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Hofstra

2026-2027 Team Stats (2 games)

77.5
PPG
55.5
Opp
+22.0
Margin
48.4%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
60.6%
FT%
47.5
RPG
12.5
APG
14.5
TO
69.3
Est. poss./game
66.2
Adj PPG
63.9
Adj Opp PPG
#134
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1011 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1086, returning -46, transfers -35, freshmen +6 More โ†’ 998 (#138) Preseason prior 1011 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1086, returning -46, transfers -35, freshmen +6
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +224 elo More โ†’ 1017 (#135) HCA +224 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +223 elo More โ†’ 1006 (#140) HCA +223 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +1.7 More โ†’ -5.8 (#235) HCA +1.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +1.7 More โ†’ -5.9 (#239) HCA +1.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.499 (#153) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.2 More โ†’ 0.490 (#155) AdjNet -5.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.2 More โ†’ 0.490 (#155) AdjNet -5.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 63.9 More โ†’ 0.539 (#134) AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 63.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 63.9 More โ†’ 0.531 (#135) AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 63.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.479 (#157) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.477 (#162) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 218 | GP 1 More โ†’ 1007 (#145) RD 218 | GP 1
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.543 (#131) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs St. Joseph's Long Island Golden Eagles W 97 - 51
2026-11-05 @ Princeton Tigers L 58 - 60
2026-11-10 @ Arizona State Sun Devils - Preview
2026-11-13 vs Iona Gaels - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Trey Boyd III Trey Boyd III G 2 24.5 12.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 1.5 10.0 6.0 36 2 18.0 28.9 45.0 54.5 0 1.06 60.0 60.0
Tanner Thomas Tanner Thomas G 2 26.0 12.0 8.0 0.5 2.0 0.0 2.5 9.5 10.5 14 2 7.0 10.8 57.9 33.3 0.0 0.43 61.7 63.2
Nick Jefferson Nick Jefferson G 2 27.5 10.5 2.5 4.0 0.5 0.0 3.0 9.0 5.5 30 2 15.0 22.0 44.4 25.0 66.7 0.89 50.9 47.2
Justin Moore Justin Moore G 2 25.5 8.5 7.0 4.0 0.5 0.0 3.0 11.0 6.0 19 2 9.5 14.7 31.8 12.5 100.0 0.08 37.2 34.1
Imanuel Zorgvol Imanuel Zorgvol F 2 15.5 8.5 5.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 12.5 16 2 8.0 21.4 100.0 0 62.5 0.75 89.3 100.0
Joshua DeCady Joshua DeCady F 2 26.0 8.0 6.0 1.0 0.5 1.0 2.0 5.5 9.0 26 2 13.0 20.0 54.5 100.0 60.0 0.71 60.6 59.1
Xavier Blake Xavier Blake G 1 12.0 8.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 3.0 13 1 13.0 42.0 37.5 33.3 0 0.42 50.0 50.0
Deywilk Tavarez Deywilk Tavarez G 2 13.0 5.0 4.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 4.0 6.5 15 2 7.5 23.2 37.5 28.6 50.0 1.27 51.2 50.0
Spence Wewe Spence Wewe F 2 14.5 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 2.0 7.0 16 2 8.0 22.5 100.0 0 66.7 0.07 94.0 100.0
Elijah Gelin Elijah Gelin G 1 10.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 12 1 12.0 47.1 33.3 0.0 100.0 0.44 51.5 33.3
Michael Cascione Michael Cascione G 1 6.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 4.0 6 1 6.0 36.5 33.3 0 0 0.07 33.3 33.3
Riley Dunn Riley Dunn F 2 11.0 1.0 5.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 0.0 1.0 7.0 16 2 8.0 30.4 50.0 0 0.0 0.56 34.7 50.0
Carlos Lopez Jr. Carlos Lopez Jr. G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Benjamin Onwughai Benjamin Onwughai G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Anthony Stennett Anthony Stennett G 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1 1 1.0 7.5 0 0 0 -0.18 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

124 located field-goal attempts in 2 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Zorgvol19% Thomas43% Jefferson100% Moore50% Jefferson50% DeCady100% Jefferson33% Tavarez40% Moore33% Boyd67%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
DeCady38% DeCady22% Thomas40% Moore67% Jefferson67% Tavarez33% Blake100% Moore27% Moore50% Tavarez36%
Misses: who misses most here

Tanner ThomasTrey Boyd IIINick JeffersonJustin MooreJoshua DeCadyImanuel ZorgvolDeywilk TavarezXavier Blake

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 31-39 79.5 62 Imanuel Zorgvol 19% (12 pts) Justin Moore 16% (10 pts) Joshua DeCady 38% (3 misses) Trey Boyd III 25% (2 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 7-16 43.8 14 Tanner Thomas 43% (6 pts) Nick Jefferson 29% (4 pts) Joshua DeCady 22% (2 misses) Justin Moore 22% (2 misses)
Mid-range left 3-8 37.5 6 Nick Jefferson 100% (6 pts) - Tanner Thomas 40% (2 misses) Justin Moore 20% (1 misses)
Mid-range center 2-8 25.0 4 Justin Moore 50% (2 pts) Trey Boyd III 50% (2 pts) Justin Moore 67% (4 misses) Trey Boyd III 33% (2 misses)
Mid-range right 2-8 25.0 4 Nick Jefferson 50% (2 pts) Tanner Thomas 50% (2 pts) Nick Jefferson 67% (4 misses) Tanner Thomas 17% (1 misses)
Left corner 3 1-4 25.0 3 Joshua DeCady 100% (3 pts) - Deywilk Tavarez 33% (1 misses) Elijah Gelin 33% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 3-4 75.0 9 Nick Jefferson 33% (3 pts) Tanner Thomas 33% (3 pts) Xavier Blake 100% (1 misses) -
Above-break 3 left 5-16 31.2 15 Deywilk Tavarez 40% (6 pts) Trey Boyd III 40% (6 pts) Justin Moore 27% (3 misses) Tanner Thomas 27% (3 misses)
Above-break 3 center 3-7 42.9 9 Justin Moore 33% (3 pts) Tanner Thomas 33% (3 pts) Justin Moore 50% (2 misses) Nick Jefferson 25% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 3-14 21.4 9 Trey Boyd III 67% (6 pts) Xavier Blake 33% (3 pts) Deywilk Tavarez 36% (4 misses) Trey Boyd III 18% (2 misses)