Harding
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1276 (#10) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1288 (#14) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1202 (#16) | HCA +75 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +18.4 (#30) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +20.4 (#85) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.858 (#205) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.816 (#172) | NetEff +11.9 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.979 (#102) | AdjNet +33.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.981 (#102) | AdjNet +33.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.879 (#101) | AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 55.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.732 (#61) | AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 54.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.879 (#42) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.870 (#42) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1359 (#9) | RD 106 | GP 21 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-07 | vs | Tampa | W | 69 - 66 |
| 2025-11-08 | @ | Texas Woman's | W | 75 - 59 |
| 2025-11-18 | vs | Cameron | W | 77 - 65 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | Missouri Western | W | 86 - 71 |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | Central Okla. | W | 61 - 51 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Delta St. | W | 64 - 49 |
| 2025-12-04 | vs | Southwestern Okla. | W | 73 - 62 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Northwestern Okla. | L | 57 - 65 |
| 2025-12-09 | @ | Ark.-Monticello | W | 86 - 64 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | Henderson St. | L | 66 - 69 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Southern Ark. | W | 53 - 52 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Okla. Baptist | W | 74 - 72 |
| 2026-01-15 | vs | Southeastern Okla. | W | 81 - 69 |
| 2026-01-17 | vs | East Central | W | 59 - 52 |
| 2026-01-22 | @ | Arkansas Tech | L | 69 - 84 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Northwestern Okla. | W | 58 - 51 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Southwestern Okla. | W | 63 - 58 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | Okla. Baptist | W | 69 - 40 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Southern Nazarene | W | 50 - 47 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josie Williams | - | 19 | 35.5 | 13.3 | 5.5 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 11.1 | 11.6 | 140 | 7.0 | 19.7 | 45.2 | 35.7 | 75.4 | 0.65 | 53.8 | 50.0 |
| Maddi Holt | - | 19 | 31.4 | 10.3 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 8.6 | 5.7 | 118 | 5.9 | 19.5 | 37.4 | 36.6 | 89.8 | 1.72 | 53.1 | 46.6 |
| Kennedy Stout | - | 19 | 27.8 | 10.3 | 6.2 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 10.5 | 8.9 | 109 | 5.5 | 19.0 | 38.2 | 19.0 | 80.0 | 1.19 | 44.3 | 39.2 |
| Kori Sanders | - | 19 | 37.7 | 10.1 | 4.5 | 4.3 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 8.5 | 10.2 | 141 | 7.0 | 17.4 | 36.4 | 31.0 | 75.0 | 0.14 | 50.5 | 44.4 |
| Allie Rehl | - | 19 | 22.2 | 9.6 | 2.9 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 6.6 | 7.9 | 95 | 4.8 | 22.2 | 49.6 | 41.9 | 80.4 | 4.37 | 62.1 | 56.8 |
| Alli McAda | - | 19 | 19.7 | 7.5 | 5.2 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 8.1 | 4.5 | 93 | 4.7 | 23.6 | 35.9 | 26.2 | 65.2 | 1.28 | 43.5 | 41.5 |
| Jalisa Walker | - | 4 | 15.7 | 5.0 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 2 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 44.4 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.57 | 50.6 | 44.4 |
| Myiah Butler | - | 19 | 11.8 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 2.6 | 4.3 | 45 | 2.2 | 16.1 | 49.0 | 0 | 75.0 | -0.38 | 54.5 | 49.0 |
| Laykin Moore | - | 12 | 6.5 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 0.8 | -8 | -0.7 | -5.8 | 28.6 | 30.0 | 83.3 | -0.64 | 42.3 | 35.7 |
| Amelia Rogers | - | 18 | 5.1 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 0.4 | 6.3 | 53.3 | 33.3 | 50.0 | 1.27 | 59.4 | 60.0 |
| Kinley Hammitt | - | 4 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | -11 | -2.8 | -67.9 | 50.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -0.7 | 52.1 | 50.0 |
| Katelyn Kabrich | - | 4 | 2.9 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | -9 | -2.2 | -42.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.41 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG