Hawaii Pacific
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 942 (#414) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 857 (#461) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 930 (#582) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -2.5 (#250) | HCA +2.9 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -7.4 (#478) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.264 (#456) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.206 (#364) | NetEff -9.3 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.402 (#442) | AdjNet -3.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.408 (#443) | AdjNet -3.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.463 (#440) | AdjO 60.1 | AdjD 61.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.380 (#548) | AdjO 55.7 | AdjD 61.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.387 (#462) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.372 (#473) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 872 (#402) | RD 96 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | vs | Johnson C. Smith | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Alas. Anchorage | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Saint Martin's | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-21 | vs | UC Merced | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-26 | vs | Cal St. East Bay | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-01 | vs | UVA Wise | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Hawaii Hilo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Hawaii Hilo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | West Tex. A&M | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Colo. Sch. of Mines | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Fresno Pacific | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Dominican (CA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Vanguard | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Menlo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-20 | vs | Biola | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Westmont | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | CUI | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Westmont | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Vanguard | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-02 | @ | Azusa Pacific | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Chaminade | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyra Tanabe | - | 19 | 28.6 | 10.7 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 9.3 | 4.6 | -39 | -1.9 | -8.7 | 35.0 | 33.3 | 85.5 | -0.84 | 49.7 | 42.4 |
| Mya Hatchett | - | 19 | 25.4 | 9.1 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 8.6 | 5.4 | -55 | -2.6 | -13.9 | 40.9 | 21.4 | 70.2 | 0.59 | 46.8 | 42.7 |
| Jalen Samuel | - | 19 | 23.4 | 8.9 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.7 | 9.0 | 0.7 | -77 | -3.7 | -19.2 | 33.3 | 28.7 | 74.4 | -0.38 | 45.2 | 41.2 |
| Alana Roberts | - | 19 | 26.8 | 6.0 | 6.8 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 6.6 | 7.2 | -16 | -0.8 | -3.5 | 37.3 | 0.0 | 74.1 | 2.47 | 41.3 | 37.3 |
| Lucia Ricci | - | 19 | 24.3 | 6.0 | 5.4 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 6.3 | 6.4 | -27 | -1.3 | -7.3 | 32.8 | 28.1 | 75.0 | 1.41 | 44.0 | 40.3 |
| Mia Frye | - | 19 | 24.7 | 4.9 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.4 | 4.8 | 3.6 | -101 | -4.8 | -21.6 | 32.6 | 16.7 | 66.0 | -1.41 | 41.7 | 34.2 |
| KalysaMarie Ng | - | 19 | 18.5 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 4.3 | 1.7 | -122 | -5.8 | -36.6 | 24.7 | 22.2 | 60.0 | -3.86 | 34.0 | 32.1 |
| Kyla Hopton | - | 19 | 13.4 | 2.5 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 3.9 | 0.3 | -55 | -2.6 | -16.0 | 17.6 | 20.4 | 61.1 | -2.69 | 29.3 | 25.0 |
| Anisa Torres | - | 16 | 7.3 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 0.6 | -28 | -1.6 | -38.2 | 33.3 | 28.0 | 50.0 | -2.53 | 45.3 | 45.0 |
| Victoria Hyatt | - | 5 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | -6 | -2.0 | -32.2 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 66.7 | - | 65.8 | 62.5 |
| Serenity Santos | - | 15 | 6.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 0.6 | -64 | -4.0 | -63.1 | 35.0 | 35.7 | 0 | -4.63 | 47.5 | 47.5 |
| Raina Forgue | - | 7 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.9 | -1.0 | -25 | -4.2 | -134.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 14.5 | 0.0 |
| Tiana Holland | - | 3 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | -4 | -2.0 | -86.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Dani Angel | - | 3 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -8 | -2.7 | -206.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Jillian David | - | 1 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG