Harding
Model Outputs
2024-2025
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1106 (#50) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1110 (#75) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +20.7 (#19) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.858 (#205) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.896 (#66) | NetEff +18.6 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.979 (#102) | AdjNet +33.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.981 (#102) | AdjNet +33.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.879 (#101) | AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 55.5 |
2025 Schedule & Results
2025 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sage Hawley | - | 32 | 34.2 | 18.2 | 10.4 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 15.4 | 16.4 | 289 | 30 | 9.6 | 11.3 | 47.6 | 35.3 | 79.6 | 5.01 | 52.8 | 48.2 |
| Aubrey Isbell | - | 32 | 31.3 | 13.0 | 3.6 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 2.1 | 10.2 | 8.5 | 232 | 29 | 8.0 | 9.9 | 41.5 | 22.2 | 88.8 | 1.44 | 53.2 | 43.4 |
| Rory Geer | - | 32 | 33.0 | 12.2 | 8.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 7.9 | 13.9 | 199 | 30 | 6.6 | 8.0 | 48.0 | 50.0 | 76.0 | -1.18 | 58.8 | 50.2 |
| Josie Williams | - | 32 | 35.2 | 9.8 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 8.9 | 6.6 | 272 | 30 | 9.1 | 10.3 | 38.9 | 40.9 | 80.4 | 3.44 | 50.7 | 47.2 |
| Maddi Holt | - | 32 | 31.5 | 8.3 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 5.1 | 211 | 30 | 7.0 | 9.0 | 35.6 | 31.5 | 82.4 | 0.83 | 50.5 | 43.3 |
| Jaiden Thomas | - | 32 | 15.8 | 3.9 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 40 | 30 | 1.3 | 3.5 | 30.3 | 30.2 | 68.4 | -2.69 | 42.0 | 37.5 |
| Katelyn Kabrich | - | 32 | 7.6 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 38 | 30 | 1.3 | 7.2 | 41.5 | 31.2 | 83.3 | -1.25 | 53.7 | 46.8 |
| Amelia Rogers | - | 29 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 37 | 19 | 1.9 | 19.0 | 40.6 | 15.4 | 75.0 | 2.36 | 47.9 | 43.8 |
| Kinley Hammitt | - | 31 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | -9 | 12 | -0.8 | -16.2 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 71.4 | -2.13 | 49.6 | 33.3 |
| Ella Grace Thompson | - | 32 | 3.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 25 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 26.7 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -0.14 | 31.2 | 26.7 |
| Evan Neely | - | 29 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | -0.1 | - | - | - | - | 14.3 | 0 | 0 | -2.92 | 14.3 | 14.3 |
| Reigiana Ward | - | 11 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
| Hailey Mason | - | 27 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG