Holy Cross
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1176 (#70) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1247 (#27) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1166 (#10) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.6 (#69) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +7.6 (#68) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.872 (#12) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.781 (#69) | AdjNet +11.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.785 (#69) | AdjNet +11.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.669 (#57) | AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 59.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.679 (#30) | AdjO 68.5 | AdjD 60.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.750 (#47) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.752 (#42) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1204 (#42) | RD 121 | GP 30 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-19 | @ | Kansas | L | 57 - 81 |
| 2002-11-26 | @ | Harvard | W | 71 - 66 |
| 2002-12-01 | @ | Boston College | W | 71 - 70 |
| 2002-12-07 | @ | Brown | W | 72 - 56 |
| 2002-12-11 | N | Yale | L | 66 - 70 |
| 2002-12-12 | @ | Hartford | W | 79 - 53 |
| 2002-12-22 | vs | UNC Asheville | W | 84 - 53 |
| 2002-12-28 | @ | Marist | L | 63 - 66 |
| 2002-12-31 | @ | Fordham | W | 87 - 54 |
| 2003-01-03 | vs | Princeton | W | 55 - 54 |
| 2003-01-07 | @ | Quinnipiac | W | 83 - 75 |
| 2003-01-11 | vs | Army | W | 61 - 45 |
| 2003-01-15 | vs | Colgate | W | 86 - 43 |
| 2003-01-18 | @ | Lafayette | W | 76 - 70 |
| 2003-01-21 | vs | Dartmouth | W | 63 - 43 |
| 2003-01-24 | @ | Navy | W | 76 - 61 |
| 2003-01-26 | @ | American | L | 49 - 72 |
| 2003-01-31 | vs | Lehigh | W | 63 - 39 |
| 2003-02-02 | vs | Bucknell | W | 69 - 47 |
| 2003-02-08 | @ | Army | W | 53 - 45 |
| 2003-02-12 | @ | Colgate | W | 92 - 91 |
| 2003-02-15 | vs | Lafayette | W | 73 - 65 |
| 2003-02-21 | vs | American | W | 68 - 66 |
| 2003-02-23 | vs | Navy | W | 63 - 42 |
| 2003-02-28 | @ | Bucknell | W | 54 - 43 |
| 2003-03-02 | @ | Lehigh | W | 72 - 64 |
| 2003-03-08 | N | Army | W | 58 - 40 |
| 2003-03-09 | N | Bucknell | W | 75 - 50 |
| 2003-03-14 | vs | American | W | 72 - 64 |
| 2003-03-20 | N | Marquette | L | 68 - 72 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.