Houston
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1047 (#135) | Preseason prior 952 (returning production + recruiting): last season 923, returning -109, transfers +138, freshmen +0 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1027 (#138) | HCA +169 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1028 (#137) | HCA +169 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +2.1 (#143) | HCA +1.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +2.1 (#144) | HCA +1.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.777 (#97) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.659 (#106) | AdjNet +12.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.680 (#104) | AdjNet +13.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.602 (#109) | AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 61.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.603 (#109) | AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 61.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.623 (#115) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.623 (#115) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1063 (#118) | RD 173 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More โ | 0.599 (#124) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Hampton Lady Pirates | W | 73 - 65 |
| 2026-11-05 | vs | Sam Houston Bearkats | W | 78 - 50 |
| 2026-11-10 | vs | Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks | W | 89 - 59 |
| 2026-11-13 | @ | Montana Lady Griz | W | 81 - 73 |
| 2026-11-17 | vs | Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-21 | vs | Houston Christian Huskies | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Esmeralda Enriquez
|
G | 4 | 28.0 | 19.2 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 10.5 | 13.0 | 69 | 4 | 17.2 | 24.9 | 59.5 | 38.9 | 71.4 | 4.02 | 70.9 | 67.9 |
Raegan McCowan
|
G | 4 | 31.0 | 14.5 | 7.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 9.8 | 10.8 | 54 | 4 | 13.5 | 17.5 | 59.0 | 40.0 | 71.4 | 1.61 | 64.2 | 61.5 |
Kaelyn Hamilton
|
G | 3 | 25.7 | 10.3 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 7.7 | 7.3 | 54 | 3 | 18.0 | 28.5 | 56.5 | 71.4 | 0 | 3.07 | 67.4 | 67.4 |
Marta Llompart
|
G | 4 | 28.5 | 10.2 | 5.2 | 6.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 7.2 | 14.0 | 86 | 4 | 21.5 | 30.2 | 48.3 | 42.9 | 43.5 | 5.62 | 52.4 | 53.4 |
Elodie Lutbert
|
C | 4 | 17.8 | 7.0 | 7.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 5.8 | 9.5 | 42 | 4 | 10.5 | 23.5 | 52.2 | 0 | 57.1 | 2.87 | 53.7 | 52.2 |
Kayla King
|
G | 4 | 16.2 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 5.0 | 5.2 | 12 | 4 | 3.0 | 7.4 | 35.0 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -0.98 | 48.6 | 40.0 |
Alyvia McCorkle
|
G | 4 | 15.2 | 5.0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 5.8 | 2.0 | 10 | 4 | 2.5 | 6.5 | 30.4 | 28.6 | 50.0 | -0.08 | 37.7 | 34.8 |
Jorynn Ross
|
F | 4 | 15.2 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 26 | 4 | 6.5 | 17.1 | 80.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.28 | 76.5 | 80.0 |
Madison Carlton
|
F | 4 | 17.2 | 3.8 | 6.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4.2 | 7.5 | 30 | 4 | 7.5 | 17.7 | 35.3 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.72 | 40.0 | 35.3 |
Janiyah Williams
|
G | 2 | 13.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 4.5 | -1.0 | -13 | 2 | -6.5 | -19.6 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | -3.94 | 38.9 | 38.9 |
Tamia King
|
F | 3 | 5.7 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | -6 | 3 | -2.0 | -13.9 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | -1.45 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
Justice Carlton
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Jemma Hunter
|
F | 1 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -4 | 1 | -4.0 | -53.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.29 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
236 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Esmeralda EnriquezRaegan McCowanElodie LutbertAlyvia McCorkleKayla KingMadison CarltonJaniyah Williams
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 47-63 | 74.6 | 94 | Esmeralda Enriquez 21% (20 pts) | Raegan McCowan 19% (18 pts) | Elodie Lutbert 31% (5 misses) | Marta Llompart 19% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 29-74 | 39.2 | 58 | Esmeralda Enriquez 21% (12 pts) | Elodie Lutbert 17% (10 pts) | Alyvia McCorkle 13% (6 misses) | Marta Llompart 13% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 7-18 | 38.9 | 14 | Janiyah Williams 29% (4 pts) | Raegan McCowan 29% (4 pts) | Raegan McCowan 27% (3 misses) | Kaelyn Hamilton 18% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 3-5 | 60.0 | 6 | Esmeralda Enriquez 33% (2 pts) | Jorynn Ross 33% (2 pts) | Madison Carlton 50% (1 misses) | Marta Llompart 50% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 11-19 | 57.9 | 22 | Raegan McCowan 45% (10 pts) | Marta Llompart 27% (6 pts) | Alyvia McCorkle 38% (3 misses) | Raegan McCowan 25% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 7-10 | 70.0 | 21 | Esmeralda Enriquez 43% (9 pts) | Kaelyn Hamilton 29% (6 pts) | Esmeralda Enriquez 33% (1 misses) | Kaelyn Hamilton 33% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 0-1 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Esmeralda Enriquez 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Above-break 3 left | 6-16 | 37.5 | 18 | Esmeralda Enriquez 33% (6 pts) | Alyvia McCorkle 17% (3 pts) | Esmeralda Enriquez 40% (4 misses) | Marta Llompart 20% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 2-10 | 20.0 | 6 | Kayla King 50% (3 pts) | Marta Llompart 50% (3 pts) | Alyvia McCorkle 38% (3 misses) | Esmeralda Enriquez 25% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 7-20 | 35.0 | 21 | Esmeralda Enriquez 29% (6 pts) | Kaelyn Hamilton 29% (6 pts) | Kayla King 38% (5 misses) | Esmeralda Enriquez 23% (3 misses) |