🐻⬇️🏀

Henderson St.

Also known as: Henderson St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1094 (#62) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1076 (#95) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +7.2 (#123) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.491 (#366) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -2.7 More → 0.418 (#244) NetEff -2.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +17.8 More → 0.887 (#214) AdjNet +17.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +18.5 More → 0.899 (#211) AdjNet +18.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 64.3 More → 0.754 (#209) AdjO 76.7 | AdjD 64.3

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 @ Central Mo. L 49 - 76
2024-11-09 vs Mo. Southern St. L 47 - 75
2024-11-13 vs Delta St. W 83 - 73
2024-11-20 @ Northeastern St. L 61 - 70
2024-11-26 @ Mississippi Col. W 53 - 50
2024-11-30 vs Rogers St. L 68 - 73
2024-12-05 @ Southeastern Okla. L 46 - 59
2024-12-07 @ East Central L 61 - 66
2024-12-12 @ Arkansas Tech W 83 - 70
2024-12-14 vs Harding L 88 - 94
2024-12-19 vs Southern Ark. W 70 - 67
2025-01-04 @ Ark.-Monticello W 70 - 51
2025-01-09 vs Southwestern Okla. L 83 - 89
2025-01-11 vs Northwestern Okla. W 72 - 69
2025-01-16 @ Southern Nazarene L 41 - 63
2025-01-18 @ Okla. Baptist L 56 - 75
2025-01-23 vs Ouachita Baptist L 58 - 80
2025-01-25 @ Southern Ark. W 75 - 68
2025-01-30 vs East Central W 74 - 68
2025-02-01 vs Southeastern Okla. W 64 - 62
2025-02-06 @ Northwestern Okla. L 45 - 81
2025-02-08 @ Southwestern Okla. L 60 - 64
2025-02-13 @ Ouachita Baptist L 52 - 70
2025-02-15 vs Ark.-Monticello L 53 - 70
2025-02-21 vs Okla. Baptist L 61 - 66
2025-02-23 vs Southern Nazarene L 65 - 76
2025-02-27 vs Arkansas Tech L 66 - 71
2025-03-01 @ Harding L 52 - 86

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Natalie Cardenas - 25 26.1 13.9 4.2 1.0 0.8 0.2 2.2 13.1 4.7 11 0.3 0.4 31.4 26.7 77.9 0.74 44.5 36.3
Brynlee Huggins - 28 33.5 13.7 3.2 1.8 0.8 0.4 2.1 13.8 4.0 -2 -0.1 -0.1 33.0 31.5 66.7 -0.01 45.2 42.1
Sam Basson - 28 30.6 8.1 2.0 2.5 1.0 0.0 2.2 7.6 3.7 -16 -0.4 -0.5 38.3 37.4 86.7 -0.22 51.2 49.8
Marlee Raby - 28 17.6 5.4 2.1 0.6 0.4 0.4 1.7 6.1 1.1 20 0.5 0.9 34.7 21.4 77.1 0.02 40.7 36.5
Jadah Pickens - 21 9.2 5.2 1.5 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.8 4.8 2.0 41 2.7 3.8 40.6 43.8 80.8 -0.12 48.9 44.1
Bobbi Bazzle - 28 22.8 4.4 6.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.0 2.9 8.3 -3 -0.1 -0.2 58.0 0 58.3 0.09 59.7 58.0
Klowie Pike - 28 16.4 4.2 2.1 1.1 0.9 0.0 1.3 4.9 2.1 -93 -2.4 -4.7 29.4 28.7 57.7 -0.75 40.0 37.9
Makenna Winans - 28 16.5 3.3 7.5 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.8 2.6 8.8 0 0.0 0.0 45.8 0.0 74.3 -0.21 52.6 45.8
Michaela Mayfield - 28 6.9 2.5 1.6 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.7 2.0 2.2 13 0.5 2.0 39.3 44.4 73.9 0.04 52.2 46.4
Tristin Keller - 28 15.1 2.5 2.8 1.2 0.3 0.1 1.4 3.0 2.6 3 0.1 0.2 34.9 27.3 47.6 0.46 38.5 36.7
Riley Samples - 25 6.6 2.4 0.9 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.6 2.5 0.7 0 0.0 0.0 33.9 28.6 91.7 0.2 45.3 40.3
Keeley Chaddick - 26 1.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 -0.1 1 0.1 0.8 33.3 0.0 0 -0.01 33.3 33.3
Ahmmiyah Caffey - 27 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 -0.0 - - - 0.0 0 50.0 - 17.4 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG