Hillsdale
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1024 (#190) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1005 (#239) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 991 (#335) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +8.0 (#157) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +7.8 (#193) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.692 (#222) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.738 (#227) | NetEff +9.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.897 (#143) | AdjNet +18.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.901 (#138) | AdjNet +18.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.777 (#142) | AdjO 78.4 | AdjD 64.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.612 (#132) | AdjO 72.6 | AdjD 67.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.652 (#189) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.637 (#196) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1026 (#197) | RD 97 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Saginaw Valley | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Saginaw Valley | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Andrews | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Ohio Christian | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-26 | @ | UIndy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Malone | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Lake Erie | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | Northwood | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Quincy | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-17 | @ | Truman St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | McKendree | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Malone | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-05 | vs | Walsh | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | Ky. Wesleyan | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Thomas More | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Cedarville | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Tiffin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Findlay | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Ashland | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Walsh | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Tiffin | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Ohio Dominican | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Janowski | - | 21 | 32.5 | 11.8 | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 11.2 | 3.5 | -58 | -2.8 | -11.0 | 43.4 | 35.0 | 64.7 | -0.11 | 49.4 | 47.9 |
| Caleb Glaser | - | 19 | 20.7 | 11.4 | 5.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 7.5 | 10.0 | -78 | -3.9 | -27.1 | 59.2 | 0.0 | 63.6 | -1.17 | 61.7 | 59.2 |
| Connor Stonebraker | - | 22 | 17.0 | 9.4 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 6.8 | 7.0 | -20 | -0.9 | -5.9 | 48.3 | 31.0 | 73.1 | -0.17 | 57.7 | 52.7 |
| Braylon Morris | - | 22 | 21.8 | 8.8 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 6.7 | 4.5 | -25 | -1.1 | -7.1 | 44.2 | 41.8 | 73.5 | 0.71 | 59.6 | 57.1 |
| Garrett Bolte | - | 22 | 25.2 | 7.7 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 5.7 | 7.4 | -81 | -3.7 | -22.3 | 49.2 | 32.3 | 81.8 | -2.28 | 58.5 | 53.2 |
| Cole McWhinnie | - | 22 | 28.5 | 7.6 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 6.3 | 7.5 | -38 | -1.7 | -7.5 | 38.4 | 34.9 | 93.9 | 1.82 | 54.7 | 49.3 |
| Tommy Morgan | - | 22 | 23.2 | 7.5 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 6.1 | 5.5 | -48 | -2.2 | -14.1 | 46.7 | 28.6 | 67.7 | -0.29 | 55.5 | 53.3 |
| CJ Yarian | - | 22 | 20.3 | 5.5 | 5.8 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 4.6 | 8.4 | 15 | 0.7 | 4.8 | 45.1 | 28.1 | 55.9 | 3.17 | 51.3 | 49.5 |
| Matt Buckman | - | 2 | 10.2 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 28.6 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 38.1 | 28.6 |
| Paxton Giertz | - | 22 | 11.8 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 1.1 | -8 | -0.4 | -4.7 | 40.8 | 30.0 | 55.6 | 0.69 | 48.1 | 46.9 |
| Jacob Meyer | - | 7 | 7.2 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 1.7 | -27 | -3.9 | -42.5 | 30.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -2.19 | 36.8 | 30.0 |
| John Morris | - | 3 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | -0.3 | 2 | 0.7 | 55.2 | 25.0 | 33.3 | 0 | 4.36 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Michael App | - | 5 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 | 26.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Israel Gentry | - | 3 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | -0.7 | 3 | 1.0 | 82.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG