Hillsdale
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1123 (#84) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1102 (#101) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1061 (#120) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.5 (#138) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +4.4 (#291) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.634 (#310) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.538 (#269) | NetEff +1.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.838 (#255) | AdjNet +14.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.849 (#251) | AdjNet +14.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.704 (#255) | AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 59.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.542 (#267) | AdjO 62.3 | AdjD 60.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.635 (#244) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.624 (#248) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1116 (#95) | RD 96 | GP 20 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Ill. Springfield | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Purdue Northwest | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | @ | Wayne St. (MI) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Lake Superior St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | Ferris St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Lake Erie | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | Northwood | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | @ | Saginaw Valley | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Malone | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Thomas More | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Cedarville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Tiffin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Findlay | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Ashland | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Ursuline | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Walsh | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Tiffin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Ohio Dominican | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Riley | - | 1 | 24.0 | 22.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 15.0 | 19.0 | 129 | 7.6 | 42.9 | 53.3 | 33.3 | 66.7 | 4.63 | 62.4 | 60.0 |
| Annalise Pietrzyk | - | 17 | 34.2 | 14.0 | 4.6 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 2.6 | 12.3 | 8.3 | 11 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 39.7 | 35.2 | 73.9 | 1.15 | 51.9 | 48.8 |
| Savannah Smith | - | 17 | 20.7 | 13.1 | 3.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 10.5 | 6.4 | 22 | 1.2 | 4.9 | 54.7 | 50.0 | 70.6 | 1.53 | 57.2 | 55.3 |
| Kadyn Blanchard | - | 1 | 27.0 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 8.0 | 143 | 8.4 | 43.4 | 36.4 | 0.0 | 71.4 | 4.98 | 46.2 | 36.4 |
| Mya Hiram | - | 1 | 20.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 105 | 6.2 | 41.0 | 71.4 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.88 | 76.1 | 71.4 |
| Emma Ruhlman | - | 17 | 26.8 | 8.7 | 7.4 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.4 | 7.5 | 9.9 | 62 | 3.3 | 10.4 | 40.2 | 41.4 | 91.7 | 3.94 | 53.8 | 49.6 |
| Ellie Bruce | - | 17 | 18.3 | 8.2 | 4.9 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 7.2 | 7.0 | -26 | -1.4 | -6.7 | 48.4 | 0 | 56.8 | -0.62 | 50.3 | 48.4 |
| Sarah Aleknavicius | - | 11 | 29.0 | 7.6 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 5.8 | 8.6 | 34 | 3.1 | 9.4 | 45.3 | 34.4 | 75.0 | 2.37 | 57.7 | 53.9 |
| Grace Lyons | - | 1 | 14.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 25 | 1.6 | 18.8 | 42.9 | 20.0 | 0 | -1.7 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Emma Schierbeek | - | 1 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 84 | 4.9 | 49.2 | 28.6 | 40.0 | 0 | 2.33 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Emilia Sularski | - | 17 | 15.3 | 5.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 5.1 | 2.4 | -36 | -1.9 | -10.3 | 40.7 | 42.0 | 0 | -1.72 | 57.6 | 57.6 |
| Ally Schultz | - | 1 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 23 | 1.4 | 18.4 | 66.7 | 100.0 | 0 | -0.72 | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Magdalena Sularski | - | 17 | 25.3 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 3.1 | 5.2 | 2.1 | -54 | -2.8 | -9.9 | 35.2 | 33.3 | 61.5 | -3.81 | 43.7 | 42.0 |
| Kenzie Garner | - | 1 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 17 | 4.2 | 50.8 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | 2.03 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Elle Irwin | - | 1 | 27.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | 190 | 11.2 | 58.2 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 5.29 | 25.5 | 20.0 |
| Sydney Pnacek | - | 17 | 13.0 | 2.5 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 3.2 | 3.4 | -38 | -2.0 | -15.2 | 29.1 | 21.1 | 46.7 | 0.34 | 34.9 | 32.7 |
| Claire Erickson | - | 1 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | -69 | -3.8 | -16.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.57 | 25.8 | 0.0 |
| Mara Mitchell | - | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 52 | 3.2 | 35.3 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.61 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Melena Glysch | - | 1 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 40 | 2.9 | 47.0 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | 2.23 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Alyssa Wirth | - | 1 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | -17 | -1.5 | -22.6 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.36 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
| Addison Kincaid | - | 1 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2 | 0.7 | 21.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Maddie Smith | - | 17 | 21.8 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 4.2 | 35 | 1.8 | 7.6 | 28.6 | 20.0 | 50.0 | 1.88 | 35.4 | 34.3 |
| Maddy Greene | - | 9 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 0.1 | -26 | -2.6 | -64.9 | 31.2 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.36 | 31.2 | 31.2 |
| Grace McKinney | - | 3 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 8 | 2.0 | 73.3 | 50.0 | 0 | 25.0 | - | 39.9 | 50.0 |
| Payton Adkins | - | 11 | 5.7 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 83.3 | -0.77 | 27.7 | 10.0 |
| Charlotte Miller | - | 1 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 41 | 2.4 | 14.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG