Hilbert
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1118 (#40) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1101 (#99) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -8.8 (#252) | HCA +2.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.614 (#390) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.663 (#198) | NetEff +6.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.168 (#565) | AdjNet -13.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.164 (#563) | AdjNet -14.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.275 (#571) | AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 82.3 |
2025 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-08 | vs | Buffalo St. | W | 71 - 69 |
| 2024-11-09 | vs | Franciscan | L | 75 - 80 |
| 2024-11-13 | vs | Fredonia | W | 89 - 84 |
| 2024-11-16 | @ | Keuka | W | 87 - 65 |
| 2024-11-20 | @ | Houghton | W | 84 - 79 |
| 2024-11-23 | vs | Elmira | W | 97 - 67 |
| 2024-11-26 | @ | Alfred | W | 64 - 62 |
| 2024-12-04 | @ | Alfred St. | W | 94 - 45 |
| 2024-12-07 | vs | Penn St.-Altoona | W | 87 - 84 |
| 2024-12-09 | @ | SUNY Geneseo | L | 71 - 77 |
| 2024-12-14 | @ | Pitt.-Bradford | L | 103 - 117 |
| 2025-01-02 | vs | SUNY Canton | W | 83 - 77 |
| 2025-01-04 | @ | Carlow | W | 74 - 69 |
| 2025-01-08 | @ | Pitt.-Greensburg | L | 76 - 89 |
| 2025-01-11 | vs | La Roche | L | 60 - 80 |
| 2025-01-15 | @ | Penn St.-Behrend | L | 68 - 74 |
| 2025-01-18 | vs | Mount Aloysius | W | 87 - 69 |
| 2025-01-25 | @ | Penn St.-Altoona | L | 86 - 91 |
| 2025-01-29 | vs | Alfred St. | W | 85 - 74 |
| 2025-02-01 | vs | Carlow | W | 78 - 75 |
| 2025-02-05 | vs | Pitt.-Bradford | L | 125 - 132 |
| 2025-02-08 | @ | La Roche | L | 87 - 91 |
| 2025-02-12 | vs | Penn St.-Behrend | L | 77 - 84 |
| 2025-02-15 | vs | Pitt.-Greensburg | L | 82 - 83 |
| 2025-02-22 | @ | Mount Aloysius | W | 95 - 86 |
| 2025-02-25 | @ | Penn St.-Altoona | L | 88 - 95 |
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaheem Ellis | - | 26 | 32.2 | 17.6 | 4.1 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 14.8 | 11.1 | 6 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 39.1 | 37.7 | 79.3 | 0.87 | 52.8 | 48.0 |
| Larry Morse | - | 26 | 28.6 | 17.3 | 9.6 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 12.3 | 15.6 | 21 | 1.3 | 5.7 | 60.8 | 20.0 | 75.0 | 0.5 | 63.4 | 61.0 |
| Quran Briggs | - | 25 | 30.2 | 16.6 | 4.3 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 14.1 | 8.8 | 10 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 45.2 | 32.6 | 71.1 | 0.6 | 52.7 | 49.3 |
| Nathan Moore | - | 26 | 25.3 | 9.1 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 6.2 | 5.9 | -14 | -1.3 | -4.0 | 47.2 | 45.5 | 78.3 | 0.24 | 69.0 | 67.7 |
| Ronnie Lewis | - | 26 | 22.2 | 5.2 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 5.3 | 5.2 | 8 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 39.6 | 26.3 | 61.8 | 0.4 | 44.2 | 41.4 |
| Austin Boies | - | 21 | 15.4 | 5.0 | 4.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.7 | 6.4 | -5 | -0.7 | -3.0 | 42.9 | 31.9 | 83.3 | 0.1 | 58.8 | 52.6 |
| Sonny Williams | - | 25 | 12.0 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.1 | 2.4 | -20 | -2.9 | -25.3 | 39.0 | 29.6 | 85.0 | -0.2 | 49.5 | 44.2 |
| Malachi Hartley | - | 23 | 9.4 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 2.7 | 1.9 | -4 | -0.6 | -3.3 | 39.7 | 39.3 | 82.4 | 0.04 | 53.2 | 48.4 |
| Jamarius Johnson | - | 17 | 4.5 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.7 | -6 | -1.0 | -22.9 | 84.6 | 100.0 | 75.0 | -0.6 | 87.3 | 88.5 |
| Justin Poumpey | - | 26 | 7.7 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.7 | -2 | -0.5 | -5.7 | 42.6 | 20.0 | 66.7 | -0.48 | 47.4 | 45.4 |
| Trevon Alexis | - | 25 | 7.0 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 45.5 | 0 | 44.4 | -0.33 | 46.2 | 45.5 |
| Luke Rybicki | - | 24 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 47.8 | 52.9 | 80.0 | -1.29 | 69.4 | 67.4 |
| Kevin Alvarado | - | 23 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0 | 75.0 | - | 58.0 | 50.0 |
| Josh Polk | - | 24 | 2.6 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | 32.2 | 33.3 |
| Andy Herrick | - | 20 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 66.7 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 83.3 | 83.3 |
| Deshawn Tolbert | - | 21 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Jon Suro | - | 21 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.2 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Aidan Goodwin | - | 14 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | -0.1 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG