Hawaii Hilo
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 901 (#448) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 864 (#471) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 804 (#674) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.5 (#179) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -15.4 (#562) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.310 (#438) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.226 (#356) | NetEff -9.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.399 (#444) | AdjNet -3.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.406 (#444) | AdjNet -3.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.470 (#435) | AdjO 60.3 | AdjD 61.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.237 (#649) | AdjO 54.0 | AdjD 66.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.193 (#604) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.186 (#614) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 769 (#493) | RD 98 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | @ | Alas. Fairbanks | W | 98 - 76 |
| 2025-11-15 | @ | Master's | W | 43 - 38 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Alas. Anchorage | L | 43 - 59 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Wingate | L | 56 - 64 |
| 2025-11-26 | vs | Gannon | L | 31 - 54 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Hawaii Pacific | L | 49 - 57 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Chaminade | W | 75 - 61 |
| 2025-12-12 | @ | Hawaii | L | 47 - 61 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Hawaii Pacific | W | 69 - 63 |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Jessup | L | 52 - 60 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Menlo | L | 61 - 67 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Dominican (CA) | L | 60 - 82 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | Vanguard | L | 44 - 60 |
| 2026-01-20 | vs | Westmont | L | 46 - 79 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | CUI | L | 55 - 70 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Biola | L | 54 - 77 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Azusa Pacific | L | 64 - 75 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Westmont | L | 43 - 79 |
| 2026-02-03 | @ | Vanguard | L | 49 - 99 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Biola | L | 44 - 61 |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | CUI | L | 49 - 66 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaile Cruz | - | 20 | 25.3 | 11.7 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 10.8 | 2.5 | -157 | -8.3 | -32.3 | 31.3 | 27.9 | 88.5 | -3.05 | 46.6 | 38.0 |
| Keirstyn Agonias | - | 18 | 25.1 | 10.1 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 8.9 | 5.1 | -71 | -3.9 | -19.3 | 46.6 | 46.2 | 53.2 | 2.6 | 49.8 | 48.4 |
| Tavina Harris | - | 19 | 23.7 | 9.3 | 5.9 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 2.6 | 7.7 | 6.2 | -104 | -5.8 | -23.1 | 49.0 | 0.0 | 67.3 | -0.76 | 52.5 | 49.0 |
| KeanuMarie Huihui | - | 11 | 28.4 | 9.2 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 10.1 | 3.2 | -8 | -0.7 | -4.7 | 33.3 | 35.7 | 70.6 | 0.15 | 42.6 | 40.1 |
| Brooke Samura | - | 12 | 23.8 | 8.0 | 7.2 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0.2 | 2.3 | 9.2 | 8.0 | 8 | 0.7 | 4.8 | 35.5 | 8.7 | 72.7 | 0.2 | 40.1 | 36.4 |
| Noelle Sua-Godinet | - | 9 | 26.6 | 5.4 | 5.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 5.2 | 6.4 | -20 | -2.2 | -22.4 | 44.7 | 0.0 | 46.7 | 0.2 | 45.7 | 44.7 |
| Kimberly Macias | - | 17 | 17.3 | 4.9 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 5.8 | 2.2 | -31 | -2.2 | -13.0 | 31.3 | 25.9 | 77.8 | 0.03 | 40.8 | 38.9 |
| Mindy Kawaha | - | 21 | 28.8 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 5.8 | 1.3 | -176 | -8.4 | -32.4 | 20.5 | 27.0 | 81.2 | -0.8 | 34.2 | 27.5 |
| Noelle Su'a-Godinet | - | 2 | 23.3 | 4.0 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 5.5 | 7.5 | 18 | 9.0 | 29.3 | 27.3 | 0 | 100.0 | 0.63 | 33.7 | 27.3 |
| Kacie Febo-Santiago | - | 12 | 23.6 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 3.8 | 2.9 | -117 | -10.6 | -34.8 | 28.3 | 20.0 | 60.0 | -2.85 | 36.1 | 31.5 |
| Everett Roach | - | 11 | 16.9 | 2.9 | 2.8 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 2.6 | -93 | -11.6 | -48.6 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 61.5 | -1.01 | 42.4 | 37.5 |
| Evie Roach | - | 1 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -7 | -7.0 | -77.1 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Melanie Hiu | - | 19 | 25.8 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 2.3 | -161 | -8.9 | -37.1 | 32.4 | 37.5 | 0 | -2.02 | 44.6 | 44.6 |
| Kendall Oda | - | 7 | 6.0 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | -27 | -3.9 | -52.3 | 16.7 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -2.84 | 29.1 | 16.7 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG