๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Harding

Also known as: Harding
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1119 (#85) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1231 (#37) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +62 elo More โ†’ 1048 (#105) HCA +62 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ +22.5 (#23) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ +18.0 (#29) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.776 (#73) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +11.9 More โ†’ 0.816 (#172) NetEff +11.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +27.1 More โ†’ 0.958 (#27) AdjNet +27.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +27.9 More โ†’ 0.962 (#25) AdjNet +27.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 55.9 More โ†’ 0.832 (#28) AdjO 73.5 | AdjD 55.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 61.3 More โ†’ 0.662 (#60) AdjO 68.7 | AdjD 61.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.843 (#40) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.816 (#43) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 112 | GP 29 More โ†’ 1180 (#54) RD 112 | GP 29

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-07 vs Tampa W 69 - 66
2025-11-08 @ Texas Woman's W 75 - 59
2025-11-18 vs Cameron W 77 - 65
2025-11-22 vs Missouri Western W 86 - 71
2025-11-24 @ Central Okla. W 61 - 51
2025-11-29 vs Delta St. W 64 - 49
2025-12-04 vs Southwestern Okla. W 73 - 62
2025-12-06 vs Northwestern Okla. L 57 - 65
2025-12-09 @ Ark.-Monticello W 86 - 64
2025-12-13 vs Henderson St. L 66 - 69
2026-01-03 vs Southern Ark. W 53 - 52
2026-01-10 @ Okla. Baptist W 74 - 72
2026-01-15 vs Southeastern Okla. W 81 - 69
2026-01-17 vs East Central W 59 - 52
2026-01-22 @ Arkansas Tech - Incomplete score
2026-01-29 @ Northwestern Okla. - Incomplete score
2026-01-31 @ Southwestern Okla. - Incomplete score
2026-02-05 vs Okla. Baptist W 69 - 40
2026-02-07 vs Southern Nazarene W 50 - 47
2026-02-09 vs Ouachita Baptist W 94 - 77
2026-02-12 vs Arkansas Tech W 72 - 50
2026-02-14 @ Southern Ark. W 63 - 57
2026-02-19 @ East Central W 68 - 55
2026-02-21 @ Southeastern Okla. L 65 - 75
2026-02-26 vs Ark.-Monticello W 82 - 48
2026-02-28 @ Henderson St. L 75 - 77
2026-03-05 @ Southern Nazarene L 59 - 67
2026-03-07 vs Southeastern Okla. L 64 - 67
2026-03-13 @ Fort Hays St. L 82 - 89

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Halyn Browning - 1 30.0 16.0 7.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 14.0 13.0 -4 1 -4.0 -6.6 42.9 40.0 0.0 -0.96 55.4 57.1
Josie Williams - 28 35.6 13.3 5.2 3.6 1.4 0.1 1.6 11.1 10.9 193 27 7.1 8.2 43.9 36.8 80.0 2.78 53.2 48.4
Maddi Holt - 28 31.3 11.1 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1 1.3 8.6 6.4 142 27 5.3 6.9 41.3 43.5 87.7 0.92 57.5 52.5
Shannon Burton - 1 21.0 11.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.0 5.0 1 1 1.0 2.4 50.0 0.0 50.0 -0.76 50.6 50.0
Kori Sanders - 28 38.0 10.5 4.9 4.9 2.3 0.2 2.4 9.1 11.4 168 27 6.2 6.6 37.4 32.5 77.1 -1.03 50.8 45.5
Kennedy Stout - 28 27.2 10.4 5.8 1.3 0.7 2.1 1.5 10.1 8.7 170 27 6.3 9.3 40.6 17.4 75.7 2.22 46.0 41.3
Allie Rehl - 28 22.4 9.4 3.3 1.3 1.2 0.4 1.1 6.9 7.6 175 27 6.5 11.5 46.1 42.9 77.6 6.3 58.3 53.1
Hannah Duncan - 1 25.0 8.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 3.0 -5 1 -5.0 -8.1 33.3 25.0 75.0 -0.88 51.5 41.7
Jordan Hoffman - 1 31.0 8.0 7.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 14.0 -8 1 -8.0 -11.9 75.0 0 100.0 -1.71 82.0 75.0
Alli McAda - 28 20.8 7.9 5.3 0.5 0.7 0.2 1.5 7.9 5.2 96 27 3.6 7.0 38.3 29.6 72.4 1.79 46.9 44.8
Carley Gasaway - 1 10.0 6.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 0.0 1 1 1.0 5.3 28.6 28.6 0 -0.65 42.9 42.9
Boston Berry - 1 19.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 6.0 2 1 2.0 6.6 25.0 50.0 100.0 -0.48 51.2 37.5
Jalisa Walker - 5 12.6 4.0 2.6 0.6 0.6 0.0 1.4 3.6 2.8 24 3 8.0 20.4 44.4 0.0 100.0 0.1 50.6 44.4
Jillian Crawford - 1 28.0 4.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 7.0 -3.0 -8 1 -8.0 -13.8 28.6 0.0 0.0 -2.08 25.4 28.6
Myiah Butler - 28 12.7 3.9 3.8 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.9 2.9 4.9 22 27 0.8 2.7 48.1 0 76.9 -1.75 55.0 48.1
Amelia Rogers - 27 6.6 1.7 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.1 12 26 0.5 2.7 45.2 36.4 76.5 -0.32 58.5 51.6
Laykin Moore - 18 5.2 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.4 0.6 -8 14 -0.6 -4.3 26.9 25.0 75.0 -2.24 39.0 32.7
Lexi Mackey - 1 1.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.0 -3 1 -3.0 -61.5 0 0 50.0 -1.38 56.8 0
Kinley Hammitt - 8 1.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 -12 6 -2.0 -42.5 50.0 0 50.0 -2.69 52.1 50.0
Katelyn Kabrich - 10 2.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 -7 7 -1.0 -14.5 100.0 0 100.0 -1.85 106.4 100.0
Jena Bay - 1 8.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 8 1 8.0 54.2 0 0 0 0.6 0 0
Mia Singstock - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Kezia Grant-Bobb - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Braci Nyberg - 1 14.0 0.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 -1 1 -1.0 -3.0 0.0 0 0 -0.83 0.0 0.0
Ella Nietz - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Hannah Weston - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Keeley Chaddick - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Silvia Otokhagua - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Nessa Begay - 1 9.0 0.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 -8 1 -8.0 -52.2 0.0 0 0 -2.1 0.0 0.0
Rachel Perkins - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG