🐻⬇️🏀

Hartford

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Hartford
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1081 (#92) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1081 (#183) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More → 1051 (#179) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +0.7 (#184) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -0.5 (#377) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.390 (#498) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -1.2 More → 0.461 (#371) NetEff -1.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.2 More → 0.236 (#475) AdjNet -10.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.5 More → 0.225 (#475) AdjNet -10.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 57.1 | AdjD 63.6 More → 0.357 (#471) AdjO 57.1 | AdjD 63.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 59.8 | AdjD 56.3 More → 0.578 (#261) AdjO 59.8 | AdjD 56.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.561 (#326) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.568 (#323) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 98 | GP 22 More → 1092 (#173) RD 98 | GP 22

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-08 @ Cal Lutheran L 51 - 77
2025-11-09 @ Smith L 41 - 74
2025-11-14 vs Coast Guard W 68 - 60
2025-11-22 @ Springfield W 63 - 57
2025-11-24 @ Trinity (CT) L 50 - 70
2025-11-29 @ Russell Sage L 50 - 64
2025-12-03 @ Western New Eng. L 62 - 74
2025-12-09 vs Bowdoin L 48 - 62
2025-12-29 @ Babson L 65 - 67
2025-12-30 @ UMass Dartmouth W 72 - 44
2026-01-10 vs Endicott W 69 - 63
2026-01-14 @ Curry W 60 - 55
2026-01-17 @ Nichols W 59 - 56
2026-01-20 vs Roger Williams L 63 - 68
2026-01-24 @ Wentworth W 68 - 37
2026-01-28 vs Western New Eng. W 58 - 45
2026-01-31 vs JWU (Providence) L 55 - 69
2026-02-03 @ Suffolk W 56 - 42
2026-02-07 vs U New England L 50 - 60

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
NASZIMENTO, Ava - 1 34.0 14.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 3.0 7.0 14.0 - - - 71.4 0 66.7 - 72.6 71.4
Ava Naszimento - 17 28.6 12.5 5.3 1.8 1.4 0.6 2.7 10.2 8.6 -12 -0.6 -5.4 47.7 0 57.5 0.46 50.7 47.7
Lauren Sabia - 12 24.8 12.2 5.6 1.5 1.2 0.2 1.1 9.7 10.0 5 0.3 2.7 48.3 37.8 63.0 3.1 57.1 55.6
Ella Marchesani - 18 27.3 11.4 3.1 0.5 0.9 0.2 2.1 9.6 4.4 -56 -2.7 -25.8 35.8 34.3 81.0 -3.27 51.6 45.7
BLEVINS, Taryn - 1 37.0 10.0 3.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 11.0 - - - 42.9 66.7 100.0 - 63.5 57.1
MARCHESANI, Ella - 1 33.0 10.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 3.0 - - - 30.0 33.3 75.0 - 42.5 35.0
SHENLOOGIAN, Allie - 1 24.0 8.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 4.0 - - - 11.1 0.0 75.0 - 31.9 11.1
Allie Shenloogian - 18 27.8 7.8 4.5 1.8 1.6 0.0 2.3 7.4 6.0 -67 -3.2 -24.0 41.4 18.2 65.0 2.79 46.5 42.9
LOUGHMAN, Paige - 1 16.0 7.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 2.0 6.0 - - - 100.0 100.0 50.0 - 121.5 150.0
Taryn Blevins - 18 28.5 5.0 2.8 1.6 0.4 0.0 1.9 4.2 3.7 -61 -2.9 -21.0 36.8 29.4 72.7 0.09 49.7 43.4
SABIA, Lauren - 1 31.0 5.0 12.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 12.0 7.0 - - - 16.7 12.5 0 - 20.8 20.8
Gabrielle Matthews - 17 18.8 4.8 2.1 1.2 0.4 0.1 1.9 4.8 1.9 -27 -1.4 -16.2 32.1 16.7 68.4 -0.11 42.0 34.6
Paige Loughman - 16 12.5 3.2 1.7 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.4 3.1 2.2 -3 -0.2 -2.1 42.9 33.3 16.7 0.75 49.4 51.0
Sidnee Bowden - 15 10.1 2.7 1.5 1.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 2.7 2.3 -23 -1.4 -14.2 34.1 30.0 100.0 -0.18 45.8 41.5
Kendall Rieman - 15 23.9 2.2 3.3 0.9 1.0 0.1 1.0 2.7 3.7 -86 -5.4 -31.6 34.1 15.8 20.0 -0.9 36.3 37.8
Mackenzie Hohulin - 12 8.8 2.0 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.8 2.5 0.7 16 1.3 19.3 23.3 18.8 77.8 -0.34 35.3 28.3
RIEMAN, Kendall - 1 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Madison Baird - 2 6.6 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 2.0 0.5 -2 -0.7 -5.1 25.0 33.3 0 -0.68 37.5 37.5
Jordyn Bay-Kent - 3 4.8 1.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.0 2.0 -0.3 -2 -0.5 -6.5 33.3 0 0 -0.93 33.3 33.3
Maya Okoro - 15 9.7 1.1 2.5 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.8 1.9 -38 -2.1 -48.3 25.9 0 40.0 -0.92 27.4 25.9
Kristen Trembley - 6 6.0 0.8 0.8 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -9 -1.1 -11.5 16.7 14.3 0 -1.49 20.8 20.8
Mikaela Williams - 4 3.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 -6 -1.2 -10.4 0 0 25.0 -1.52 28.4 0
Elizabeth Johnson - 2 2.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 -7 -2.3 -161.5 0 0 0 -0.49 0 0
MATTHEWS, Gabrielle - 1 10.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
BOWDEN, Sidnee - 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
BAIRD, Madison - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG