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Hilbert

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: Hilbert
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1102 (#100) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1037 (#297) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 895 (#682) HCA +56 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → -10.0 (#258) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -19.4 (#677) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.614 (#390) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +7.8 More → 0.698 (#32) NetEff +7.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -13.9 More → 0.168 (#565) AdjNet -13.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -14.0 More → 0.164 (#563) AdjNet -14.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 82.3 More → 0.275 (#571) AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 82.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 75.7 More → 0.291 (#681) AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 75.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.225 (#641) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.230 (#646) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 110 | GP 21 More → 874 (#505) RD 110 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 vs Waynesburg L 69 - 75
2025-11-08 vs Covenant W 111 - 99
2025-11-12 @ Fredonia W 71 - 64
2025-11-15 @ Elmira W 87 - 76
2025-11-19 vs Houghton W 76 - 69
2025-11-22 vs Keuka W 74 - 72
2025-11-25 vs Alfred W 71 - 66
2025-12-03 @ Pitt.-Bradford W 99 - 84
2025-12-06 @ Mount Aloysius W 77 - 66
2025-12-10 @ Buffalo St. W 71 - 62
2025-12-13 vs Carlow W 77 - 55
2026-01-03 vs SUNY Geneseo L 68 - 82
2026-01-07 vs Penn St.-Altoona W 90 - 53
2026-01-10 @ La Roche L 72 - 79
2026-01-14 @ Penn St.-Behrend L 69 - 81
2026-01-17 @ Pitt.-Greensburg L 60 - 64
2026-01-22 vs Alfred St. W 81 - 53
2026-01-24 vs La Roche L 56 - 75
2026-01-31 @ Penn St.-Altoona L 82 - 95
2026-02-04 vs Penn St.-Behrend L 49 - 81
2026-02-07 vs Pitt.-Greensburg L 68 - 74

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Larry Morse - 21 30.2 18.0 8.1 1.0 0.9 0.7 2.5 13.3 12.8 38 1.9 8.4 59.6 0.0 73.8 0.72 61.8 59.6
Jaden Mitchell - 13 27.8 14.4 2.2 1.1 0.8 0.2 1.8 10.2 6.5 47 3.9 30.2 48.9 41.5 74.5 0.34 60.8 57.1
Ari Jones - 20 26.5 13.1 3.9 1.5 0.9 0.0 2.1 9.9 7.2 -6 -0.3 -1.6 44.7 30.0 66.7 -1.37 55.3 51.5
Jayden Montgomery - 21 30.4 8.1 4.8 6.6 1.9 0.4 2.5 6.9 12.4 59 3.0 13.0 45.8 31.6 50.0 2.14 49.4 47.9
Ne'Sean Fawlks - 19 23.7 7.7 5.2 2.1 0.9 1.1 1.8 6.3 8.9 50 16.7 53.2 42.9 31.7 86.4 1.63 57.1 53.8
Sonny Williams - 20 16.6 5.6 1.8 1.9 0.8 0.1 1.6 5.2 3.4 -19 -1.0 -8.4 41.3 29.0 70.8 -2.56 48.9 45.7
Ronnie Lewis - 21 22.4 5.2 4.6 1.6 0.5 0.1 1.3 5.5 5.4 -30 -1.5 -8.4 34.8 26.0 54.8 -3.84 42.8 40.4
Iyan Bremer - 19 12.9 4.4 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.5 3.7 2.3 -41 -2.3 -12.5 40.8 35.6 71.4 -2.65 56.7 55.6
Jamarius Johnson - 5 9.3 3.8 3.2 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.6 3.4 3.8 -1 -0.2 -2.0 52.9 0 100.0 0.08 54.5 52.9
Sam Platt - 6 7.0 3.3 1.5 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.5 2.7 2.5 -10 -2.0 -15.5 50.0 0 80.0 -1.05 54.9 50.0
Demetrius Robinson - 15 12.4 2.5 2.8 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.5 2.3 4.5 36 2.6 23.7 47.1 42.9 50.0 2.77 51.7 51.5
Kevin Alvarado - 15 7.3 2.2 1.9 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.9 2.7 -8 -0.6 -14.5 46.4 0 46.7 -0.1 47.7 46.4
Rudy Hyppolite - 4 1.7 1.2 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.8 1 0.2 11.0 66.7 0.0 100.0 0.68 72.7 66.7
Ralph Batista - 12 4.0 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.2 0.3 5 0.4 7.5 20.0 11.1 50.0 -0.1 26.8 23.3
Josh Polk - 13 5.3 0.4 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.4 -18 -1.5 -27.6 13.3 0.0 20.0 -3.4 14.5 13.3
Darrian Jones - 3 1.8 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 11 2.8 6.3 0.0 0 0 -0.21 0.0 0.0
Ethan Krog - 3 2.8 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 -0.3 -2 -0.7 -42.9 0.0 0.0 0 0.52 0.0 0.0
Mike Jones - 5 3.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 -0.2 -9 -2.2 -332.3 0.0 0.0 0 -0.2 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG