🐻⬇️🏀

Hiram

Also known as: Hiram
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1019 (#199) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 892 (#477) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 906 (#604) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -8.3 (#278) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -15.9 (#568) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.339 (#524) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -8.1 More → 0.262 (#424) NetEff -8.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.3 More → 0.215 (#484) AdjNet -11.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.5 More → 0.204 (#485) AdjNet -11.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.0 | AdjD 68.6 More → 0.333 (#481) AdjO 61.0 | AdjD 68.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 71.6 More → 0.289 (#613) AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 71.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.212 (#590) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.216 (#591) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 93 | GP 21 More → 848 (#462) RD 93 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ Adrian L 53 - 84
2025-11-14 @ Albion L 63 - 69
2025-11-15 @ St. Mary's (IN) L 55 - 86
2025-11-20 @ La Roche W 71 - 66
2025-12-03 @ Thiel W 69 - 67
2025-12-06 vs Grove City L 68 - 71
2025-12-10 vs Alma L 62 - 89
2025-12-17 vs Wooster L 66 - 70
2025-12-20 vs Penn St.-Shenango W 98 - 70
2025-12-31 vs Penn St.-Behrend L 71 - 80
2026-01-03 vs Heidelberg W 79 - 73
2026-01-07 @ Geneva W 85 - 74
2026-01-10 vs Bethany (WV) L 57 - 75
2026-01-14 @ Westminster (PA) L 61 - 63
2026-01-17 vs Wash. & Jeff. L 62 - 79
2026-01-21 @ Allegheny L 66 - 76
2026-01-24 vs Chatham L 56 - 70
2026-01-28 @ Grove City L 52 - 72
2026-01-31 @ Franciscan W 86 - 76
2026-02-04 vs Thiel W 72 - 69
2026-02-07 @ Waynesburg L 62 - 79

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Sarah Seaman - 21 34.8 16.2 3.3 2.1 1.0 0.2 2.8 15.8 4.2 -28 -1.3 -5.5 37.0 31.4 70.4 -0.12 46.8 43.7
Isabella Caceres - 20 38.4 14.1 3.7 5.1 1.9 0.6 3.3 13.4 8.7 -42 -2.0 -7.8 35.4 32.8 68.1 -1.63 46.9 43.3
Maya Joiner - 21 34.6 10.1 11.0 2.0 2.2 1.7 1.6 8.2 17.2 -15 -0.7 -3.0 52.3 0 58.9 -1.03 54.2 52.3
Advika Srinivasan - 21 24.5 8.7 1.3 0.6 0.7 0.0 2.1 8.0 1.2 -48 -2.3 -13.3 33.9 34.6 86.2 -1.31 50.6 47.0
Star Owens - 17 21.1 8.2 4.3 0.9 0.9 0.4 1.2 6.6 6.9 6 0.4 1.9 48.2 27.3 78.4 1.37 54.6 49.6
McKinzie Wilhoite - 16 19.1 4.2 3.1 0.7 0.8 0.0 1.1 3.8 3.9 36 2.2 74.8 37.7 0.0 61.8 0.46 44.1 37.7
Emma Osborn - 14 11.5 3.7 2.5 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 3.5 3.1 -29 -2.1 -15.1 38.8 0 60.9 -1.77 44.0 38.8
Juliana Gunn - 17 18.3 3.3 2.7 1.8 1.2 0.0 2.4 4.8 1.8 13 0.7 8.2 27.2 15.4 44.4 -2.18 31.5 29.6
Ally Lyde - 14 6.9 2.9 1.6 0.1 0.8 0.1 0.6 2.8 2.1 -28 -2.0 -55.1 41.0 0 50.0 -1.41 43.7 41.0
Liz Doup - 16 12.3 2.3 1.4 1.2 0.4 0.0 1.6 1.9 1.8 -2 -0.1 -0.9 43.3 0.0 68.8 -2.55 49.9 43.3
Rylie Petroff - 3 4.5 1.3 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.7 -7 -2.3 -95.5 50.0 0 0.0 -1.17 41.0 50.0
Riley Hunt - 7 2.7 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 -10 -1.4 -78.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1.57 0.0 0.0
Rylee Gallegos - 2 2.1 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 -1.0 -9 -4.5 -158.8 0.0 0 0 -1.3 0.0 0.0
Kaelyn Hart - 1 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -4 -4.0 -188.2 0 0 0 -0.61 0 0
Avery Salisbury - 2 7.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.0 -2.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG