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Houston Comets

Also known as: Houston Comets
Program History

2008 Team Stats (33 games)

74.9
PPG
76.5
Opp
-1.6
Margin
41.4%
FG%
31.3%
3P%
76.4%
FT%
34.8
RPG
16.1
APG
15.4
TO
-
Est. poss./game
73.6
Adj PPG
74.6
Adj Opp PPG
#11
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2008
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1009 (#8) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1011 (#8) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More โ†’ 1006 (#9) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -0.9 (#11) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -2.1 (#12) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.450 (#12) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.1 More โ†’ 0.468 (#11) AdjNet -1.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.1 More โ†’ 0.467 (#11) AdjNet -1.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 74.6 More โ†’ 0.479 (#11) AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 74.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 74.6 | AdjD 76.5 More โ†’ 0.455 (#12) AdjO 74.6 | AdjD 76.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.482 (#11) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.477 (#11) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 133 | GP 34 More โ†’ 995 (#9) RD 133 | GP 34
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Earlier model estimate; no qualified current forecast. More โ†’ Legacy estimate Earlier model estimate; no qualified current forecast.

2008 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2008-05-17 @ Detroit Shock L 66 - 85
2008-05-25 @ Washington Mystics L 66 - 69
2008-05-27 vs Minnesota Lynx L 92 - 98
2008-05-30 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 66 - 73
2008-06-01 @ Seattle Storm L 63 - 64
2008-06-03 vs San Antonio Silver Stars W 75 - 72
2008-06-06 @ New York Liberty L 73 - 81
2008-06-07 @ Indiana Fever L 75 - 84
2008-06-14 vs Seattle Storm W 68 - 60
2008-06-16 vs Atlanta Dream W 88 - 79
2008-06-18 vs Washington Mystics L 63 - 67
2008-06-21 @ Minnesota Lynx W 72 - 65
2008-06-24 @ San Antonio Silver Stars W 82 - 81
2008-06-26 vs San Antonio Silver Stars W 77 - 71
2008-06-28 vs Indiana Fever W 75 - 61
2008-07-01 @ Connecticut Sun L 68 - 78
2008-07-03 @ Atlanta Dream W 72 - 65
2008-07-05 vs Sacramento Monarchs W 73 - 65
2008-07-08 @ Phoenix Mercury L 94 - 99
2008-07-09 @ Los Angeles Sparks L 74 - 82
2008-07-12 @ Minnesota Lynx L 71 - 85
2008-07-17 vs Minnesota Lynx W 96 - 88
2008-07-19 vs Los Angeles Sparks W 75 - 72
2008-07-22 vs Phoenix Mercury W 94 - 92
2008-07-24 vs Detroit Shock W 79 - 61
2008-07-26 vs Chicago Sky W 79 - 65
2008-08-28 @ Seattle Storm L 49 - 66
2008-08-30 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 65 - 80
2008-09-02 vs New York Liberty L 87 - 90
2008-09-06 vs Los Angeles Sparks L 66 - 84
2008-09-07 @ Phoenix Mercury L 74 - 99
2008-09-09 vs Connecticut Sun W 75 - 68
2008-09-12 vs Sacramento Monarchs - Postponed
2008-09-14 @ Chicago Sky W 79 - 76
2008-09-15 vs Sacramento Monarchs W 90 - 81

2008 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tina Thompson Tina Thompson F 27 34.8 17.4 6.8 2.2 1.0 0.6 3.7 15.0 9.3 - - - - 40.5 40.0 86.2 - 51.9 46.4
Tony Robertson Tony Robertson - 31 24.6 10.2 6.9 1.2 0.6 0.9 1.8 7.2 10.7 - - - - 52.0 50.0 70.7 - 57.5 52.2
Paul Seymour Paul Seymour - 21 24.6 8.6 3.1 1.8 1.1 0.1 1.8 9.0 3.9 - - - - 39.5 16.7 87.5 - 44.1 40.0
John Bryant John Bryant - 25 22.0 8.1 3.4 1.5 1.3 0.3 2.2 7.0 5.3 - - - - 49.4 50.0 69.2 - 52.3 49.7
Dirk Nowitzki Dirk Nowitzki - 26 17.0 8.0 6.1 0.9 1.4 0.9 1.2 5.7 10.4 - - - - 57.8 0 74.5 - 61.4 57.8
Roneeka Hodges Roneeka Hodges F 12 18.3 7.8 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.7 6.8 4.2 - - - - 42.7 36.2 100.0 - 56.1 55.5
Matee Ajavon Matee Ajavon G 31 16.5 7.8 1.6 1.7 0.9 0.2 1.6 8.2 2.3 - - - - 31.8 18.8 77.9 - 41.1 34.1
Shannon Johnson Shannon Johnson NA 31 30.3 7.6 3.3 5.2 1.5 0.3 2.5 6.5 9.1 - - - - 36.3 32.0 75.0 - 50.2 44.0
Mwadi Mabika Mwadi Mabika NA 18 14.8 4.3 1.8 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.6 4.9 1.8 - - - - 29.5 24.5 68.4 - 40.5 36.9
M. Bass M. Bass F 26 11.0 4.3 2.5 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.9 3.2 4.0 - - - - 53.0 0 55.8 - 54.9 53.0
Erica White Erica White NA 31 11.4 3.4 1.5 1.2 0.7 0.1 1.4 2.6 2.8 - - - - 29.6 14.3 89.1 - 48.6 30.2
Sequoia Holmes Sequoia Holmes G 15 11.5 2.9 2.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.9 3.9 1.3 - - - - 23.7 20.0 76.5 - 33.1 26.3
Latasha Byears Latasha Byears NA 10 4.0 1.6 1.2 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.1 1.6 1.5 - - - - 43.8 0 66.7 - 46.2 43.8
Ashley Shields Ashley Shields NA 3 3.7 0.7 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 2.3 -1.3 - - - - 0.0 0.0 50.0 - 11.4 0.0
Marcedes Walker Marcedes Walker NA 2 5.0 0.0 3.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.0 2.0 0.5 - - - - 0.0 0 0.0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2008 Shot Zones

2203 located field-goal attempts in 34 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Robertson19% Robertson25% Seymour23% Seymour26% Thompson31% Hodges36% Hodges64% Thompson49% Thompson64% Johnson33%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Robertson15% Thompson24% Ajavon19% Ajavon20% Thompson27% Hodges31% Hodges47% Thompson29% Thompson42% Johnson24%
Misses: who misses most here

Tina ThompsonTony RobertsonMatee AjavonShannon JohnsonPaul SeymourRoneeka Hodges

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 412-742 55.5 824 Tony Robertson 19% (154 pts) Dirk Nowitzki 15% (126 pts) Tony Robertson 15% (48 misses) Matee Ajavon 14% (47 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 128-326 39.3 256 Tony Robertson 25% (64 pts) Dirk Nowitzki 19% (48 pts) Tina Thompson 24% (47 misses) Tony Robertson 21% (41 misses)
Mid-range left 98-306 32.0 196 Paul Seymour 23% (46 pts) Tina Thompson 23% (46 pts) Matee Ajavon 19% (39 misses) Paul Seymour 19% (39 misses)
Mid-range center 27-67 40.3 54 Paul Seymour 26% (14 pts) Matee Ajavon 19% (10 pts) Matee Ajavon 20% (8 misses) Tina Thompson 15% (6 misses)
Mid-range right 106-289 36.7 212 Tina Thompson 31% (66 pts) Paul Seymour 20% (42 pts) Tina Thompson 27% (49 misses) Paul Seymour 18% (33 misses)
Left corner 3 11-24 45.8 33 Roneeka Hodges 36% (12 pts) Tina Thompson 36% (12 pts) Roneeka Hodges 31% (4 misses) Mwadi Mabika 23% (3 misses)
Right corner 3 11-47 23.4 33 Roneeka Hodges 64% (21 pts) Shannon Johnson 18% (6 pts) Roneeka Hodges 47% (17 misses) Shannon Johnson 22% (8 misses)
Above-break 3 left 53-165 32.1 159 Tina Thompson 49% (78 pts) Shannon Johnson 17% (27 pts) Tina Thompson 29% (33 misses) Matee Ajavon 16% (18 misses)
Above-break 3 center 25-78 32.1 75 Tina Thompson 64% (48 pts) Shannon Johnson 12% (9 pts) Tina Thompson 42% (22 misses) Matee Ajavon 21% (11 misses)
Above-break 3 right 52-159 32.7 156 Shannon Johnson 33% (51 pts) Mwadi Mabika 17% (27 pts) Shannon Johnson 24% (26 misses) Tina Thompson 22% (24 misses)