🐻⬇️🏀

Hawaii Pacific

Also known as: Hawaii Pacific
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1018 (#163) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1116 (#89) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 1086 (#83) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +11.1 (#88) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +1.3 (#307) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.536 (#318) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +23.6 More → 0.927 (#181) NetEff +23.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.7 More → 0.707 (#293) AdjNet +7.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.7 More → 0.711 (#293) AdjNet +7.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.1 | AdjD 70.7 More → 0.642 (#283) AdjO 77.1 | AdjD 70.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 73.9 More → 0.544 (#222) AdjO 75.9 | AdjD 73.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.617 (#221) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.613 (#217) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 93 | GP 23 More → 1105 (#112) RD 93 | GP 23

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Boise St. W 79 - 78
2025-11-15 @ Alas. Anchorage L 65 - 70
2025-11-16 vs Alas. Fairbanks W 86 - 85
2025-11-19 vs Saint Martin's W 88 - 75
2025-11-22 vs Western Wash. W 86 - 71
2025-11-25 @ Hawaii L 76 - 88
2025-12-03 vs Chaminade L 68 - 71
2025-12-05 @ Hawaii Hilo W 88 - 75
2025-12-13 vs Hawaii Hilo W 80 - 74
2025-12-19 vs Alas. Fairbanks W 70 - 62
2026-01-03 @ Fresno Pacific L 72 - 84
2026-01-05 @ Jessup L 70 - 86
2026-01-08 @ Menlo W 83 - 72
2026-01-10 @ Dominican (CA) W 83 - 77
2026-01-15 vs Vanguard W 80 - 76
2026-01-17 vs Menlo W 82 - 69
2026-01-20 vs Biola W 78 - 65
2026-01-22 vs Westmont L 69 - 88
2026-01-24 vs CUI W 67 - 61
2026-01-29 @ Westmont L 70 - 75
2026-01-31 @ Vanguard W 74 - 62
2026-02-02 @ Azusa Pacific W 82 - 75
2026-02-07 @ Chaminade W 85 - 78

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Michael Wilson - 1 30.9 26.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.0 13.0 13 0.7 4.1 53.3 58.3 75.0 2.49 77.6 76.7
Jamal Entezami - 1 22.9 23.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 14.0 11.0 -43 -2.1 -8.8 64.3 50.0 66.7 -0.11 75.1 75.0
Nick Medeiros - 1 35.6 18.0 9.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 13.0 17.0 57 3.0 16.3 53.8 40.0 100.0 1.12 64.8 61.5
Quentin Meza - 19 32.2 17.6 4.2 3.7 0.9 0.2 1.7 12.3 12.6 28 9.3 15.2 48.9 38.0 80.0 2.08 62.8 58.8
Kent King - 1 32.2 17.0 9.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 14.0 14.0 25 1.9 10.3 50.0 50.0 100.0 0.9 58.9 57.1
Alex Horiuk - 1 31.6 17.0 8.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 9.0 18.0 -7 -0.3 -1.7 66.7 0 83.3 1.4 73.0 66.7
Joshua West - 18 31.0 15.8 4.9 1.9 1.5 0.4 1.9 12.8 9.7 115 6.4 68.2 43.3 34.5 67.2 3.23 54.8 52.2
Jorge Ochoa - 1 21.0 15.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 15.0 3.0 58 3.1 23.1 40.0 33.3 50.0 1.24 47.2 46.7
Dylan Andrews - 1 33.0 15.0 2.0 9.0 1.0 0.0 5.0 14.0 8.0 - - - 42.9 42.9 0 - 53.6 53.6
Spencer Ahrens - 1 19.6 14.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 12.0 - - - 55.6 57.1 0 - 77.8 77.8
Drew Fielder - 1 25.9 13.0 7.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 7.0 14.0 - - - 71.4 33.3 100.0 - 82.5 78.6
Nathan Medina - 1 34.8 13.0 3.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 6.0 -34 -2.1 -12.9 30.0 42.9 100.0 -1.1 55.3 45.0
Andrew Meadow - 1 28.6 10.0 8.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 9.0 - - - 33.3 25.0 75.0 - 46.5 38.9
Fletcher MacDonald - 1 27.9 10.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 9.0 6.0 -18 -1.2 -8.0 55.6 0.0 0 0.14 55.6 55.6
Julio Montes II - 1 31.7 10.0 0.0 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 4.0 -30 -1.6 -5.2 40.0 40.0 0 -0.02 50.0 50.0
Roland Banks II - 1 30.2 9.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 13.0 -2 -0.1 -0.8 40.0 50.0 66.7 -0.39 58.9 50.0
Josh Niusulu - 19 28.2 8.7 3.4 1.7 0.7 0.1 1.1 6.6 6.9 -4 -0.2 -2.0 40.8 25.0 79.7 0.02 55.0 47.6
Nate Sasser III - 1 18.2 8.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 3.0 -80 -5.3 -42.2 42.9 40.0 0 -4.56 57.1 57.1
Nemanja Sarenac - 19 19.3 7.6 2.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.6 6.2 4.1 13 0.8 10.9 39.0 38.1 85.7 -0.04 58.0 55.9
Quinton McCullough - 19 22.1 7.3 5.8 1.6 0.9 1.2 2.0 5.8 8.9 28 1.6 25.8 45.9 35.7 61.5 0.72 51.9 48.2
Aginaldo Neto - 1 25.5 7.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 8.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 100.0 - 65.8 50.0
Kris King - 1 28.9 7.0 8.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 10.0 6.0 -19 -1.3 -6.4 30.0 0.0 50.0 1.93 32.2 30.0
Stephen Ransom - 1 23.2 6.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 6.0 4 0.2 1.7 60.0 0 0 -0.14 60.0 60.0
Javan Buchanan - 1 18.5 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 -1.0 166 7.9 49.7 14.3 0.0 100.0 1.09 34.2 14.3
Dominic Parolin - 1 15.9 6.0 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 6.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Brandon Haddock - 1 21.4 6.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 -89 -5.9 -46.1 50.0 50.0 100.0 -3.73 67.6 62.5
Charles Higby Jr. - 1 18.4 6.0 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 10.0 -4 -0.2 -3.8 50.0 0.0 80.0 -2.86 71.4 50.0
DeAndre Nobles - 1 29.4 6.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 8.0 7.0 29 1.9 6.4 25.0 40.0 0 5.03 37.5 37.5
Jessiya Villa - 1 25.1 6.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 1.0 -22 -1.6 -13.1 28.6 66.7 0 -2.82 42.9 42.9
Telryn Villa - 1 16.6 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 2.0 -26 -1.6 -58.0 33.3 0.0 0 -1.56 33.3 33.3
Maj Dusanic - 19 24.0 5.7 4.3 1.8 0.4 1.0 1.2 4.1 7.9 47 2.8 32.2 63.6 0 47.6 -0.1 62.6 63.6
Pearson Carmichael - 1 11.6 5.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 2.0 - - - 40.0 25.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Casey Steadmon - 14 7.9 4.2 1.5 0.1 0.6 0.0 0.4 3.0 2.9 13 1.1 38.9 50.0 35.7 75.0 -1.79 60.2 56.0
Mo Toure - 1 13.1 4.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 3.0 -32 -1.8 -34.7 50.0 0.0 0 1.31 50.0 50.0
Darius Best - 1 34.9 3.0 3.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 9.0 -1.0 -11 -0.6 -3.2 11.1 14.3 0 0.06 16.7 16.7
Sargent Jeffery - 1 16.5 3.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 47 2.6 26.2 100.0 0 50.0 3.3 79.8 100.0
Zane Gaul - 19 11.6 2.7 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.4 1.6 3.6 40 2.4 50.1 61.3 50.0 60.0 0.72 72.0 72.6
Luke Ortiz - 1 15.9 2.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 2.0 -22 -1.6 -26.6 25.0 0.0 0 -2.94 25.0 25.0
RJ Keene - 1 10.1 2.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Kahiau Bruhn - 10 4.6 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.8 - - - 30.0 0.0 100.0 - 42.5 30.0
Brycen Shackelford - 1 6.1 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 -1.0 -38 -2.5 -42.2 0.0 0 50.0 -1.04 26.6 0.0
Kemp Van Es - 7 4.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.9 -14 -2.8 -200.0 50.0 66.7 0 0.27 75.0 75.0
Ike Sutton - 4 6.0 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.5 -0.8 9 3.0 124.1 16.7 33.3 0 1.44 25.0 25.0
Ezekiel Stallworth - 1 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 8 1.1 25.4 0 0 0 0.18 0 0
Shinichi Itoh - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J Marxen - 2 0.8 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Ethan Taafe - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Shawn Villanea - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Julian Bowie - 1 11.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 -3.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Mykiah Wyche - 1 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -1 -0.1 -2.7 0 0 0 0.83 0 0
Fabio Daniele Novais da Rocha - 1 8.2 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -20 -1.3 -14.4 0.0 0 0 0.05 0.0 0.0
Vainikolo Higby - 1 16.1 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 2.0 -1.0 28 1.8 28.7 0.0 0.0 0 -0.56 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG