Hawaii Pacific
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1018 (#163) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1116 (#89) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1086 (#83) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +11.1 (#88) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +1.3 (#307) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.536 (#318) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.927 (#181) | NetEff +23.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.707 (#293) | AdjNet +7.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.711 (#293) | AdjNet +7.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.642 (#283) | AdjO 77.1 | AdjD 70.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.544 (#222) | AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 73.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.617 (#221) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.613 (#217) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1105 (#112) | RD 93 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-03 | @ | Boise St. | W | 79 - 78 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Alas. Anchorage | L | 65 - 70 |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Alas. Fairbanks | W | 86 - 85 |
| 2025-11-19 | vs | Saint Martin's | W | 88 - 75 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Western Wash. | W | 86 - 71 |
| 2025-11-25 | @ | Hawaii | L | 76 - 88 |
| 2025-12-03 | vs | Chaminade | L | 68 - 71 |
| 2025-12-05 | @ | Hawaii Hilo | W | 88 - 75 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Hawaii Hilo | W | 80 - 74 |
| 2025-12-19 | vs | Alas. Fairbanks | W | 70 - 62 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Fresno Pacific | L | 72 - 84 |
| 2026-01-05 | @ | Jessup | L | 70 - 86 |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | Menlo | W | 83 - 72 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Dominican (CA) | W | 83 - 77 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Vanguard | W | 80 - 76 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Menlo | W | 82 - 69 |
| 2026-01-20 | vs | Biola | W | 78 - 65 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Westmont | L | 69 - 88 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | CUI | W | 67 - 61 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Westmont | L | 70 - 75 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Vanguard | W | 74 - 62 |
| 2026-02-02 | @ | Azusa Pacific | W | 82 - 75 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | Chaminade | W | 85 - 78 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Wilson | - | 1 | 30.9 | 26.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 13.0 | 13 | 0.7 | 4.1 | 53.3 | 58.3 | 75.0 | 2.49 | 77.6 | 76.7 |
| Jamal Entezami | - | 1 | 22.9 | 23.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 14.0 | 11.0 | -43 | -2.1 | -8.8 | 64.3 | 50.0 | 66.7 | -0.11 | 75.1 | 75.0 |
| Nick Medeiros | - | 1 | 35.6 | 18.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 13.0 | 17.0 | 57 | 3.0 | 16.3 | 53.8 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 1.12 | 64.8 | 61.5 |
| Quentin Meza | - | 19 | 32.2 | 17.6 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 12.3 | 12.6 | 28 | 9.3 | 15.2 | 48.9 | 38.0 | 80.0 | 2.08 | 62.8 | 58.8 |
| Kent King | - | 1 | 32.2 | 17.0 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 25 | 1.9 | 10.3 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | 0.9 | 58.9 | 57.1 |
| Alex Horiuk | - | 1 | 31.6 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 18.0 | -7 | -0.3 | -1.7 | 66.7 | 0 | 83.3 | 1.4 | 73.0 | 66.7 |
| Joshua West | - | 18 | 31.0 | 15.8 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 12.8 | 9.7 | 115 | 6.4 | 68.2 | 43.3 | 34.5 | 67.2 | 3.23 | 54.8 | 52.2 |
| Jorge Ochoa | - | 1 | 21.0 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 58 | 3.1 | 23.1 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 1.24 | 47.2 | 46.7 |
| Dylan Andrews | - | 1 | 33.0 | 15.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 14.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 42.9 | 42.9 | 0 | - | 53.6 | 53.6 |
| Spencer Ahrens | - | 1 | 19.6 | 14.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 12.0 | - | - | - | 55.6 | 57.1 | 0 | - | 77.8 | 77.8 |
| Drew Fielder | - | 1 | 25.9 | 13.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | - | - | - | 71.4 | 33.3 | 100.0 | - | 82.5 | 78.6 |
| Nathan Medina | - | 1 | 34.8 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | -34 | -2.1 | -12.9 | 30.0 | 42.9 | 100.0 | -1.1 | 55.3 | 45.0 |
| Andrew Meadow | - | 1 | 28.6 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 25.0 | 75.0 | - | 46.5 | 38.9 |
| Fletcher MacDonald | - | 1 | 27.9 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 | -18 | -1.2 | -8.0 | 55.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0.14 | 55.6 | 55.6 |
| Julio Montes II | - | 1 | 31.7 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 4.0 | -30 | -1.6 | -5.2 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 0 | -0.02 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Roland Banks II | - | 1 | 30.2 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 13.0 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.8 | 40.0 | 50.0 | 66.7 | -0.39 | 58.9 | 50.0 |
| Josh Niusulu | - | 19 | 28.2 | 8.7 | 3.4 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 6.6 | 6.9 | -4 | -0.2 | -2.0 | 40.8 | 25.0 | 79.7 | 0.02 | 55.0 | 47.6 |
| Nate Sasser III | - | 1 | 18.2 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | -80 | -5.3 | -42.2 | 42.9 | 40.0 | 0 | -4.56 | 57.1 | 57.1 |
| Nemanja Sarenac | - | 19 | 19.3 | 7.6 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 6.2 | 4.1 | 13 | 0.8 | 10.9 | 39.0 | 38.1 | 85.7 | -0.04 | 58.0 | 55.9 |
| Quinton McCullough | - | 19 | 22.1 | 7.3 | 5.8 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 5.8 | 8.9 | 28 | 1.6 | 25.8 | 45.9 | 35.7 | 61.5 | 0.72 | 51.9 | 48.2 |
| Aginaldo Neto | - | 1 | 25.5 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 65.8 | 50.0 |
| Kris King | - | 1 | 28.9 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | -19 | -1.3 | -6.4 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 1.93 | 32.2 | 30.0 |
| Stephen Ransom | - | 1 | 23.2 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 4 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 60.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.14 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Javan Buchanan | - | 1 | 18.5 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | -1.0 | 166 | 7.9 | 49.7 | 14.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 1.09 | 34.2 | 14.3 |
| Dominic Parolin | - | 1 | 15.9 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Brandon Haddock | - | 1 | 21.4 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 7.0 | -89 | -5.9 | -46.1 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 100.0 | -3.73 | 67.6 | 62.5 |
| Charles Higby Jr. | - | 1 | 18.4 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | -4 | -0.2 | -3.8 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 80.0 | -2.86 | 71.4 | 50.0 |
| DeAndre Nobles | - | 1 | 29.4 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 29 | 1.9 | 6.4 | 25.0 | 40.0 | 0 | 5.03 | 37.5 | 37.5 |
| Jessiya Villa | - | 1 | 25.1 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | -22 | -1.6 | -13.1 | 28.6 | 66.7 | 0 | -2.82 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
| Telryn Villa | - | 1 | 16.6 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 | -26 | -1.6 | -58.0 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.56 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Maj Dusanic | - | 19 | 24.0 | 5.7 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4.1 | 7.9 | 47 | 2.8 | 32.2 | 63.6 | 0 | 47.6 | -0.1 | 62.6 | 63.6 |
| Pearson Carmichael | - | 1 | 11.6 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Casey Steadmon | - | 14 | 7.9 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 13 | 1.1 | 38.9 | 50.0 | 35.7 | 75.0 | -1.79 | 60.2 | 56.0 |
| Mo Toure | - | 1 | 13.1 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | -32 | -1.8 | -34.7 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1.31 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Darius Best | - | 1 | 34.9 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 9.0 | -1.0 | -11 | -0.6 | -3.2 | 11.1 | 14.3 | 0 | 0.06 | 16.7 | 16.7 |
| Sargent Jeffery | - | 1 | 16.5 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 47 | 2.6 | 26.2 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 3.3 | 79.8 | 100.0 |
| Zane Gaul | - | 19 | 11.6 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 3.6 | 40 | 2.4 | 50.1 | 61.3 | 50.0 | 60.0 | 0.72 | 72.0 | 72.6 |
| Luke Ortiz | - | 1 | 15.9 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | -22 | -1.6 | -26.6 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -2.94 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| RJ Keene | - | 1 | 10.1 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 33.3 | 33.3 |
| Kahiau Bruhn | - | 10 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | - | - | - | 30.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 42.5 | 30.0 |
| Brycen Shackelford | - | 1 | 6.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | -38 | -2.5 | -42.2 | 0.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.04 | 26.6 | 0.0 |
| Kemp Van Es | - | 7 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | -14 | -2.8 | -200.0 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 0 | 0.27 | 75.0 | 75.0 |
| Ike Sutton | - | 4 | 6.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | -0.8 | 9 | 3.0 | 124.1 | 16.7 | 33.3 | 0 | 1.44 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Ezekiel Stallworth | - | 1 | 8.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | 8 | 1.1 | 25.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 |
| Shinichi Itoh | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| J Marxen | - | 2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Ethan Taafe | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Shawn Villanea | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Julian Bowie | - | 1 | 11.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -3.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Mykiah Wyche | - | 1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -1 | -0.1 | -2.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.83 | 0 | 0 |
| Fabio Daniele Novais da Rocha | - | 1 | 8.2 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | -20 | -1.3 | -14.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Vainikolo Higby | - | 1 | 16.1 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -1.0 | 28 | 1.8 | 28.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.56 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG