Hawaii Hilo
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 902 (#467) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 823 (#512) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 887 (#541) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -0.2 (#267) | HCA +2.7 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.8 (#424) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.475 (#352) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.942 (#172) | NetEff +23.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.648 (#330) | AdjNet +5.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.622 (#353) | AdjNet +4.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.587 (#341) | AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 71.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.367 (#485) | AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 72.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.295 (#475) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.303 (#476) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 812 (#447) | RD 96 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Mont. St. Billings | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-16 | vs | Saint Martin's | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Cal St. Dom. Hills | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-11-23 | vs | Cal Poly Pomona | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-05 | vs | Hawaii Pacific | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-07 | vs | Chaminade | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-11 | @ | Hawaii | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Hawaii Pacific | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-20 | vs | Rollins | - | Incomplete score |
| 2025-12-21 | vs | Angelo St. | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-03 | @ | Jessup | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-05 | @ | Fresno Pacific | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-08 | @ | Dominican (CA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Menlo | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-16 | vs | Dominican (CA) | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-18 | vs | Vanguard | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Westmont | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-23 | vs | CUI | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Biola | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Azusa Pacific | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Westmont | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-03 | @ | Vanguard | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | Biola | - | Incomplete score |
| 2026-02-07 | @ | CUI | - | Incomplete score |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julio Montes II | - | 23 | 35.2 | 16.0 | 2.1 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 11.4 | 9.1 | -30 | -1.6 | -5.2 | 45.0 | 39.3 | 89.2 | -1.47 | 60.1 | 53.1 |
| DeAndre Nobles | - | 21 | 28.1 | 11.6 | 6.6 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 3.2 | 10.0 | 7.9 | 29 | 1.9 | 6.4 | 40.3 | 31.7 | 77.5 | 4.01 | 50.4 | 44.8 |
| Jamal Entezami | - | 23 | 27.8 | 10.3 | 4.6 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.1 | 9.4 | 5.6 | -43 | -2.1 | -8.8 | 39.6 | 27.7 | 67.2 | -1.52 | 48.4 | 44.9 |
| Alex Horiuk | - | 23 | 22.6 | 10.0 | 6.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 7.2 | 8.7 | -7 | -0.3 | -1.7 | 59.6 | 20.0 | 79.5 | 1.76 | 62.8 | 59.9 |
| Isaiah Hinds | - | 2 | 26.9 | 8.5 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 15 | 7.5 | 11.2 | 50.0 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 2.97 | 58.1 | 58.3 |
| Brody Davis | - | 20 | 28.7 | 6.8 | 6.8 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 5.9 | 8.4 | -4 | -0.3 | -5.0 | 43.2 | 5.0 | 73.9 | 0.75 | 49.6 | 43.6 |
| Jessiya Villa | - | 17 | 17.2 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 5.6 | 2.1 | -22 | -1.6 | -13.1 | 34.7 | 25.9 | 73.3 | -0.22 | 41.3 | 38.4 |
| Jayden Hosein | - | 21 | 20.2 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 5.0 | 1.7 | -2 | -0.1 | -0.5 | 33.7 | 26.3 | 50.0 | 1.07 | 42.0 | 40.9 |
| Charles Higby Jr. | - | 19 | 12.7 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.2 | 1.6 | -4 | -0.2 | -3.8 | 41.5 | 15.4 | 62.5 | -2.43 | 47.9 | 43.9 |
| Vainikolo Higby | - | 19 | 9.3 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 28 | 1.8 | 28.7 | 44.0 | 25.0 | 83.3 | 1.49 | 54.5 | 46.0 |
| Telryn Villa | - | 18 | 6.6 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 0.7 | -26 | -1.6 | -58.0 | 30.3 | 22.2 | 71.4 | -2.13 | 40.2 | 36.4 |
| Fabio Daniele Novais da Rocha | - | 21 | 8.5 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 2.0 | -20 | -1.3 | -14.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 62.5 | -4.14 | 55.9 | 50.0 |
| Nahiku Nahale-a | - | 2 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3 | 1.5 | 85.7 | 0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 56.8 | 0 |
| Daniel Louie | - | 5 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -4 | -0.8 | -69.6 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG