Hanover Panthers
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1088 (#125) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1048 (#267) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1009 (#378) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -3.1 (#165) | HCA +2.3 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -6.0 (#459) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.598 (#404) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.413 (#394) | AdjNet -3.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.444 (#375) | AdjNet -1.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.467 (#377) | AdjO 73.6 | AdjD 75.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.449 (#510) | AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 76.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.397 (#487) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.407 (#489) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1009 (#363) | RD 94 | GP 23 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | vs | Wabash | L | 61 - 90 |
| 2025-11-11 | vs | Spalding | W | 76 - 53 |
| 2025-11-12 | @ | Bellarmine | L | 55 - 94 |
| 2025-11-18 | @ | Asbury | W | 79 - 66 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Berry | W | 82 - 65 |
| 2025-11-24 | @ | Maryville (TN) | L | 68 - 84 |
| 2025-12-03 | @ | Berea | L | 63 - 68 |
| 2025-12-06 | vs | Franklin | W | 74 - 65 |
| 2025-12-13 | @ | Manchester | W | 95 - 83 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Anderson (IN) | W | 83 - 69 |
| 2025-12-29 | @ | Wis.-Platteville | L | 54 - 77 |
| 2025-12-30 | @ | Geneva | W | 80 - 68 |
| 2026-01-03 | vs | Bluffton | W | 97 - 88 |
| 2026-01-07 | vs | Transylvania | W | 73 - 71 |
| 2026-01-10 | @ | Earlham | W | 76 - 55 |
| 2026-01-14 | @ | Rose-Hulman | L | 61 - 81 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | Mt. St. Joseph | L | 65 - 69 |
| 2026-01-21 | vs | Berea | W | 82 - 61 |
| 2026-01-24 | @ | Bluffton | L | 75 - 84 |
| 2026-01-28 | vs | Mt. St. Joseph | L | 65 - 75 |
| 2026-01-31 | vs | Earlham | W | 76 - 53 |
| 2026-02-04 | vs | Rose-Hulman | L | 80 - 87 |
| 2026-02-07 | vs | Manchester | W | 96 - 83 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malachi McNair | - | 21 | 28.3 | 16.9 | 11.6 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 10.6 | 19.0 | 12 | 0.6 | 3.1 | 69.8 | 33.3 | 74.1 | 1.67 | 71.7 | 70.3 |
| CJ Walls | - | 23 | 31.5 | 12.9 | 5.2 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 10.7 | 9.3 | 50 | 2.3 | 10.0 | 44.1 | 36.7 | 58.2 | 0.38 | 53.7 | 52.2 |
| Jeremiah Alexander | - | 22 | 27.2 | 9.1 | 2.7 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.6 | 7.9 | 5.9 | -13 | -2.6 | -16.2 | 38.2 | 34.2 | 71.2 | -0.61 | 50.5 | 46.0 |
| William Herald | - | 23 | 17.5 | 7.7 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 5.7 | 4.1 | -42 | -2.0 | -12.2 | 45.4 | 44.7 | 100.0 | -1.74 | 64.4 | 61.5 |
| Jack Miller | - | 22 | 25.2 | 7.0 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 6.2 | 6.1 | 41 | 2.0 | 8.6 | 37.2 | 27.1 | 75.5 | 1.12 | 48.9 | 43.1 |
| Cam Freeman | - | 23 | 30.5 | 6.8 | 2.4 | 5.2 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 5.1 | 8.8 | 34 | 1.6 | 7.4 | 42.4 | 35.5 | 76.7 | 1.28 | 54.4 | 47.0 |
| Sheldon Gatlin | - | 23 | 15.0 | 6.7 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 5.5 | 5.0 | -25 | -1.1 | -11.2 | 45.2 | 35.6 | 63.6 | -1.39 | 56.8 | 55.6 |
| Davis Olson | - | 22 | 17.6 | 6.4 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 5.2 | 5.3 | 51 | 2.4 | 14.9 | 40.0 | 34.7 | 100.0 | 3.7 | 58.0 | 54.8 |
| Quentin Hesse | - | 16 | 6.8 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 4 | 0.3 | 3.3 | 32.5 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 0.69 | 41.6 | 40.0 |
| Lebron Gough | - | 11 | 8.3 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 2.9 | 20 | 2.2 | 30.3 | 50.0 | 66.7 | 60.0 | 2.31 | 59.8 | 57.1 |
| Terrance Yarbrough | - | 8 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.4 | 17.6 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.67 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Jace Jenkins | - | 8 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 1.0 | -0.2 | 2 | 0.3 | 11.7 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 0.0 | -0.67 | 29.6 | 31.2 |
| Logan Miracle | - | 7 | 2.5 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 11 | 1.8 | 59.1 | 40.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.33 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Cole Shumate | - | 10 | 5.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 14 | 1.6 | 17.5 | 18.2 | 14.3 | 0 | -0.24 | 22.7 | 22.7 |
| Chris Terry | - | 4 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | -1 | -0.5 | -41.4 | 50.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.29 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Brandon Snodgrass | - | 6 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | -6 | -1.5 | -41.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | -1.23 | 17.4 | 0.0 |
| Shawn Boyd | - | 4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.5 | 41.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.29 | 0 | 0 |
| Nick Simpson | - | 1 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -1.0 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG