🐻⬇️🏀

Hawaii Pacific

Also known as: Hawaii Pacific
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 942 (#414) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 857 (#461) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +75 elo More → 930 (#582) HCA +75 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -2.5 (#250) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.7 More → -7.4 (#478) HCA +3.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.264 (#456) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -9.3 More → 0.206 (#364) NetEff -9.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.4 More → 0.402 (#442) AdjNet -3.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.1 More → 0.408 (#443) AdjNet -3.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.1 | AdjD 61.7 More → 0.463 (#440) AdjO 60.1 | AdjD 61.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 55.7 | AdjD 61.1 More → 0.380 (#548) AdjO 55.7 | AdjD 61.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.387 (#462) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.372 (#473) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 96 | GP 23 More → 872 (#402) RD 96 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Johnson C. Smith - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 vs Alas. Anchorage - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 vs Saint Martin's - Incomplete score
2025-11-21 vs UC Merced - Incomplete score
2025-11-26 vs Cal St. East Bay - Incomplete score
2025-12-01 vs UVA Wise - Incomplete score
2025-12-04 @ Hawaii Hilo - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 vs Hawaii Hilo - Incomplete score
2025-12-19 vs West Tex. A&M - Incomplete score
2025-12-20 vs Colo. Sch. of Mines - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 @ Fresno Pacific - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ Dominican (CA) - Incomplete score
2026-01-15 vs Vanguard - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Menlo - Incomplete score
2026-01-20 vs Biola - Incomplete score
2026-01-22 vs Westmont - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 vs CUI - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 @ Westmont - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Vanguard - Incomplete score
2026-02-02 @ Azusa Pacific - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Chaminade - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Kyra Tanabe - 19 28.6 10.7 1.8 1.5 1.8 0.1 2.0 9.3 4.6 -39 -1.9 -8.7 35.0 33.3 85.5 -0.84 49.7 42.4
Mya Hatchett - 19 25.4 9.1 3.7 1.5 1.8 0.4 2.4 8.6 5.4 -55 -2.6 -13.9 40.9 21.4 70.2 0.59 46.8 42.7
Jalen Samuel - 19 23.4 8.9 1.7 0.9 0.8 0.0 2.7 9.0 0.7 -77 -3.7 -19.2 33.3 28.7 74.4 -0.38 45.2 41.2
Alana Roberts - 19 26.8 6.0 6.8 0.8 1.4 0.7 1.9 6.6 7.2 -16 -0.8 -3.5 37.3 0.0 74.1 2.47 41.3 37.3
Lucia Ricci - 19 24.3 6.0 5.4 1.1 1.9 0.1 1.8 6.3 6.4 -27 -1.3 -7.3 32.8 28.1 75.0 1.41 44.0 40.3
Mia Frye - 19 24.7 4.9 3.1 1.5 1.2 0.1 2.4 4.8 3.6 -101 -4.8 -21.6 32.6 16.7 66.0 -1.41 41.7 34.2
KalysaMarie Ng - 19 18.5 3.1 2.5 0.7 0.8 0.1 1.2 4.3 1.7 -122 -5.8 -36.6 24.7 22.2 60.0 -3.86 34.0 32.1
Kyla Hopton - 19 13.4 2.5 1.8 0.3 0.7 0.2 1.3 3.9 0.3 -55 -2.6 -16.0 17.6 20.4 61.1 -2.69 29.3 25.0
Anisa Torres - 16 7.3 1.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.6 1.9 0.6 -28 -1.6 -38.2 33.3 28.0 50.0 -2.53 45.3 45.0
Victoria Hyatt - 5 2.6 1.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.2 -6 -2.0 -32.2 50.0 100.0 66.7 - 65.8 62.5
Serenity Santos - 15 6.2 1.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 1.3 0.6 -64 -4.0 -63.1 35.0 35.7 0 -4.63 47.5 47.5
Raina Forgue - 7 3.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.9 -1.0 -25 -4.2 -134.2 0.0 0.0 100.0 - 14.5 0.0
Tiana Holland - 3 3.5 0.0 1.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.7 -4 -2.0 -86.5 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Dani Angel - 3 1.7 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 -8 -2.7 -206.5 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jillian David - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG