Hawaii Pacific
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 902 (#447) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 860 (#474) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 930 (#582) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.3 (#201) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -7.4 (#478) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.264 (#456) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.206 (#364) | NetEff -9.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.402 (#442) | AdjNet -3.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.408 (#443) | AdjNet -3.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.463 (#440) | AdjO 60.1 | AdjD 61.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.380 (#548) | AdjO 55.7 | AdjD 61.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.387 (#461) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.372 (#474) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 857 (#425) | RD 99 | GP 22 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | vs | Johnson C. Smith | W | 84 - 26 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Alas. Anchorage | L | 49 - 72 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Saint Martin's | L | 44 - 58 |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | UC Merced | L | 57 - 67 |
| 2025-11-26 | vs | Cal St. East Bay | W | 63 - 55 |
| 2025-12-01 | vs | UVA Wise | W | 101 - 57 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Hawaii Hilo | W | 57 - 49 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Hawaii Hilo | L | 63 - 69 |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | West Tex. A&M | L | 30 - 64 |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Colo. Sch. of Mines | L | 53 - 56 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Fresno Pacific | L | 53 - 62 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Dominican (CA) | L | 68 - 71 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Vanguard | L | 61 - 72 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Menlo | W | 58 - 51 |
| 2026-01-20 | vs | Biola | W | 58 - 53 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Westmont | L | 40 - 61 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | CUI | W | 70 - 62 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Westmont | L | 38 - 68 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Vanguard | L | 37 - 79 |
| 2026-02-02 | @ | Azusa Pacific | L | 67 - 76 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Chaminade | W | 64 - 52 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macy Spencer | - | 2 | 18.9 | 19.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 9.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 77.8 | 90.9 | 50.0 | - | 103.3 | 105.6 |
| Aaliyah Collins | - | 2 | 21.4 | 14.5 | 0.5 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 9.5 | 12.5 | - | - | - | 68.4 | 50.0 | 50.0 | - | 69.8 | 71.1 |
| Nevaeh Zavala | - | 2 | 23.4 | 14.0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 9.5 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 63.2 | 33.3 | 66.7 | - | 68.9 | 68.4 |
| Peyton Gerdes | - | 2 | 17.2 | 11.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 50.0 | 60.0 | - | 81.0 | 83.3 |
| Kyra Tanabe | - | 19 | 28.6 | 10.7 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 9.3 | 4.6 | -39 | -1.9 | -8.7 | 35.0 | 33.3 | 85.5 | -0.15 | 49.7 | 42.4 |
| Mya Hatchett | - | 19 | 25.4 | 9.1 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 8.6 | 5.4 | -55 | -2.6 | -13.9 | 40.9 | 21.4 | 70.2 | -0.64 | 46.8 | 42.7 |
| Jalen Samuel | - | 19 | 23.4 | 8.9 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 9.0 | 0.7 | -77 | -3.7 | -19.2 | 33.3 | 28.7 | 74.4 | -2.09 | 45.2 | 41.2 |
| Chana Paxixe | - | 2 | 21.6 | 8.5 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 6.5 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 46.2 | 0.0 | 62.5 | - | 51.5 | 46.2 |
| Dom Nesland | - | 2 | 21.9 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 7.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 53.8 | 50.0 |
| Alana Roberts | - | 19 | 26.8 | 6.0 | 6.8 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 6.6 | 7.2 | -16 | -0.8 | -3.5 | 37.3 | 0.0 | 74.1 | 2.81 | 41.3 | 37.3 |
| Lucia Ricci | - | 19 | 24.3 | 6.0 | 5.4 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 6.3 | 6.4 | -27 | -1.3 | -7.3 | 32.8 | 28.1 | 75.0 | 0.91 | 44.0 | 40.3 |
| Mia Frye | - | 19 | 24.7 | 4.9 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 4.8 | 3.6 | -101 | -4.8 | -21.6 | 32.6 | 16.7 | 66.0 | -0.39 | 41.7 | 34.2 |
| Kenaya Klintman | - | 2 | 10.8 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 3.5 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 100.0 | 50.0 | - | 76.5 | 80.0 |
| Anna Hager | - | 2 | 22.5 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 5.5 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 27.3 | 20.0 | 50.0 | - | 33.7 | 31.8 |
| Brecken Snotherly | - | 2 | 18.8 | 4.0 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 11.5 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 82.0 | 75.0 |
| KalysaMarie Ng | - | 19 | 18.5 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 4.3 | 1.7 | -122 | -5.8 | -36.6 | 24.7 | 22.2 | 60.0 | -2.5 | 34.0 | 32.1 |
| Kyla Hopton | - | 19 | 13.4 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 3.9 | 0.3 | -55 | -2.6 | -16.0 | 17.6 | 20.4 | 61.1 | -0.32 | 29.3 | 25.0 |
| Lexi Fleming | - | 1 | 22.9 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Anisa Torres | - | 16 | 7.3 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 0.6 | -28 | -1.6 | -38.2 | 33.3 | 28.0 | 50.0 | -2.06 | 45.3 | 45.0 |
| Sky Donaie | - | 2 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 52.1 | 50.0 |
| Victoria Hyatt | - | 5 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | -6 | -2.0 | -32.2 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 66.7 | -0.39 | 65.8 | 62.5 |
| Serenity Santos | - | 15 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 0.6 | -64 | -4.0 | -63.1 | 35.0 | 35.7 | 0 | -1.85 | 47.5 | 47.5 |
| Kelsey Miller | - | 2 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | - | 113.6 | 0 |
| Dakota Phillips | - | 2 | 4.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Raina Forgue | - | 7 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.9 | -1.0 | -25 | -4.2 | -134.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.39 | 14.5 | 0.0 |
| Dani Angel | - | 3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -8 | -2.7 | -206.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.07 | 0 | 0 |
| Tiana Holland | - | 3 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | -4 | -2.0 | -86.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.44 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Jillian David | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Cheyenne Brand | - | 1 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG