 40.0
Julian Johnson - 2 8.8 2.5 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 32 2.5 50.0 33.3 0 50.0 1.6 36.3 33.3
Jeremiah Johnson - 2 12.9 2.5 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.5 32 2.5 50.0 33.3 33.3 0 1.6 41.7 41.7
Isaiah Brown - 2 10.8 2.0 1.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 4.5 - - - 66.7 0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Shane Frazier - 2 2.8 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 - - - 50.0 0 0.0 - 34.7 50.0
Stefan Isailovic - 2 2.8 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 53.2 0.0
River Smith - 2 2.6 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 14 1.3 9.5 0 0 0.0 2.81 0.0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG