🐻⬇️🏀

Hiram

Also known as: Hiram
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 796 (#606) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 782 (#600) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 769 (#768) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -13.5 (#387) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -20.5 (#691) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.165 (#699) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +10.3 More → 0.742 (#26) NetEff +10.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -19.0 More → 0.101 (#645) AdjNet -19.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -19.1 More → 0.097 (#642) AdjNet -19.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 83.7 More → 0.217 (#641) AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 83.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 78.7 More → 0.235 (#723) AdjO 65.7 | AdjD 78.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.127 (#726) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.131 (#728) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 22 More → 730 (#598) RD 96 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 @ Alfred St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-08 vs Lycoming - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ Bluffton - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 @ Pitt.-Greensburg - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 @ Baldwin Wallace - Incomplete score
2025-12-03 @ Thiel - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Grove City - Incomplete score
2025-12-10 vs CWRU - Incomplete score
2025-12-17 vs Heidelberg - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 @ Ohio Dominican - Incomplete score
2025-12-31 @ Adrian - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 vs Penn St.-Behrend - Incomplete score
2026-01-07 @ Geneva - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 vs Bethany (WV) - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 @ Westminster (PA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Wash. & Jeff. - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 @ Allegheny - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 vs Chatham - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 @ Grove City - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Franciscan - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 vs Thiel - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Waynesburg - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Collin Jones - 21 25.9 12.7 3.4 1.5 0.8 0.2 2.0 10.0 6.6 -33 -1.6 -8.2 48.8 36.2 73.7 -2.0 57.0 53.8
DJ Niles - 19 21.5 8.6 6.1 1.1 0.6 1.7 0.9 6.1 11.0 -30 -1.7 -9.3 59.5 25.0 81.5 -0.78 64.1 61.2
Brock Makrancy - 21 26.7 8.0 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1 1.1 6.0 5.7 -46 -2.3 -12.2 48.0 50.0 92.9 0.67 64.4 62.4
Drovinsky Ulysse - 21 22.8 7.2 4.2 1.7 1.1 1.1 1.4 6.0 7.9 -67 -3.4 -20.4 44.8 27.0 70.7 0.91 52.8 48.8
Avery Scott - 10 17.8 6.7 2.9 0.8 0.6 0.3 1.6 7.2 2.5 -17 -1.9 -22.1 38.9 27.0 25.0 -0.16 45.4 45.8
Josh Martin - 15 24.1 6.3 2.9 2.4 0.7 0.0 1.4 6.1 4.8 -18 -1.3 -4.7 35.9 30.6 93.3 -0.63 48.2 44.0
Dushawn Hill - 19 13.5 6.0 1.5 1.6 0.4 0.1 1.1 5.4 3.1 27 1.5 20.6 43.1 31.7 52.0 1.74 50.4 49.5
Manuel Devora Violan - 21 14.6 5.8 2.2 1.0 1.0 0.2 1.3 3.9 5.0 -10 -0.5 -4.7 54.9 50.0 56.9 0.05 57.9 56.1
Liam Gopalakrishna - 21 11.7 4.7 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.4 4.0 2.3 -38 -1.9 -29.1 45.8 38.9 33.3 -2.06 58.1 58.4
Jack Agema - 20 15.6 4.3 1.4 1.7 0.6 0.0 1.1 5.0 1.9 -34 -1.8 -23.1 33.3 23.9 90.0 -2.49 41.6 38.9
Mitchell Wiechecki - 15 12.7 3.8 2.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 1.1 3.3 3.0 -22 -1.5 -15.3 42.9 0.0 65.2 0.9 48.2 42.9
Noah Adams - 1 12.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 -22 -5.5 -84.2 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Daniel Sensius - 6 1.7 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 -16 -2.7 -853.3 80.0 75.0 0.0 - 101.1 110.0
Kyle Heaton - 19 11.4 1.7 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.5 -7 -0.4 -4.9 58.3 0.0 40.0 0.23 56.3 58.3
Tristan Martin-Marshall - 14 7.8 1.4 1.5 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.3 2.1 -33 -2.5 -112.5 55.6 0 0 -2.45 55.6 55.6
Tillman Brown - 2 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 - - - 0 0 100.0 -0.47 113.6 0
Harrison Parkhurst - 6 1.5 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 -5 -1.0 -266.7 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Ethan Valencia - 3 0.9 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 -0.3 -1 -0.3 -53.3 0 0 0 - 0 0
Blake Kahnell - 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Aaron Pattee - 1 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG