🐻⬇️🏀

Houston Rockets

Season: 2026-2027 2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 2019-2020 2018-2019 2017-2018
Also known as: Houston Rockets
Program History

2026-2027 Team Stats (10 games)

116.0
PPG
107.0
Opp
+9.0
Margin
47.9%
FG%
37.6%
3P%
82.0%
FT%
43.9
RPG
26.9
APG
14.6
TO
99.0
Est. poss./game
116.8
Adj PPG
105.7
Adj Opp PPG
#4
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1066 (#9) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +8 elo More → 1122 (#6) HCA +8 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +7 elo More → 1091 (#6) HCA +7 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +0.5 More → +8.8 (#4) HCA +0.5
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +0.2 More → +8.8 (#4) HCA +0.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.681 (#6) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +10.1 More → 0.665 (#4) AdjNet +10.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +10.1 More → 0.665 (#4) AdjNet +10.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 116.8 | AdjD 105.7 More → 0.669 (#4) AdjO 116.8 | AdjD 105.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 116.1 | AdjD 105.7 More → 0.663 (#4) AdjO 116.1 | AdjD 105.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.694 (#4) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.692 (#4) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 125 | GP 10 More → 1115 (#8) RD 125 | GP 10
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More → 0.645 (#3) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-10-21 vs Dallas Mavericks W 128 - 110
2026-10-23 @ San Antonio Spurs W 114 - 110
2026-10-24 @ Atlanta Hawks W 121 - 114
2026-10-26 vs Atlanta Hawks W 120 - 110
2026-10-28 @ Milwaukee Bucks W 132 - 100
2026-10-30 @ Dallas Mavericks L 111 - 116
2026-10-31 vs Oklahoma City Thunder W 119 - 98
2026-11-02 vs Boston Celtics W 109 - 93
2026-11-04 vs Minnesota Timberwolves L 107 - 117
2026-11-07 @ Phoenix Suns L 99 - 102
2026-11-09 vs Denver Nuggets - Preview
2026-11-11 vs Golden State Warriors - Preview
2026-11-13 vs Utah Jazz - Preview
2026-11-15 @ Washington Wizards - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Alperen Sengun Alperen Sengun C 8 34.8 21.5 8.8 7.8 1.1 1.1 3.1 15.6 21.5 95 6 15.8 18.1 51.2 50.0 76.6 1.64 59.0 54.4
Kevin Durant Kevin Durant Not Available 10 34.2 20.8 5.7 3.1 0.7 1.4 3.0 12.6 16.1 63 8 7.9 9.5 50.8 35.9 84.6 1.54 64.9 56.3
Jabari Smith Jr. Jabari Smith Jr. F 10 35.0 17.3 6.4 2.3 0.9 1.0 1.0 11.8 15.1 89 8 11.1 12.8 50.8 47.5 86.2 1.54 66.2 62.7
Amen Thompson Amen Thompson G 10 33.2 15.6 6.4 3.0 1.2 0.6 1.7 11.8 13.3 4 8 0.5 0.6 50.8 22.2 77.3 1.0 56.8 51.7
Fred VanVleet Fred VanVleet G 8 30.1 13.4 3.5 6.0 1.2 0.2 1.5 11.1 11.8 60 6 10.0 13.5 40.4 35.5 86.7 0.89 56.0 52.8
Reed Sheppard Reed Sheppard G 7 20.6 10.0 2.0 3.1 1.6 0.0 1.3 9.6 5.9 27 6 4.5 8.3 37.3 32.0 100.0 -0.3 50.9 49.3
Tari Eason Tari Eason F 10 24.4 9.4 6.0 1.3 1.1 1.2 1.4 8.4 9.2 39 8 4.9 8.1 42.9 25.0 93.3 0.91 51.9 47.6
Marcus Smart Marcus Smart G 7 22.6 9.1 2.7 2.1 1.1 0.1 1.9 7.1 6.3 23 5 4.6 7.9 42.0 37.1 81.8 1.3 58.4 55.0
Bogdan Bogdanovic Bogdan Bogdanovic G 10 11.2 5.0 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.6 3.5 3.3 24 8 3.0 9.4 48.6 43.5 100.0 -0.21 66.4 62.9
Steven Adams Steven Adams C 1 9.0 4.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.0 - - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Clint Capela Clint Capela C 6 14.2 3.2 5.2 1.7 0.8 0.7 0.8 2.3 8.3 19 6 3.2 8.9 64.3 0 50.0 0.25 63.8 64.3
Oscar Tshiebwe Oscar Tshiebwe C 6 6.8 2.8 2.0 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.5 3.8 15 5 3.0 15.4 88.9 0 25.0 -0.26 79.0 88.9
Isaiah Crawford Isaiah Crawford F 6 5.2 2.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.5 1.2 8 6 1.3 10.6 55.6 50.0 0 -0.35 77.8 77.8
Bruce Thornton Bruce Thornton - 6 3.2 2.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.5 0.7 - - - - 55.6 50.0 0 - 66.7 66.7
Jae'Sean Tate Jae'Sean Tate F 6 2.7 0.0 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.2 -11 6 -1.8 -27.8 0.0 0.0 0 -0.98 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

767 located field-goal attempts in 9 games (NBA Stats). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Thompson25% Sengun23% Durant50% VanVleet31% Durant47% Smart25% Smith33% VanVleet25% Durant40% Smith28%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Thompson26% Sengun28% Durant33% Thompson25% Smith26% Eason24% Eason32% Sheppard24% Smith27% VanVleet32%
Misses: who misses most here

Jabari Smith Jr.Kevin DurantAlperen SengunAmen ThompsonFred VanVleetTari EasonReed SheppardMarcus Smart

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 153-210 72.9 306 Amen Thompson 25% (78 pts) Alperen Sengun 24% (72 pts) Amen Thompson 26% (15 misses) Alperen Sengun 21% (12 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 57-153 37.3 114 Alperen Sengun 23% (26 pts) Kevin Durant 19% (22 pts) Alperen Sengun 28% (27 misses) Amen Thompson 23% (22 misses)
Mid-range left 14-35 40.0 28 Kevin Durant 50% (14 pts) Jabari Smith Jr. 21% (6 pts) Kevin Durant 33% (7 misses) Fred VanVleet 19% (4 misses)
Mid-range center 16-24 66.7 32 Fred VanVleet 31% (10 pts) Kevin Durant 31% (10 pts) Amen Thompson 25% (2 misses) Fred VanVleet 25% (2 misses)
Mid-range right 19-42 45.2 38 Kevin Durant 47% (18 pts) Fred VanVleet 16% (6 pts) Jabari Smith Jr. 26% (6 misses) Kevin Durant 26% (6 misses)
Left corner 3 16-41 39.0 48 Marcus Smart 25% (12 pts) Bogdan Bogdanović 19% (9 pts) Tari Eason 24% (6 misses) Marcus Smart 20% (5 misses)
Right corner 3 15-46 32.6 45 Jabari Smith Jr. 33% (15 pts) Bogdan Bogdanović 20% (9 pts) Tari Eason 32% (10 misses) Kevin Durant 16% (5 misses)
Above-break 3 left 32-82 39.0 96 Fred VanVleet 25% (24 pts) Jabari Smith Jr. 19% (18 pts) Reed Sheppard 24% (12 misses) Fred VanVleet 22% (11 misses)
Above-break 3 center 15-45 33.3 45 Kevin Durant 40% (18 pts) Jabari Smith Jr. 27% (12 pts) Jabari Smith Jr. 27% (8 misses) Reed Sheppard 23% (7 misses)
Above-break 3 right 39-89 43.8 117 Jabari Smith Jr. 28% (33 pts) Fred VanVleet 18% (21 pts) Fred VanVleet 32% (16 misses) Reed Sheppard 12% (6 misses)