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Hope

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Hope
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1106 (#97) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1110 (#125) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1069 (#135) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +2.2 (#96) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -3.1 (#394) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.720 (#339) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.9 More → 0.714 (#270) AdjNet +7.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.6 More → 0.708 (#269) AdjNet +7.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 70.5 More → 0.618 (#275) AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 70.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 72.3 More → 0.528 (#340) AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 72.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.540 (#367) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.544 (#374) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 21 More → 1120 (#143) RD 104 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Anderson (IN) W 98 - 83
2025-11-08 @ Franklin L 58 - 73
2025-11-12 @ Elmhurst L 66 - 71
2025-11-15 vs Wheaton (IL) W 76 - 75
2025-12-05 @ Ohio Northern W 71 - 64
2025-12-06 @ Ohio Wesleyan W 60 - 59
2025-12-13 vs Wis.-Platteville W 84 - 74
2025-12-17 vs North Central (IL) L 58 - 65
2025-12-19 vs Wis.-Whitewater L 92 - 95
2026-01-02 vs WashU L 65 - 72
2026-01-03 vs Muskingum L 93 - 98
2026-01-07 vs Trine W 82 - 80
2026-01-10 @ Olivet W 67 - 65
2026-01-14 vs Adrian W 86 - 76
2026-01-17 vs Alma W 80 - 64
2026-01-21 @ Kalamazoo W 74 - 66
2026-01-24 vs Calvin L 65 - 80
2026-01-28 vs Albion W 95 - 72
2026-01-31 @ Adrian W 85 - 75
2026-02-04 vs Kalamazoo W 75 - 62
2026-02-07 @ Alma W 80 - 48

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Parker Hovey - 18 30.9 17.9 7.3 2.7 2.0 2.2 2.6 11.8 17.7 16 0.9 9.9 53.5 29.0 70.5 1.26 60.6 55.6
Brendan Cargill - 21 28.1 13.6 3.7 1.3 1.3 0.0 1.5 9.8 8.7 42 2.0 10.7 47.3 38.2 87.5 1.48 62.1 57.6
Marcus Wourman - 21 29.0 12.0 3.0 1.4 1.5 0.0 1.1 10.8 6.1 41 2.0 10.2 37.2 29.0 72.8 2.8 47.5 41.2
Orion Yant - 20 15.9 8.4 4.7 0.9 0.9 0.8 1.1 5.2 9.3 45 2.2 18.4 62.5 57.1 56.7 1.59 64.4 64.4
Justice Mims - 20 20.0 6.7 3.3 1.1 0.8 0.1 1.0 5.8 5.2 25 1.2 9.0 46.1 6.7 83.9 1.93 52.1 47.0
Avery Sanchez - 20 17.5 6.4 1.9 1.4 0.5 0.0 1.0 5.0 4.2 -8 -0.4 -3.8 40.0 37.8 86.1 1.03 55.2 48.5
Kyle Blauch - 16 11.7 5.1 2.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.7 4.2 3.8 9 0.6 6.1 58.2 0.0 50.0 0.48 58.1 58.2
Simon Neuhaus - 20 13.3 2.5 1.9 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.7 2.0 3.2 -46 -2.3 -19.7 41.5 18.2 68.2 0.65 50.3 43.9
Charles Howell - 20 16.3 2.4 2.8 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.8 2.2 4.0 25 1.2 10.5 40.0 0.0 54.5 -0.26 43.9 40.0
Brady Miller - 14 8.1 2.1 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.4 2.3 1.2 -10 -0.6 -75.5 31.2 6.7 80.0 0.67 39.8 32.8
Jared Ryg - 17 8.5 1.9 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.7 1.5 -13 -0.8 -20.0 37.9 29.4 75.0 -0.36 50.7 46.6
Sean Wesolek - 11 5.6 1.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.4 1.3 1.6 10 0.9 10.5 50.0 50.0 60.0 0.33 64.8 64.3
Justin Fisher - 2 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.5 - - - 33.3 50.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Brett Bultsma - 5 3.0 1.4 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 1.8 5 0.8 31.9 100.0 100.0 100.0 1.73 126.8 150.0
Carter Bishop - 17 6.3 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.3 -11 -0.6 -8.9 26.1 15.8 60.0 -1.99 35.7 32.6
Sam Carlson - 9 9.2 1.0 1.7 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.7 37 4.1 22.9 40.0 0.0 100.0 1.78 43.1 40.0
Deven Marathe - 4 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 7 1.8 77.4 100.0 100.0 0 1.4 150.0 150.0
Neal Ihme - 6 2.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 1.0 7 1.2 34.4 100.0 0 100.0 1.56 106.4 100.0
Carson Sanders - 3 2.1 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 1 1.0 15.7 50.0 0 0 0.28 50.0 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG