Hillsdale
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1055 (#97) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1056 (#121) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +13.8 (#69) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.634 (#310) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.785 (#129) | NetEff +10.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.838 (#255) | AdjNet +14.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.849 (#251) | AdjNet +14.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.704 (#255) | AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 59.2 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | @ | Purdue Northwest | L | 74 - 75 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Ill. Springfield | W | 76 - 52 |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Lake Superior St. | W | 61 - 53 |
| 2024-11-15 | @ | Saginaw Valley | L | 47 - 52 |
| 2024-11-20 | vs | Wayne St. (MI) | L | 67 - 80 |
| 2024-11-23 | @ | Lewis | L | 68 - 70 |
| 2024-12-05 | vs | Ohio Dominican | W | 64 - 62 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Malone | L | 52 - 68 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Ursuline | W | 73 - 52 |
| 2024-12-18 | vs | Ferris St. | W | 76 - 61 |
| 2025-01-02 | @ | Ohio Dominican | W | 69 - 62 |
| 2025-01-04 | vs | Lake Erie | W | 75 - 46 |
| 2025-01-09 | vs | Tiffin | W | 92 - 53 |
| 2025-01-11 | @ | Cedarville | W | 71 - 62 |
| 2025-01-14 | @ | Northwood | W | 86 - 83 |
| 2025-01-16 | vs | Walsh | W | 59 - 50 |
| 2025-01-23 | @ | Ashland | L | 59 - 70 |
| 2025-01-25 | vs | Findlay | W | 59 - 57 |
| 2025-01-30 | vs | Cedarville | W | 69 - 51 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Ky. Wesleyan | W | 77 - 44 |
| 2025-02-06 | @ | Thomas More | W | 65 - 59 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | Ky. Wesleyan | L | 68 - 71 |
| 2025-02-13 | @ | Tiffin | W | 65 - 43 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Northwood | L | 81 - 85 |
| 2025-02-20 | @ | Findlay | W | 68 - 57 |
| 2025-02-22 | vs | Ursuline | W | 74 - 60 |
| 2025-03-01 | @ | Malone | W | 68 - 61 |
| 2025-03-04 | vs | Cedarville | W | 81 - 66 |
| 2025-03-07 | vs | Malone | W | 54 - 51 |
| 2025-03-08 | @ | Ashland | L | 57 - 69 |
| 2025-03-14 | @ | Northern Mich. | L | 56 - 61 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren McDonald | - | 28 | 32.3 | 13.6 | 7.1 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 12.2 | 11.7 | 74 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 39.7 | 30.1 | 75.7 | 0.84 | 48.6 | 43.3 |
| Emari Doby | - | 1 | 25.0 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | -15 | -0.5 | -0.5 | 60.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0.25 | 65.0 | 65.0 |
| Caitlin Splain | - | 30 | 30.3 | 12.7 | 4.1 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 11.9 | 6.0 | 39 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 35.6 | 31.6 | 86.2 | 0.09 | 49.4 | 45.5 |
| Kayla Rice | - | 1 | 25.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | -2.0 | 14 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 66.7 | 0.34 | 27.6 | 23.3 |
| Savannah Smith | - | 24 | 18.9 | 8.6 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 7.9 | 4.2 | 26 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 44.2 | 15.6 | 86.8 | 0.23 | 49.8 | 45.5 |
| Kendall McCormick | - | 28 | 26.0 | 8.6 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 7.5 | 8.8 | 9 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 43.3 | 32.6 | 60.3 | -0.13 | 49.6 | 46.7 |
| Niyah Udoiwood | - | 1 | 23.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | -47 | -1.7 | -2.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.57 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Diavian Mehundrew | - | 1 | 31.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | -22 | -1.0 | -1.1 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.24 | 44.4 | 44.4 |
| Annalise Pietrzyk | - | 31 | 21.8 | 7.6 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 6.5 | 3.8 | 21 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 40.5 | 42.0 | 71.9 | 0.74 | 54.9 | 53.0 |
| Ellie Bruce | - | 31 | 16.0 | 7.0 | 3.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 6.3 | 5.3 | -68 | -1.7 | -3.2 | 47.7 | 0.0 | 38.8 | -0.35 | 47.1 | 47.7 |
| Saharra Murphy | - | 1 | 32.0 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | -65 | -2.3 | -2.1 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.39 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Emma Ruhlman | - | 31 | 17.2 | 4.3 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.4 | 4.4 | -14 | -0.4 | -0.6 | 46.2 | 38.9 | 70.0 | 0.36 | 55.8 | 52.8 |
| Marilyn Popplewell | - | 22 | 10.3 | 3.1 | 3.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 4.2 | 36 | 2.0 | 4.7 | 47.5 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.59 | 50.8 | 47.5 |
| Tatianna McLaren | - | 1 | 12.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 79.8 | 100.0 |
| Mandi Pham | - | 1 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 7 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | -0.53 | 52.1 | 75.0 |
| Sydney Pnacek | - | 31 | 8.8 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 2.4 | 1.5 | -52 | -1.4 | -5.2 | 28.0 | 32.4 | 58.3 | -0.27 | 38.0 | 36.0 |
| Allysia McDaniel | - | 1 | 26.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | -17 | -0.4 | -0.6 | 33.3 | 0 | 0 | -0.16 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Sarah Aleknavicius | - | 31 | 14.6 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 55 | 1.7 | 2.7 | 43.4 | 8.3 | 44.4 | 0.59 | 44.8 | 44.3 |
| Ashley Konkle | - | 8 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 0.9 | - | - | - | 23.1 | 0 | 0 | - | 23.1 | 23.1 |
| Emilia Sularski | - | 27 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | -37 | -1.9 | -6.9 | 38.5 | 36.4 | 0 | -0.48 | 53.8 | 53.8 |
| Payton Adkins | - | 30 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 66.7 | 75.0 | 75.0 | -0.21 | 90.2 | 91.7 |
| Magdalena Sularski | - | 30 | 3.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.6 | -0.0 | -74 | -2.7 | -6.5 | 29.4 | 16.7 | 100.0 | -0.68 | 36.4 | 32.4 |
| Bailey Parham | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Laylah Jackson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.41 | 0 | 0 |
| Makenna Yeager | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.03 | 0 | 0 |
| Amaya Asher | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -59 | -3.3 | -8.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.42 | 0 | 0 |
| Sydney Moss | - | 1 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -4 | -0.5 | -0.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Maddy Greene | - | 6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.24 | 0 | 0 |
| Carly Callahan | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 73 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.69 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG