🐻⬇️🏀

Heidelberg

Also known as: Heidelberg
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1056 (#112) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1040 (#210) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +6.3 (#49) HCA +2.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.622 (#385) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +5.9 More → 0.650 (#206) NetEff +5.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.4 More → 0.625 (#305) AdjNet +4.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.2 More → 0.619 (#305) AdjNet +4.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 79.8 | AdjD 76.3 More → 0.578 (#306) AdjO 79.8 | AdjD 76.3

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-08 vs Wabash W 82 - 78
2024-11-09 vs Mary Hardin-Baylor L 75 - 79
2024-11-15 vs Manchester L 88 - 92
2024-11-16 vs Calvin W 85 - 78
2024-11-20 vs Kenyon W 80 - 59
2024-11-30 @ Wis.-Platteville L 75 - 87
2024-12-04 @ Capital W 100 - 75
2024-12-07 vs Muskingum L 77 - 78
2024-12-14 @ Otterbein W 96 - 76
2024-12-20 @ Wittenberg W 96 - 72
2024-12-29 @ Kent St. L 80 - 84
2025-01-04 vs Marietta W 93 - 86
2025-01-08 vs Baldwin Wallace W 92 - 81
2025-01-11 @ Mount Union W 75 - 71
2025-01-15 @ John Carroll L 70 - 77
2025-01-18 vs Wilmington (OH) W 71 - 69
2025-01-22 vs Ohio Northern W 77 - 69
2025-01-25 @ Muskingum L 71 - 77
2025-01-29 vs Capital W 107 - 59
2025-02-01 vs Otterbein W 73 - 67
2025-02-05 @ Baldwin Wallace L 85 - 91
2025-02-08 @ Marietta W 112 - 99
2025-02-12 @ Ohio Northern W 79 - 65
2025-02-15 vs Mount Union L 61 - 72
2025-02-19 vs John Carroll L 71 - 76
2025-02-22 @ Wilmington (OH) W 86 - 63
2025-02-25 vs Ohio Northern W 75 - 67
2025-02-27 @ Mount Union L 66 - 77

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Elijah Harden - 28 29.1 15.7 2.2 1.7 0.7 0.0 1.3 12.0 7.1 -22 -1.6 -3.5 47.0 40.0 82.4 0.14 58.9 55.1
Eric Panning - 28 30.4 14.9 9.9 0.9 0.9 1.4 1.6 9.8 16.7 -52 -3.5 -5.1 50.7 0 75.4 1.2 58.7 50.7
Markell Johnson-Nichols - 28 28.9 13.8 3.1 4.0 1.7 0.4 2.3 8.9 11.8 -84 -4.7 -8.9 50.6 45.7 80.4 0.25 61.6 53.8
Manny Hill - 27 25.4 11.1 4.8 2.2 1.2 0.1 1.6 9.6 8.1 -1 -0.1 -0.1 45.0 35.4 76.9 1.95 52.2 48.3
Zane Leitwein - 28 30.7 9.4 4.0 0.8 1.0 0.2 0.9 7.4 7.1 -45 -3.0 -4.5 41.3 38.5 90.2 1.23 58.9 55.1
Kevin Reynald Jr. - 28 13.2 5.4 1.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.8 4.0 3.4 -31 -3.9 -11.5 52.3 50.0 62.2 0.07 57.7 55.4
Jaiden Guerra-Howard - 28 9.1 3.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.8 2.7 1.7 2 0.2 1.0 36.0 29.4 72.7 0.08 46.4 39.3
Mason Wisniewski - 28 4.7 2.5 1.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.6 2.7 -5 -1.0 -6.0 70.5 0.0 53.8 -0.13 69.4 70.5
Riley Gossom - 28 9.2 1.9 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 1.8 1.5 -15 -1.7 -13.0 36.0 37.0 66.7 -0.01 48.8 46.0
Carter Pleiman - 23 7.5 1.8 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.1 -38 -4.8 -9.9 53.3 53.8 50.0 0.54 64.3 65.0
Brady Bosma - 24 6.2 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.1 1.3 1.8 5 0.5 5.8 40.6 31.8 88.9 -0.03 57.0 51.6
Drew Panning - 26 4.6 1.6 1.2 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.8 -21 -1.6 -29.5 53.3 33.3 69.2 -0.2 58.8 55.0
Lamont Powell Jr. - 17 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 63 3.5 7.1 66.7 0.0 50.0 0.97 64.4 66.7
Trent Wininger - 26 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 - - - 66.7 50.0 0 - 83.3 83.3
Beau Bridges - 12 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jackson Beasley - 10 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jalen Dandridge - 5 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.2 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Darius Davis Jr. - 6 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 -0.2 24 1.6 3.0 0.0 0.0 0 0.5 0.0 0.0
Dylan McGlinch - 5 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Max Parish - 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Demetrius Rivers - 22 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG