🐻⬇️🏀

Hillsdale

Also known as: Hillsdale
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1055 (#97) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1056 (#121) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +13.8 (#69) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.634 (#310) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +10.3 More → 0.785 (#129) NetEff +10.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +14.3 More → 0.838 (#255) AdjNet +14.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.6 More → 0.849 (#251) AdjNet +14.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 59.2 More → 0.704 (#255) AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 59.2

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Purdue Northwest L 74 - 75
2024-11-09 vs Ill. Springfield W 76 - 52
2024-11-13 vs Lake Superior St. W 61 - 53
2024-11-15 @ Saginaw Valley L 47 - 52
2024-11-20 vs Wayne St. (MI) L 67 - 80
2024-11-23 @ Lewis L 68 - 70
2024-12-05 vs Ohio Dominican W 64 - 62
2024-12-07 vs Malone L 52 - 68
2024-12-14 @ Ursuline W 73 - 52
2024-12-18 vs Ferris St. W 76 - 61
2025-01-02 @ Ohio Dominican W 69 - 62
2025-01-04 vs Lake Erie W 75 - 46
2025-01-09 vs Tiffin W 92 - 53
2025-01-11 @ Cedarville W 71 - 62
2025-01-14 @ Northwood W 86 - 83
2025-01-16 vs Walsh W 59 - 50
2025-01-23 @ Ashland L 59 - 70
2025-01-25 vs Findlay W 59 - 57
2025-01-30 vs Cedarville W 69 - 51
2025-02-01 vs Ky. Wesleyan W 77 - 44
2025-02-06 @ Thomas More W 65 - 59
2025-02-08 @ Ky. Wesleyan L 68 - 71
2025-02-13 @ Tiffin W 65 - 43
2025-02-15 vs Northwood L 81 - 85
2025-02-20 @ Findlay W 68 - 57
2025-02-22 vs Ursuline W 74 - 60
2025-03-01 @ Malone W 68 - 61
2025-03-04 vs Cedarville W 81 - 66
2025-03-07 vs Malone W 54 - 51
2025-03-08 @ Ashland L 57 - 69
2025-03-14 @ Northern Mich. L 56 - 61

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Lauren McDonald - 28 32.3 13.6 7.1 3.7 2.0 0.5 3.0 12.2 11.7 74 2.4 2.3 39.7 30.1 75.7 0.84 48.6 43.3
Emari Doby - 1 25.0 13.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 5.0 -15 -0.5 -0.5 60.0 50.0 0 0.25 65.0 65.0
Caitlin Splain - 30 30.3 12.7 4.1 2.1 1.2 0.0 2.2 11.9 6.0 39 1.3 1.3 35.6 31.6 86.2 0.09 49.4 45.5
Kayla Rice - 1 25.0 9.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 15.0 -2.0 14 0.4 0.4 20.0 20.0 66.7 0.34 27.6 23.3
Savannah Smith - 24 18.9 8.6 2.8 0.9 0.6 0.7 1.4 7.9 4.2 26 0.9 1.2 44.2 15.6 86.8 0.23 49.8 45.5
Kendall McCormick - 28 26.0 8.6 5.4 1.9 1.5 0.4 1.4 7.5 8.8 9 0.3 0.3 43.3 32.6 60.3 -0.13 49.6 46.7
Niyah Udoiwood - 1 23.0 8.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 8.0 8.0 -47 -1.7 -2.0 50.0 0 0 -0.57 50.0 50.0
Diavian Mehundrew - 1 31.0 8.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 9.0 0.0 -22 -1.0 -1.1 44.4 0.0 0 -0.24 44.4 44.4
Annalise Pietrzyk - 31 21.8 7.6 2.1 1.3 0.5 0.1 1.4 6.5 3.8 21 0.5 0.7 40.5 42.0 71.9 0.74 54.9 53.0
Ellie Bruce - 31 16.0 7.0 3.5 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.8 6.3 5.3 -68 -1.7 -3.2 47.7 0.0 38.8 -0.35 47.1 47.7
Saharra Murphy - 1 32.0 6.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 6.0 1.0 -65 -2.3 -2.1 50.0 0 0 -0.39 50.0 50.0
Emma Ruhlman - 31 17.2 4.3 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 1.0 3.4 4.4 -14 -0.4 -0.6 46.2 38.9 70.0 0.36 55.8 52.8
Marilyn Popplewell - 22 10.3 3.1 3.4 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.5 2.7 4.2 36 2.0 4.7 47.5 0.0 66.7 0.59 50.8 47.5
Tatianna McLaren - 1 12.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 - - - 100.0 0 50.0 - 79.8 100.0
Mandi Pham - 1 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 7 0.3 1.2 50.0 50.0 0.0 -0.53 52.1 75.0
Sydney Pnacek - 31 8.8 2.0 1.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.8 2.4 1.5 -52 -1.4 -5.2 28.0 32.4 58.3 -0.27 38.0 36.0
Allysia McDaniel - 1 26.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 -17 -0.4 -0.6 33.3 0 0 -0.16 33.3 33.3
Sarah Aleknavicius - 31 14.6 1.6 1.8 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.9 1.7 3.0 55 1.7 2.7 43.4 8.3 44.4 0.59 44.8 44.3
Ashley Konkle - 8 4.1 0.8 1.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.6 0.9 - - - 23.1 0 0 - 23.1 23.1
Emilia Sularski - 27 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 -37 -1.9 -6.9 38.5 36.4 0 -0.48 53.8 53.8
Payton Adkins - 30 2.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 7 0.5 2.7 66.7 75.0 75.0 -0.21 90.2 91.7
Magdalena Sularski - 30 3.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.6 -0.0 -74 -2.7 -6.5 29.4 16.7 100.0 -0.68 36.4 32.4
Bailey Parham - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Laylah Jackson - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.41 0 0
Makenna Yeager - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4 0.1 0.2 0 0 0 -0.03 0 0
Amaya Asher - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -59 -3.3 -8.3 0 0 0 -0.42 0 0
Sydney Moss - 1 17.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 -4 -0.5 -0.7 0 0 0 -0.3 0 0
Maddy Greene - 6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.24 0 0
Carly Callahan - 3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 73 1.9 2.3 0 0 0 0.69 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG