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Harvard

Also known as: Harvard Crimson, Harvard
Program History

2018 Team Stats (8 games)

72.0
PPG
69.9
Opp
+2.1
Margin
42.8%
FG%
38.7%
3P%
82.3%
FT%
35.5
RPG
11.8
APG
12.9
TO
-
Est. poss./game
66.3
Adj PPG
65.1
Adj Opp PPG
#150
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1055 (#135) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1033 (#152) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More โ†’ 1057 (#86) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +1.1 (#152) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +3.9 (#118) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.560 (#134) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.6 More โ†’ 0.518 (#162) AdjNet +0.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.7 More โ†’ 0.520 (#161) AdjNet +0.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 65.1 More โ†’ 0.528 (#150) AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 65.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 64.0 More โ†’ 0.582 (#101) AdjO 67.6 | AdjD 64.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.556 (#141) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.566 (#131) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 117 | GP 31 More โ†’ 1043 (#138) RD 117 | GP 31

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 vs MIT Engineers W 73 - 64
2017-11-12 vs Massachusetts Minutemen W 70 - 67
2017-11-16 @ Holy Cross Crusaders L 69 - 73
2017-11-18 @ Manhattan Jaspers L 69 - 73
2017-11-23 vs Saint Mary's Gaels L 71 - 89
2017-11-24 @ Saint Joseph's Hawks W 77 - 71
2017-11-26 @ Cal State Fullerton Titans L 61 - 70
2017-11-30 @ Northeastern Huskies L 61 - 77
2017-12-02 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 70 - 79
2017-12-06 @ Fordham Rams W 47 - 45
2017-12-21 vs Boston University Terriers W 74 - 63
2017-12-23 @ George Washington Revolutionaries L 48 - 58
2017-12-30 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 55 - 65
2018-01-02 vs Vermont Catamounts L 56 - 62
2018-01-06 vs Dartmouth Big Green W 61 - 51
2018-01-10 @ Wofford Terriers L 62 - 63
2018-01-20 @ Dartmouth Big Green W 62 - 57
2018-01-26 @ Yale Bulldogs W 54 - 52
2018-01-27 @ Brown Bears W 86 - 77
2018-02-02 @ Columbia Lions L 76 - 83
2018-02-03 @ Cornell Big Red W 76 - 73
2018-02-09 vs Princeton Tigers W 66 - 51
2018-02-10 vs Pennsylvania Quakers W 76 - 67
2018-02-16 vs Brown Bears W 65 - 58
2018-02-17 vs Yale Bulldogs W 64 - 49
2018-02-23 @ Princeton Tigers W 72 - 66
2018-02-24 @ Pennsylvania Quakers L 71 - 74
2018-03-02 vs Cornell Big Red W 98 - 88
2018-03-03 vs Columbia Lions W 93 - 74
2018-03-10 vs Cornell Big Red W 74 - 55
2018-03-11 vs Pennsylvania Quakers L 65 - 68
2018-03-14 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 60 - 67

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Seth Towns Seth Towns F 30 27.9 16.0 5.7 1.8 0.8 0.6 2.1 5.0 17.8 98 23 4.3 6.1 43.6 44.4 82.2 -0.01 142.2 51.7
Bryce Aiken Bryce Aiken G 14 27.7 14.1 2.1 2.9 0.3 0.0 2.7 4.2 12.4 -15 11 -1.4 -2.2 37.3 18.5 87.8 -1.42 127.9 41.5
Chris Lewis Chris Lewis F 32 26.2 12.8 5.5 1.2 0.5 1.5 1.8 3.7 16.2 119 25 4.8 7.9 59.3 0 70.6 3.24 154.2 59.3
Justin Bassey Justin Bassey G 31 32.9 8.0 5.9 2.5 1.3 0.1 2.7 1.9 13.3 31 24 1.3 1.6 48.3 44.8 68.6 -2.28 169.6 59.5
Christian Juzang Christian Juzang G 31 27.3 7.3 2.8 2.6 0.5 0.2 2.2 2.4 8.7 75 25 3.0 4.5 40.5 42.1 93.1 1.58 129.7 51.4
Corey Johnson Corey Johnson G 31 28.6 6.5 2.9 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.7 1.6 9.0 100 24 4.2 6.0 34.7 27.5 100.0 3.48 196.3 45.9
Danilo Djuricic Danilo Djuricic F 31 14.8 4.9 2.7 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.5 6.7 -67 25 -2.7 -8.1 31.1 20.8 58.3 -3.7 152.1 36.7
Rio Haskett Rio Haskett G 32 15.7 3.4 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.0 1.1 1.8 4.0 -78 25 -3.1 -9.1 33.9 38.5 50.0 -3.74 91.1 42.9
Chris Egi Chris Egi F 4 7.0 2.5 1.5 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.2 5.0 - - - - 0.0 0 0 0.57 500.0 0.0
Baker II Baker II - 22 10.8 2.4 2.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.0 4.9 -40 17 -2.4 -10.5 31.8 30.8 66.7 -2.91 100.2 40.9
Weisner Perez Weisner Perez F 12 8.8 2.2 2.1 0.1 0.5 0.0 0.7 0.5 3.7 2 10 0.2 1.0 66.7 0 0 -1.72 216.7 66.7
Henry Welsh Henry Welsh F 28 7.9 1.8 1.9 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.9 3.3 -62 22 -2.8 -14.6 37.5 0.0 75.0 -4.63 99.0 37.5
Reed Farley Reed Farley G 10 10.1 1.2 1.3 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.8 -10 7 -1.4 -6.2 27.3 33.3 0 -1.35 54.5 40.9
Robbie Feinberg Robbie Feinberg G 3 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Andre Chatfield Andre Chatfield G 5 3.8 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.0 0 0
Zach Yoshor Zach Yoshor G 4 4.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.79 0 0
Balsa Dragovic Balsa Dragovic F 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG