Harris-Stowe
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1037 (#127) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1003 (#245) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1001 (#280) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -12.8 (#486) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.020 (#602) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.090 (#627) | AdjNet -20.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.083 (#632) | AdjNet -20.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.237 (#598) | AdjO 72.3 | AdjD 85.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.399 (#458) | AdjO 73.3 | AdjD 77.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.273 (#492) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.289 (#484) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1001 (#232) | RD 295 | GP 2 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Missouri S&T | L | 43 - 89 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Maryville (MO) | W | 92 - 88 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hayes | - | 1 | 38.4 | 21.0 | 7.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 10.0 | 24.0 | - | - | - | 40.0 | 0.0 | 81.2 | - | 61.6 | 40.0 |
| Jermarco Burse | - | 2 | 22.2 | 16.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 11.5 | 8.0 | - | - | - | 56.5 | 0 | 85.7 | - | 61.3 | 56.5 |
| Justin Edwards | - | 2 | 30.6 | 9.0 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 9.0 | 7.5 | -7 | -0.4 | -3.7 | 33.3 | 22.2 | 80.0 | -0.15 | 44.6 | 38.9 |
| Bennie iii | - | 2 | 26.4 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 6.5 | 5.5 | - | - | - | 23.1 | 33.3 | 77.8 | - | 41.3 | 26.9 |
| Ty Lampley | - | 2 | 21.9 | 6.0 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 4.5 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 25.0 | 75.0 | - | 43.6 | 37.5 |
| Jalen Watson | - | 2 | 16.4 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.5 | -1.0 | 17 | 1.1 | 55.1 | 30.8 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.75 | 32.4 | 30.8 |
| Seth Chargois | - | 2 | 14.4 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 28.2 | 25.0 |
| Justin Coleman | - | 2 | 15.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 2.5 | -35 | -1.8 | -46.2 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 0 | -1.15 | 41.7 | 41.7 |
| Koran Johnson | - | 1 | 8.2 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 19 | 0.9 | 6.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | 2.45 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG