Hollins
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1117 (#54) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1133 (#70) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -7.2 (#263) | HCA +2.4 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.581 (#420) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.346 (#285) | NetEff -4.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.228 (#478) | AdjNet -10.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.215 (#478) | AdjNet -10.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.333 (#480) | AdjO 56.7 | AdjD 64.3 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-15 | vs | Brenau | W | 76 - 66 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Agnes Scott | W | 73 - 42 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Virginia-Lynchburg | W | 55 - 47 |
| 2024-11-22 | vs | Agnes Scott | W | 65 - 35 |
| 2024-11-26 | vs | Roanoke | W | 57 - 46 |
| 2024-12-04 | vs | Lynchburg | L | 54 - 61 |
| 2024-12-07 | @ | Averett | W | 66 - 61 |
| 2024-12-10 | vs | Regent | W | 84 - 50 |
| 2024-12-29 | @ | Hood | L | 49 - 59 |
| 2025-01-01 | vs | William Peace | W | 53 - 41 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Bridgewater (VA) | L | 43 - 61 |
| 2025-01-08 | vs | Wash. & Lee | L | 57 - 71 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Randolph-Macon | L | 48 - 62 |
| 2025-01-15 | vs | East. Mennonite | W | 61 - 54 |
| 2025-01-18 | @ | Va. Wesleyan | W | 69 - 58 |
| 2025-01-22 | @ | Ferrum | L | 56 - 67 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Randolph | L | 30 - 65 |
| 2025-02-01 | @ | Shenandoah | L | 56 - 80 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Guilford | L | 54 - 77 |
| 2025-02-08 | vs | Christendom | W | 70 - 44 |
| 2025-02-12 | @ | Roanoke | L | 47 - 69 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Bridgewater (VA) | L | 59 - 71 |
| 2025-02-18 | vs | Ferrum | W | 59 - 46 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Guilford | L | 47 - 79 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Morales | - | 24 | 31.4 | 11.2 | 5.6 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 12.6 | 7.3 | 31 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 35.3 | 17.1 | 61.3 | -0.04 | 39.9 | 36.5 |
| Cabria Mutz | - | 24 | 29.8 | 10.0 | 10.7 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 10.8 | 14.2 | 8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 40.3 | 0.0 | 50.8 | 0.06 | 42.0 | 40.3 |
| Zaria Holden | - | 23 | 26.4 | 8.0 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.6 | 9.7 | 3.1 | 23 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 30.9 | 20.6 | 64.7 | -0.05 | 37.7 | 34.1 |
| Missy Hazard | - | 24 | 27.8 | 7.0 | 3.1 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 8.2 | 2.8 | -16 | -0.5 | -0.6 | 27.0 | 26.8 | 70.8 | 0.31 | 40.7 | 38.5 |
| Noelani Carter | - | 22 | 26.4 | 6.1 | 5.4 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 0.1 | 2.3 | 4.7 | 9.3 | 17 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 44.2 | 0.0 | 60.0 | 0.19 | 49.7 | 44.2 |
| Grayson Alfano | - | 24 | 19.7 | 5.6 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 6.5 | 2.5 | 18 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 29.5 | 26.6 | 66.7 | 0.21 | 41.5 | 40.1 |
| Ariana Gutierrez | - | 23 | 11.4 | 5.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 5.2 | 0.9 | 29 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 34.2 | 32.0 | 66.7 | 0.06 | 47.4 | 47.1 |
| Erin Allen | - | 24 | 17.6 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.5 | -19 | -0.6 | -1.0 | 36.5 | 20.0 | 65.2 | -0.26 | 40.5 | 37.0 |
| Kamneron Copeland | - | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Moriah Hill | - | 23 | 5.8 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 0.2 | -34 | -1.6 | -6.2 | 18.5 | 18.6 | 70.0 | -0.47 | 28.1 | 24.6 |
| Kinzie Henninger | - | 23 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | -0.0 | -8 | -0.6 | -2.7 | 21.1 | 11.1 | 50.0 | -0.12 | 25.2 | 23.7 |
| Kameron Copeland | - | 8 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.1 | -0.5 | - | - | - | 11.1 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 10.1 | 11.1 |
| Danny McCoy | - | 23 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Na'Kamiyah Martin | - | 10 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | -0.3 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kenzie Henninger | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -8 | -0.6 | -2.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.12 | 0 | 0 |
| Parys Bennett | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG