Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 934 (#358) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 868 (#397) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -14.4 (#312) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.108 (#628) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.177 (#330) | NetEff -10.7 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.049 (#605) | AdjNet -25.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.042 (#605) | AdjNet -26.5 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.207 (#573) | AdjO 49.9 | AdjD 64.6 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | St. Mary's (MD) | L | 64 - 77 |
| 2024-11-10 | @ | Longwood | L | 21 - 102 |
| 2024-11-12 | vs | Waynesburg | L | 60 - 74 |
| 2024-11-15 | @ | Bridgewater (VA) | L | 48 - 60 |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | Mount Aloysius | L | 53 - 65 |
| 2024-11-24 | @ | East. Mennonite | L | 52 - 59 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Carlow | W | 76 - 64 |
| 2024-12-12 | vs | Ferrum | W | 58 - 50 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | McDaniel | L | 40 - 46 |
| 2024-12-18 | vs | Wilson | W | 67 - 58 |
| 2024-12-29 | vs | Hollins | W | 59 - 49 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Dickinson | L | 43 - 59 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Widener | L | 46 - 71 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | Messiah | L | 44 - 59 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | Albright | W | 68 - 59 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Eastern | L | 47 - 50 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Stevenson | L | 44 - 56 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | York (PA) | L | 58 - 82 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Alvernia | L | 59 - 63 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Messiah | L | 43 - 70 |
| 2025-02-05 | @ | Albright | W | 56 - 51 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Widener | L | 70 - 77 |
| 2025-02-13 | vs | Stevenson | W | 54 - 50 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Eastern | W | 76 - 49 |
| 2025-02-18 | @ | Alvernia | L | 50 - 58 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | York (PA) | L | 61 - 70 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chanelle Lee | - | 26 | 28.7 | 12.5 | 6.6 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 3.1 | 11.9 | 7.5 | -83 | -3.5 | -3.6 | 39.5 | 21.6 | 74.1 | -0.24 | 47.1 | 42.6 |
| Aliyah Taylor | - | 26 | 27.2 | 8.3 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 3.6 | 7.7 | 3.3 | -103 | -4.3 | -4.6 | 39.7 | 11.1 | 51.9 | -0.85 | 43.8 | 40.2 |
| Kourtney Johnson | - | 25 | 19.6 | 8.1 | 5.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 7.2 | 6.1 | -26 | -0.8 | -1.1 | 45.3 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.38 | 47.1 | 45.3 |
| Tiffany Manning | - | 20 | 25.8 | 7.7 | 7.0 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 7.2 | 8.6 | -49 | -2.7 | -3.1 | 38.2 | 0 | 60.6 | 0.3 | 43.7 | 38.2 |
| Maya Gordon | - | 23 | 25.8 | 6.0 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 6.9 | 2.5 | -54 | -1.8 | -2.0 | 28.9 | 26.5 | 69.4 | -0.24 | 38.5 | 33.0 |
| Amari Faust | - | 25 | 20.8 | 4.2 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 5.0 | 2.8 | -31 | -1.3 | -1.9 | 30.2 | 21.7 | 78.3 | -0.26 | 38.2 | 34.1 |
| Na'Vaye Quarles | - | 18 | 9.8 | 2.8 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 2.9 | 0.6 | 29 | 2.4 | 4.9 | 32.1 | 13.3 | 75.0 | 0.19 | 41.3 | 34.0 |
| Serenity Ritchie | - | 26 | 15.0 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 2.0 | -91 | -2.8 | -5.0 | 31.2 | 10.0 | 58.1 | -0.49 | 37.0 | 31.8 |
| Libby Kiley | - | 20 | 16.5 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 1.8 | -8 | -0.5 | -0.7 | 34.8 | 34.2 | 36.4 | 0.02 | 48.2 | 48.9 |
| Mari Faust | - | 1 | 24.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Sami Betley | - | 22 | 7.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 39 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 47.2 | 0 | 41.7 | 0.17 | 47.2 | 47.2 |
| Tam Stanford | - | 15 | 6.3 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 0.2 | -7 | -0.5 | -2.7 | 26.7 | 31.6 | 25.0 | -0.36 | 36.2 | 36.7 |
| Shylah Taylor | - | 21 | 7.2 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.4 | 0.1 | -43 | -1.9 | -4.3 | 22.0 | 18.2 | 75.0 | -0.15 | 28.0 | 26.0 |
| Autumn Stottlemire | - | 22 | 2.9 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | -0.2 | 14 | 1.0 | 7.2 | 27.8 | 7.7 | 100.0 | 0.31 | 32.5 | 30.6 |
| Amya Pulley | - | 17 | 3.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.4 | -0.1 | -15 | -0.8 | -2.3 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.62 | 22.8 | 14.3 |
| Demiah Austin | - | 10 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 56.8 | 0 |
| Liberty Chenault-Randall | - | 22 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Skylar Alexander | - | 22 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | -0.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 7.3 | 0.0 |
| Kiahya Camper | - | 18 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0 |
| L Chenault-randall | - | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG