🐻⬇️🏀

Henderson St.

Also known as: Henderson St.
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1041 (#118) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1008 (#241) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 925 (#515) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +7.9 (#127) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +4.6 (#252) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.504 (#332) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +29.4 More → 0.964 (#149) NetEff +29.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.6 More → 0.603 (#360) AdjNet +3.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.4 More → 0.676 (#319) AdjNet +6.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 79.5 | AdjD 74.6 More → 0.609 (#325) AdjO 79.5 | AdjD 74.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 71.2 More → 0.515 (#268) AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 71.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.544 (#284) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.525 (#295) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 21 More → 957 (#262) RD 99 | GP 21

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-14 @ Bemidji St. L 69 - 89
2025-11-15 @ Minnesota St. L 84 - 93
2025-11-19 vs Champion Chris. W 112 - 82
2025-11-22 vs Lyon W 96 - 58
2025-11-26 vs Ark.-Fort Smith L 92 - 95
2025-11-29 @ Christian Brothers W 83 - 64
2025-12-04 vs Southeastern Okla. L 70 - 74
2025-12-06 vs East Central W 75 - 51
2025-12-11 vs Arkansas Tech W 63 - 59
2025-12-13 @ Harding L 57 - 74
2025-12-18 @ Southern Ark. W 80 - 70
2026-01-03 vs Ark.-Monticello W 66 - 64
2026-01-08 @ Southwestern Okla. L 63 - 76
2026-01-10 @ Northwestern Okla. W 70 - 61
2026-01-15 vs Southern Nazarene L 85 - 90
2026-01-17 vs Okla. Baptist L 61 - 73
2026-01-22 @ Ouachita Baptist L 60 - 90
2026-01-29 @ East Central L 59 - 82
2026-01-31 @ Southeastern Okla. L 53 - 54
2026-02-05 vs Northwestern Okla. W 75 - 66
2026-02-07 vs Southwestern Okla. L 63 - 75

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Zaveion Okoh - 21 32.0 15.0 3.5 1.5 1.7 0.7 1.5 13.5 7.4 -30 -1.5 -6.2 40.1 36.4 66.3 -0.76 48.7 45.1
Xavier Owens - 21 26.3 12.0 4.8 1.0 0.6 0.5 2.2 8.5 8.1 0 0.0 0.0 49.4 36.6 70.6 -2.21 58.3 53.7
KJ Sykes - 21 27.6 11.2 2.3 2.7 1.7 0.0 2.0 10.3 5.6 15 0.8 3.6 45.8 24.6 62.9 1.34 51.0 49.5
Deazhon Perkins - 7 22.6 10.0 1.4 1.6 0.7 0.0 1.0 7.6 5.1 -7 -1.0 -6.2 56.6 33.3 72.7 0.96 60.5 58.5
Tyson Whybrew - 20 27.9 7.4 5.9 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.2 4.7 10.1 48 2.5 13.2 59.6 0.0 73.5 2.53 64.0 59.6
Jabari West - 19 18.1 7.1 4.4 0.4 0.3 0.9 1.7 5.0 6.5 -20 -1.1 -6.5 56.8 25.0 75.8 3.23 61.6 57.9
Jameel Wesley II - 21 22.8 6.6 3.4 1.1 1.1 0.4 1.4 6.1 5.1 -3 -0.1 -1.0 41.4 27.1 66.7 1.18 49.2 46.5
Creed Williamson - 21 15.5 4.8 2.8 0.4 0.2 0.2 1.5 3.6 3.3 -10 -0.5 -4.1 53.9 0.0 63.3 -1.52 56.6 53.9
Grey Garrison - 21 10.2 2.6 2.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 2.2 3.2 -41 -2.0 -28.8 45.7 20.0 61.1 -4.09 51.0 47.8
James Elgas - 21 12.0 2.4 2.0 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.6 2.5 3.0 -11 -0.6 -6.3 43.4 9.1 57.1 0.98 45.5 44.3
Rade Zecevic - 5 3.0 1.6 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.4 11 2.8 61.3 33.3 40.0 100.0 1.35 58.1 50.0
Hunter-Mack Nelms - 16 4.0 1.1 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 1.1 0.9 -5 -0.3 -8.3 35.3 27.3 100.0 -0.14 47.5 44.1
Corliss Williamson - 4 3.5 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.0 0.5 0 0.0 0.0 50.0 0.0 0 -0.72 50.0 50.0
AJ Howard - 10 5.0 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 2 0.2 3.0 28.6 20.0 0 -0.7 35.7 35.7
Terrance Callahan Jr - 5 5.1 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.8 0.8 - - - 0.0 0.0 25.0 - 8.7 0.0
Jaden Nelson - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 36 1.7 8.3 0 0 0 2.58 0 0
Kanard Turner - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG