Henderson St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1041 (#118) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1008 (#241) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 925 (#515) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +7.9 (#127) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +4.6 (#252) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.504 (#332) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.964 (#149) | NetEff +29.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.603 (#360) | AdjNet +3.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.676 (#319) | AdjNet +6.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.609 (#325) | AdjO 79.5 | AdjD 74.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.515 (#268) | AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 71.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.544 (#284) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.525 (#295) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 957 (#262) | RD 99 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Bemidji St. | L | 69 - 89 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Minnesota St. | L | 84 - 93 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Champion Chris. | W | 112 - 82 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Lyon | W | 96 - 58 |
| 2025-11-26 | vs | Ark.-Fort Smith | L | 92 - 95 |
| 2025-11-29 | @ | Christian Brothers | W | 83 - 64 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Southeastern Okla. | L | 70 - 74 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | East Central | W | 75 - 51 |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | Arkansas Tech | W | 63 - 59 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Harding | L | 57 - 74 |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | Southern Ark. | W | 80 - 70 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Ark.-Monticello | W | 66 - 64 |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | Southwestern Okla. | L | 63 - 76 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Northwestern Okla. | W | 70 - 61 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Southern Nazarene | L | 85 - 90 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Okla. Baptist | L | 61 - 73 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Ouachita Baptist | L | 60 - 90 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | East Central | L | 59 - 82 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Southeastern Okla. | L | 53 - 54 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Northwestern Okla. | W | 75 - 66 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Southwestern Okla. | L | 63 - 75 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaveion Okoh | - | 21 | 32.0 | 15.0 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 13.5 | 7.4 | -30 | -1.5 | -6.2 | 40.1 | 36.4 | 66.3 | -0.76 | 48.7 | 45.1 |
| Xavier Owens | - | 21 | 26.3 | 12.0 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 2.2 | 8.5 | 8.1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 49.4 | 36.6 | 70.6 | -2.21 | 58.3 | 53.7 |
| KJ Sykes | - | 21 | 27.6 | 11.2 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.3 | 5.6 | 15 | 0.8 | 3.6 | 45.8 | 24.6 | 62.9 | 1.34 | 51.0 | 49.5 |
| Deazhon Perkins | - | 7 | 22.6 | 10.0 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.6 | 5.1 | -7 | -1.0 | -6.2 | 56.6 | 33.3 | 72.7 | 0.96 | 60.5 | 58.5 |
| Tyson Whybrew | - | 20 | 27.9 | 7.4 | 5.9 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4.7 | 10.1 | 48 | 2.5 | 13.2 | 59.6 | 0.0 | 73.5 | 2.53 | 64.0 | 59.6 |
| Jabari West | - | 19 | 18.1 | 7.1 | 4.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5.0 | 6.5 | -20 | -1.1 | -6.5 | 56.8 | 25.0 | 75.8 | 3.23 | 61.6 | 57.9 |
| Jameel Wesley II | - | 21 | 22.8 | 6.6 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 6.1 | 5.1 | -3 | -0.1 | -1.0 | 41.4 | 27.1 | 66.7 | 1.18 | 49.2 | 46.5 |
| Creed Williamson | - | 21 | 15.5 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 3.6 | 3.3 | -10 | -0.5 | -4.1 | 53.9 | 0.0 | 63.3 | -1.52 | 56.6 | 53.9 |
| Grey Garrison | - | 21 | 10.2 | 2.6 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 2.2 | 3.2 | -41 | -2.0 | -28.8 | 45.7 | 20.0 | 61.1 | -4.09 | 51.0 | 47.8 |
| James Elgas | - | 21 | 12.0 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 3.0 | -11 | -0.6 | -6.3 | 43.4 | 9.1 | 57.1 | 0.98 | 45.5 | 44.3 |
| Rade Zecevic | - | 5 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 11 | 2.8 | 61.3 | 33.3 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 1.35 | 58.1 | 50.0 |
| Hunter-Mack Nelms | - | 16 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 0.9 | -5 | -0.3 | -8.3 | 35.3 | 27.3 | 100.0 | -0.14 | 47.5 | 44.1 |
| Corliss Williamson | - | 4 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.72 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| AJ Howard | - | 10 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 28.6 | 20.0 | 0 | -0.7 | 35.7 | 35.7 |
| Terrance Callahan Jr | - | 5 | 5.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | - | 8.7 | 0.0 |
| Jaden Nelson | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36 | 1.7 | 8.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.58 | 0 | 0 |
| Kanard Turner | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG