Howard Bison
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1029 (#148) | Preseason prior 1096 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1067, returning +36, transfers -7, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1035 (#133) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1034 (#133) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +4.8 (#123) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +4.7 (#124) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.437 (#168) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.554 (#140) | AdjNet +0.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.567 (#141) | AdjNet +1.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.582 (#122) | AdjO 70.1 | AdjD 67.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.579 (#124) | AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 67.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.560 (#144) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.560 (#144) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1018 (#144) | RD 171 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.566 (#136) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | @ | Missouri Tigers | L | 88 - 91 |
| 2026-11-06 | vs | Elon Phoenix | W | 76 - 69 |
| 2026-11-10 | @ | Marshall Thundering Herd | L | 66 - 76 |
| 2026-11-12 | @ | Iowa State Cyclones | L | 55 - 77 |
| 2026-11-15 | @ | Georgetown Hoyas | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-18 | vs | Ohio Bobcats | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-20 | vs | George Washington Revolutionaries | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zoe Stewart
|
G | 4 | 30.0 | 16.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 16.2 | 2.5 | -5 | 4 | -1.2 | -1.8 | 35.4 | 53.3 | 76.9 | 1.93 | 45.2 | 41.5 |
Sa'lah Hemingway
|
F | 1 | 33.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 14.0 | -7 | 1 | -7.0 | -8.2 | 83.3 | 100.0 | 50.0 | -0.09 | 94.5 | 100.0 |
Ariella Henigan
|
G | 4 | 26.5 | 10.0 | 3.5 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 11.2 | 4.2 | -26 | 4 | -6.5 | -9.8 | 31.1 | 14.3 | 68.8 | -1.35 | 38.4 | 32.2 |
Destiny Bynum-Johnson
|
G | 4 | 29.2 | 7.5 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 8.2 | 8.2 | -13 | 4 | -3.2 | -4.5 | 36.4 | 22.2 | 50.0 | 2.38 | 43.2 | 42.4 |
April Edwards
|
G | 4 | 21.0 | 6.8 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 8.0 | 1.2 | -40 | 4 | -10.0 | -19.2 | 25.0 | 23.5 | 70.0 | -2.31 | 37.1 | 31.2 |
Rayne Durant
|
F | 4 | 18.5 | 5.8 | 6.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 7.2 | -40 | 4 | -10.0 | -21.7 | 38.9 | 0 | 81.8 | -3.89 | 50.4 | 38.9 |
Jada Kendrick
|
F | 4 | 14.8 | 5.0 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 7.5 | 10 | 4 | 2.5 | 7.3 | 54.5 | 0 | 66.7 | 2.3 | 61.4 | 54.5 |
Dally Moreno
|
F | 4 | 10.0 | 4.8 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 5.5 | 0 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 45.5 | 40.0 | 87.5 | -0.87 | 65.4 | 54.5 |
Indiah Hutchinson
|
G | 4 | 13.2 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 5.0 | 2.5 | -2 | 4 | -0.5 | -1.5 | 30.0 | 50.0 | 62.5 | 1.17 | 38.3 | 32.5 |
Saniya Jones
|
F | 4 | 10.8 | 3.5 | 4.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 6.2 | -3 | 4 | -0.8 | -2.8 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.19 | 94.1 | 100.0 |
Kearra Jones
|
F | 4 | 17.2 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 3.2 | -15 | 4 | -3.8 | -9.0 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -1.07 | 47.5 | 40.0 |
Emma Nuquay
|
G | 4 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | -7 | 4 | -1.8 | -36.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.75 | 38.7 | 33.3 |
Kennedy Deese
|
F | 3 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | -8 | 3 | -2.7 | -30.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -1.67 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
Penelope Swarn
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Dylan Watson
|
G | 2 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 9.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.84 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
262 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Zoe StewartAriella HeniganDestiny Bynum-JohnsonApril EdwardsRayne DurantSaniya JonesIndiah Hutchinson
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 25-35 | 71.4 | 50 | Saniya Jones 24% (12 pts) | Destiny Bynum-Johnson 20% (10 pts) | Indiah Hutchinson 30% (3 misses) | Zoe Stewart 20% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 25-79 | 31.6 | 50 | Ariella Henigan 16% (8 pts) | Indiah Hutchinson 16% (8 pts) | Ariella Henigan 24% (13 misses) | Zoe Stewart 24% (13 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 7-22 | 31.8 | 14 | Zoe Stewart 57% (8 pts) | April Edwards 14% (2 pts) | Zoe Stewart 33% (5 misses) | Ariella Henigan 20% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 5-9 | 55.6 | 10 | Rayne Durant 40% (4 pts) | Zoe Stewart 40% (4 pts) | Zoe Stewart 75% (3 misses) | Rayne Durant 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 14-49 | 28.6 | 28 | Ariella Henigan 29% (8 pts) | Zoe Stewart 29% (8 pts) | Zoe Stewart 34% (12 misses) | Ariella Henigan 23% (8 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 0-2 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Destiny Bynum-Johnson 50% (1 misses) | Zoe Stewart 50% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 0-2 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Destiny Bynum-Johnson 100% (2 misses) | - |
| Above-break 3 left | 10-31 | 32.3 | 30 | Zoe Stewart 50% (15 pts) | Destiny Bynum-Johnson 20% (6 pts) | April Edwards 33% (7 misses) | Destiny Bynum-Johnson 24% (5 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 2-7 | 28.6 | 6 | April Edwards 50% (3 pts) | Dally Moreno 50% (3 pts) | April Edwards 60% (3 misses) | Destiny Bynum-Johnson 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 10-26 | 38.5 | 30 | Zoe Stewart 30% (9 pts) | April Edwards 20% (6 pts) | Ariella Henigan 31% (5 misses) | Destiny Bynum-Johnson 31% (5 misses) |