Holy Family
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1247 (#16) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1193 (#41) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1237 (#5) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.5 (#100) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +14.6 (#152) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.896 (#185) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.952 (#108) | NetEff +21.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.694 (#322) | AdjNet +7.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.703 (#327) | AdjNet +7.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.604 (#323) | AdjO 63.7 | AdjD 59.0 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.802 (#26) | AdjO 67.0 | AdjD 51.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.846 (#62) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.856 (#46) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1304 (#12) | RD 109 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Saint Michael's | W | 71 - 55 |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Franklin Pierce | W | 73 - 45 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Molloy | W | 79 - 35 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Assumption | L | 54 - 58 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Dominican (NY) | W | 79 - 65 |
| 2025-11-30 | @ | Daemen | L | 61 - 66 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Georgian Court | W | 72 - 47 |
| 2025-12-09 | @ | Chestnut Hill | W | 74 - 64 |
| 2025-12-14 | @ | P.R.-Bayamon | W | 54 - 51 |
| 2025-12-15 | @ | P.R.-Rio Piedras | W | 77 - 39 |
| 2025-12-21 | @ | Bentley | L | 48 - 66 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Caldwell | W | 69 - 61 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Felician | W | 66 - 53 |
| 2026-01-14 | vs | Wilmington (DE) | W | 72 - 48 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Bridgeport | W | 54 - 36 |
| 2026-01-20 | @ | Goldey-Beacom | W | 84 - 53 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Dominican (NY) | W | 74 - 52 |
| 2026-01-28 | @ | Georgian Court | W | 70 - 46 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Post | W | 87 - 28 |
| 2026-02-03 | vs | Chestnut Hill | W | 72 - 54 |
| 2026-02-08 | @ | Post | L | 0 - 0 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Rossignol | - | 1 | 25.0 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 20.0 | -6.0 | -13 | -0.7 | -2.4 | 30.0 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 0.94 | 33.5 | 32.5 |
| Taylor Hinkle | - | 20 | 27.8 | 13.8 | 11.4 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 10.9 | 15.4 | 187 | 9.3 | 38.3 | 46.1 | 31.0 | 83.6 | 3.15 | 55.5 | 50.2 |
| Kaelah Carter | - | 20 | 24.6 | 9.0 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 134 | 6.4 | 41.5 | 36.1 | 29.1 | 78.3 | 1.91 | 47.3 | 45.0 |
| Tiara Tyson | - | 1 | 22.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | 2.0 | -42 | -2.5 | -10.7 | 36.4 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -2.84 | 39.3 | 36.4 |
| Claire Dougherty | - | 19 | 22.8 | 8.6 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 8.6 | 7.7 | 148 | 7.8 | 40.4 | 44.2 | 18.8 | 58.6 | 1.67 | 46.7 | 45.1 |
| Kara Meredith | - | 17 | 23.0 | 8.4 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 7.1 | 5.7 | 106 | 6.2 | 39.2 | 40.5 | 31.2 | 75.8 | 1.47 | 52.8 | 48.8 |
| Ella Brown | - | 20 | 20.3 | 7.2 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 5.5 | 7.1 | 77 | 3.7 | 18.2 | 49.1 | 36.6 | 75.9 | -0.89 | 59.1 | 55.9 |
| Claire Greene | - | 1 | 32.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 7.0 | -38 | -2.0 | -5.6 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0.35 | 58.3 | 58.3 |
| Lauren Palangio | - | 16 | 17.9 | 6.5 | 5.6 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5.9 | 7.9 | 102 | 6.0 | 45.7 | 45.7 | 25.0 | 61.5 | 3.58 | 49.3 | 46.8 |
| Skyler Searfoss | - | 19 | 25.0 | 5.2 | 3.1 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 3.9 | 7.7 | 143 | 7.5 | 42.1 | 44.6 | 30.0 | 73.2 | 3.57 | 53.8 | 46.6 |
| Emma Carman | - | 1 | 19.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | -77 | -4.1 | -24.2 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 0 | -3.37 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
| Amy Ngo | - | 20 | 16.5 | 4.8 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 4.7 | 4.0 | 102 | 5.1 | 28.6 | 35.5 | 30.5 | 63.2 | 2.76 | 47.4 | 45.2 |
| Lola Ibarrondo | - | 20 | 14.8 | 4.3 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 128 | 6.4 | 39.0 | 32.3 | 16.2 | 70.8 | 1.76 | 39.7 | 35.4 |
| McKensi Forde | - | 1 | 22.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 29 | 1.7 | 8.1 | 66.7 | 0 | 0 | 1.46 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Jaslin Walker | - | 1 | 26.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | -43 | -2.9 | -12.8 | 20.0 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -6.39 | 34.0 | 30.0 |
| Jasmine Day-Cox | - | 1 | 30.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | -111 | -5.5 | -17.7 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.41 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Shania Howard | - | 13 | 7.8 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 69 | 4.9 | 91.2 | 28.9 | 7.7 | 53.3 | 0.11 | 34.8 | 30.3 |
| Camryn Gregory | - | 14 | 6.4 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 38 | 2.7 | 41.8 | 17.9 | 25.0 | 68.4 | 0.1 | 37.1 | 25.0 |
| Maya Hill | - | 14 | 6.6 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 42 | 2.8 | 31.2 | 42.9 | 12.5 | 70.0 | 2.84 | 51.2 | 45.2 |
| Danielle Brusha | - | 11 | 6.9 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 43 | 3.6 | 69.1 | 20.0 | 23.1 | 25.0 | 0.14 | 27.6 | 27.5 |
| Emily Arel | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG