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Hofstra

2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)

70.0
PPG
63.8
Opp
+6.2
Margin
42.5%
FG%
34.7%
3P%
63.5%
FT%
41.3
RPG
12.0
APG
12.0
TO
67.2
Est. poss./game
67.2
Adj PPG
67.6
Adj Opp PPG
#147
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1011 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1086, returning -46, transfers -35, freshmen +6 More โ†’ 989 (#142) Preseason prior 1011 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1086, returning -46, transfers -35, freshmen +6
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. HCA +212 elo More โ†’ 1006 (#146) HCA +212 elo
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +212 elo More โ†’ 997 (#155) HCA +212 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.0 More โ†’ -3.2 (#190) HCA +2.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.0 More โ†’ -3.3 (#190) HCA +2.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.347 (#211) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -7.2 More โ†’ 0.451 (#182) AdjNet -7.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -6.8 More โ†’ 0.454 (#183) AdjNet -6.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 67.6 More โ†’ 0.512 (#147) AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 67.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 67.6 More โ†’ 0.506 (#154) AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 67.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.461 (#177) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.460 (#178) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 202 | GP 2 More โ†’ 985 (#159) RD 202 | GP 2
Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. Chronological component blend with rest and venue. More โ†’ 0.512 (#141) Chronological component blend with rest and venue.

2026-2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 vs St. Joseph's Long Island Golden Eagles W 97 - 51
2026-11-05 @ Princeton Tigers L 58 - 60
2026-11-10 @ Arizona State Sun Devils L 63 - 85
2026-11-13 vs Iona Gaels W 62 - 59
2026-11-17 @ Murray State Racers - Preview

2026-2027 Roster

Estimated Minutes by Position

Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tanner Thomas Tanner Thomas G 4 29.8 11.8 5.8 0.8 2.0 0.0 2.0 10.8 7.5 -8 3 -2.7 -4.1 46.5 41.2 0.0 0.03 54.1 54.7
Justin Moore Justin Moore G 4 25.5 10.8 3.8 4.2 0.8 0.0 1.8 12.2 5.5 7 3 2.3 4.4 34.7 17.6 100.0 -0.11 41.6 37.8
Nick Jefferson Nick Jefferson G 4 29.2 9.5 3.8 3.8 0.5 0.0 2.0 10.5 5.0 17 3 5.7 8.1 38.1 25.0 66.7 0.74 42.6 40.5
Trey Boyd III Trey Boyd III G 4 22.2 9.2 2.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 1.5 8.5 2.8 20 3 6.7 10.7 41.2 42.9 0 0.84 54.4 54.4
Xavier Blake Xavier Blake G 3 10.3 7.7 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 7.3 1.7 15 2 7.5 24.0 40.9 38.5 0.0 0.56 51.2 52.3
Imanuel Zorgvol Imanuel Zorgvol F 4 16.5 6.5 4.2 0.5 0.8 1.5 0.5 2.2 10.8 15 3 5.0 13.7 88.9 0 66.7 0.96 83.3 88.9
Deywilk Tavarez Deywilk Tavarez G 4 14.8 6.2 3.0 0.2 1.2 0.2 1.2 4.5 5.2 7 3 2.3 5.4 38.9 42.9 71.4 0.98 59.3 55.6
Joshua DeCady Joshua DeCady F 4 26.8 4.8 5.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.2 4.5 6.0 6 3 2.0 3.4 38.9 50.0 50.0 0.25 44.1 41.7
Spence Wewe Spence Wewe F 4 18.8 3.0 3.5 0.5 0.5 1.2 0.8 1.8 6.2 -8 3 -2.7 -6.4 71.4 0 50.0 -0.79 68.5 71.4
Elijah Gelin Elijah Gelin G 2 8.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.0 0.0 12 2 6.0 30.1 25.0 0.0 100.0 0.38 41.0 25.0
Riley Dunn Riley Dunn F 3 10.0 1.3 3.7 0.7 0.3 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 20 3 6.7 27.7 66.7 0 0.0 0.83 51.5 66.7
Michael Cascione Michael Cascione G 2 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 1.5 2.0 6 2 3.0 28.2 33.3 0 0 0.02 33.3 33.3
Carlos Lopez Jr. Carlos Lopez Jr. G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Benjamin Onwughai Benjamin Onwughai G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Anthony Stennett Anthony Stennett G 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1 1 1.0 7.5 0 0 0 -0.22 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2026-2027 Shot Zones

252 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Zorgvol18% Thomas40% Jefferson75% Moore40% Jefferson67% Thomas75% Jefferson33% Tavarez40% Moore25% Boyd38%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
DeCady33% DeCady22% Jefferson33% Moore38% Jefferson47% Tavarez25% Blake100% Moore25% Moore38% Tavarez21%
Misses: who misses most here

Tanner ThomasJustin MooreTrey Boyd IIINick JeffersonXavier BlakeDeywilk TavarezImanuel ZorgvolJoshua DeCady

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 39-51 76.5 78 Imanuel Zorgvol 18% (14 pts) Justin Moore 18% (14 pts) Joshua DeCady 33% (4 misses) Justin Moore 17% (2 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 15-42 35.7 30 Tanner Thomas 40% (12 pts) Justin Moore 13% (4 pts) Joshua DeCady 22% (6 misses) Nick Jefferson 19% (5 misses)
Mid-range left 4-16 25.0 8 Nick Jefferson 75% (6 pts) Xavier Blake 25% (2 pts) Nick Jefferson 33% (4 misses) Justin Moore 25% (3 misses)
Mid-range center 10-23 43.5 20 Justin Moore 40% (8 pts) Nick Jefferson 20% (4 pts) Justin Moore 38% (5 misses) Tanner Thomas 23% (3 misses)
Mid-range right 6-25 24.0 12 Nick Jefferson 67% (8 pts) Justin Moore 17% (2 pts) Nick Jefferson 47% (9 misses) Justin Moore 26% (5 misses)
Left corner 3 4-8 50.0 12 Tanner Thomas 75% (9 pts) Joshua DeCady 25% (3 pts) Deywilk Tavarez 25% (1 misses) Elijah Gelin 25% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 3-5 60.0 9 Nick Jefferson 33% (3 pts) Tanner Thomas 33% (3 pts) Xavier Blake 100% (2 misses) -
Above-break 3 left 10-34 29.4 30 Deywilk Tavarez 40% (12 pts) Trey Boyd III 30% (9 pts) Justin Moore 25% (6 misses) Tanner Thomas 25% (6 misses)
Above-break 3 center 8-21 38.1 24 Justin Moore 25% (6 pts) Tanner Thomas 25% (6 pts) Justin Moore 38% (5 misses) Trey Boyd III 38% (5 misses)
Above-break 3 right 8-27 29.6 24 Trey Boyd III 38% (9 pts) Xavier Blake 38% (9 pts) Deywilk Tavarez 21% (4 misses) Tanner Thomas 16% (3 misses)