Hobart
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1005 (#383) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1015 (#369) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 915 (#658) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.9 (#209) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -2.7 (#385) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.721 (#337) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.504 (#352) | AdjNet +0.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.495 (#352) | AdjNet -0.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.491 (#356) | AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 71.9 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.557 (#282) | AdjO 77.4 | AdjD 74.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.458 (#436) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.465 (#436) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 889 (#488) | RD 110 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | York (PA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-11 | @ | St. John Fisher | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Keuka | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | Merchant Marine | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Hamilton | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Rochester (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-05 | @ | Bard | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Vassar | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-09 | vs | Ithaca | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Utica | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | RIT | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-13 | @ | Ithaca | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-16 | @ | Clarkson | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | St. Lawrence | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | Union (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Rensselaer | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-30 | @ | RIT | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Skidmore | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-06 | @ | Rensselaer | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Union (NY) | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Moesch | - | 19 | 31.6 | 15.4 | 5.3 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 12.9 | 9.5 | 51 | 2.4 | 11.2 | 41.9 | 38.9 | 86.5 | 1.62 | 54.5 | 50.4 |
| Monty Nedd | - | 18 | 28.3 | 14.6 | 5.9 | 3.6 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 11.6 | 12.6 | 68 | 3.4 | 23.3 | 42.1 | 25.0 | 74.7 | 0.32 | 52.4 | 45.9 |
| Dorian Paki | - | 19 | 25.1 | 14.5 | 6.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 10.4 | 11.3 | 30 | 1.4 | 8.2 | 55.6 | 0 | 61.8 | -0.6 | 58.0 | 55.6 |
| Allen Mordi | - | 19 | 24.3 | 10.2 | 6.7 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 7.7 | 9.5 | 61 | 2.9 | 15.8 | 46.9 | 32.1 | 71.2 | 0.72 | 56.8 | 53.1 |
| Jonathan McCaffrey | - | 1 | 25.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.4 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.15 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Maximus Michalski | - | 1 | 22.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 8 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 60.0 | 0 | 66.7 | 0.87 | 65.4 | 60.0 |
| Gabriel Bergeron | - | 18 | 26.3 | 8.3 | 3.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 6.6 | 6.6 | 63 | 3.1 | 15.9 | 42.9 | 44.2 | 68.4 | 2.65 | 58.5 | 57.1 |
| Alex Hayes | - | 1 | 14.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | -60 | -2.7 | -17.2 | 42.9 | 25.0 | 25.0 | -3.52 | 45.7 | 50.0 |
| Jack Janes | - | 1 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | -40 | -1.8 | -11.9 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 100.0 | -1.74 | 71.7 | 62.5 |
| Harrison Muntner | - | 19 | 11.5 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 44 | 2.1 | 24.7 | 37.2 | 28.0 | 77.4 | 0.4 | 48.6 | 41.7 |
| Mekhi Gidney | - | 1 | 20.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | -12 | -0.6 | -3.7 | 16.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -0.26 | 29.1 | 25.0 |
| Max Schneider | - | 1 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | -2.0 | 2 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 2.21 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Niko Lutz | - | 19 | 11.3 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 24 | 1.1 | 16.6 | 45.1 | 12.5 | 70.4 | -1.21 | 52.5 | 46.1 |
| Christian Daley | - | 1 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Louis Fay | - | 1 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 36 | 1.8 | 12.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 42.9 | 3.12 | 24.7 | 0.0 |
| Frederick Graewert | - | 1 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -12 | -1.7 | -70.6 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | -2.07 | 150.0 | 150.0 |
| Jackson Carey | - | 17 | 10.4 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 34 | 1.8 | 50.0 | 38.5 | 23.5 | 75.0 | 0.66 | 50.0 | 43.6 |
| Justin Price | - | 19 | 24.0 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 55 | 2.6 | 22.9 | 25.8 | 15.2 | 66.7 | 1.01 | 31.7 | 29.8 |
| Carson Kwiatkowski | - | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -15 | -1.1 | -16.7 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.9 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Kurt Redeker | - | 1 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 20 | 1.4 | 16.2 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 1.68 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Andrew Violante | - | 1 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | -6 | -0.3 | -1.3 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.37 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Axel Traina | - | 16 | 6.2 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 61 | 3.6 | 112.4 | 39.1 | 39.1 | 0 | 4.04 | 58.7 | 58.7 |
| Devyn Williams | - | 3 | 3.2 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 7 | 1.4 | 128.2 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 1.89 | 86.8 | 100.0 |
| Elvis Lloyd | - | 11 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 0.2 | -6 | -0.5 | -9.2 | 33.3 | 14.3 | 0 | -2.6 | 36.1 | 36.1 |
| Scotland Simpson | - | 3 | 4.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | -4 | -0.8 | -31.8 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.62 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Charlie Forgione | - | 4 | 5.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.8 | -0.5 | 1 | 0.2 | 6.3 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.16 | 14.3 | 14.3 |
| Jaymon Pysnack | - | 6 | 3.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | -0.7 | 6 | 0.8 | 42.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.45 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Alex Girich | - | 1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | -23 | -1.9 | -37.3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -2.75 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Shawn Minnehan | - | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Kyler Proper | - | 1 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | -4.0 | -21 | -1.2 | -12.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.92 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Giovanni Schillaci | - | 1 | 13.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | -2.0 | -54 | -2.7 | -20.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -3.24 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG