Hampton
Model Outputs
2002-2003
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 972 (#176) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 995 (#165) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1046 (#104) | HCA +112 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.8 (#233) | HCA +3.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -5.8 (#234) | HCA +3.7 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.608 (#107) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.276 (#229) | AdjNet -8.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.271 (#229) | AdjNet -8.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.388 (#230) | AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 71.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.478 (#183) | AdjO 66.6 | AdjD 67.5 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.408 (#209) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.426 (#204) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 965 (#184) | RD 126 | GP 30 |
2003 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002-11-25 | vs | Western Illinois | W | 82 - 59 |
| 2002-11-27 | vs | Richmond | W | 61 - 60 |
| 2002-12-04 | vs | Old Dominion | W | 77 - 70 |
| 2002-12-07 | vs | Norfolk State | W | 72 - 62 |
| 2002-12-19 | @ | Virginia Commonwealth | L | 85 - 90 |
| 2002-12-28 | @ | Akron | L | 79 - 84 |
| 2002-12-30 | @ | Ohio State | L | 62 - 70 |
| 2003-01-04 | @ | Maryland–Eastern Shore | W | 55 - 45 |
| 2003-01-06 | @ | Howard | W | 80 - 75 |
| 2003-01-08 | @ | Maryland | L | 58 - 108 |
| 2003-01-11 | vs | Morgan State | W | 91 - 75 |
| 2003-01-13 | vs | Coppin State | W | 81 - 70 |
| 2003-01-18 | vs | Florida A&M | W | 90 - 76 |
| 2003-01-20 | vs | Bethune-Cookman | W | 74 - 72 |
| 2003-01-25 | @ | North Carolina A&T | W | 66 - 61 |
| 2003-01-27 | @ | South Carolina State | L | 69 - 77 |
| 2003-02-01 | vs | Delaware State | L | 66 - 71 |
| 2003-02-03 | vs | William & Mary | L | 62 - 64 |
| 2003-02-08 | vs | Maryland–Eastern Shore | W | 70 - 54 |
| 2003-02-10 | vs | Howard | L | 65 - 75 |
| 2003-02-15 | @ | Morgan State | W | 75 - 59 |
| 2003-02-18 | @ | Coppin State | W | 65 - 51 |
| 2003-02-22 | @ | Florida A&M | W | 83 - 80 |
| 2003-02-24 | @ | Bethune-Cookman | W | 76 - 69 |
| 2003-03-01 | vs | North Carolina A&T | W | 79 - 63 |
| 2003-03-03 | vs | South Carolina State | L | 73 - 78 |
| 2003-03-08 | @ | Norfolk State | L | 44 - 48 |
| 2003-03-13 | N | Norfolk State | W | 64 - 62 |
| 2003-03-14 | N | Howard | W | 73 - 64 |
| 2003-03-15 | N | South Carolina State | L | 67 - 72 |
2003 Roster
No roster data available for this season.