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Gustavus Adolphus

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Gustavus Adolphus
Program History

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1062 (#116) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1079 (#128) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +26.0 (#9) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.969 (#178) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +25.3 More → 0.970 (#33) NetEff +25.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +41.3 More → 0.992 (#105) AdjNet +41.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +41.0 More → 0.992 (#113) AdjNet +41.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 48.3 More → 0.900 (#122) AdjO 72.4 | AdjD 48.3

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-09 vs Wis.-La Crosse W 52 - 49
2024-11-10 @ Wis.-Eau Claire W 73 - 49
2024-11-14 @ Wis.-Stout W 62 - 53
2024-11-20 @ UW-River Falls W 56 - 44
2024-11-25 vs Colorado Col. W 78 - 72
2024-12-04 vs Augsburg W 65 - 42
2024-12-07 vs Concordia-M'head W 57 - 42
2024-12-11 vs St. Olaf W 69 - 46
2024-12-14 vs Northwestern-St. Paul W 74 - 50
2024-12-30 vs Bethany Lutheran W 89 - 46
2025-01-04 @ St. Catherine W 52 - 41
2025-01-08 @ Macalester W 56 - 34
2025-01-11 vs St. Scholastica W 76 - 41
2025-01-15 @ Saint Mary's (MN) W 71 - 41
2025-01-18 vs Bethel (MN) L 58 - 72
2025-01-22 @ Hamline W 67 - 51
2025-01-25 @ Concordia-M'head W 56 - 42
2025-01-29 vs Macalester W 65 - 45
2025-02-01 @ Augsburg W 68 - 35
2025-02-05 @ Saint Mary's (MN) W 73 - 39
2025-02-08 @ Bethel (MN) W 73 - 61
2025-02-12 @ St. Olaf W 66 - 36
2025-02-15 vs Saint Benedict W 73 - 62
2025-02-19 @ Carleton W 84 - 49
2025-02-22 vs St. Catherine W 74 - 51
2025-02-27 vs Hamline W 71 - 35
2025-03-01 @ Bethel (MN) W 66 - 53
2025-03-07 vs Wis. Lutheran W 61 - 49
2025-03-08 vs Wartburg W 56 - 50
2025-03-14 @ McMurry W 71 - 58
2025-03-15 vs Smith L 50 - 61

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
EMMA KNIEFEL - 2 40.0 14.0 8.5 2.5 1.5 0.0 3.0 11.0 12.5 137 4.7 5.2 50.0 20.0 100.0 1.17 57.9 52.3
RACHEL KAWIECKI - 2 26.0 13.5 6.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 3.5 10.5 7.5 54 1.9 3.2 61.9 0 50.0 0.56 61.7 61.9
SYD HAUGER - 2 34.0 10.0 1.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 5.5 8.0 112 3.9 4.4 54.5 33.3 87.5 0.96 68.9 59.1
MORGAN KELLY - 2 19.5 8.5 6.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 1.5 11.0 4.0 54 1.9 2.7 31.8 20.0 50.0 0.21 35.8 34.1
KYLIE BARANICK - 2 35.5 6.5 3.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 3.0 5.5 4.0 128 4.4 4.9 36.4 37.5 100.0 1.04 54.7 50.0
IZZY QUICK - 2 26.0 4.5 4.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 2.0 5.5 3.0 93 3.2 4.2 36.4 0 33.3 0.74 36.5 36.4
EMILY BOWRON - 2 10.0 2.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.5 0.0 24 0.9 3.0 28.6 25.0 0 0.31 35.7 35.7
Bella Dehaan - 2 1.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 2.5 -1 -0.1 -0.3 50.0 0 100.0 -0.23 69.4 50.0
Olivia Grothaus - 28 6.4 1.6 1.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.5 1.9 1.4 67 2.2 6.6 30.2 20.0 81.8 0.32 39.8 34.9
Ella Peters - 29 5.5 1.6 1.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.9 20 0.6 1.4 28.6 8.3 100.0 -0.28 44.9 29.8
KENDYL QUEENSLAND - 2 6.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.0 28 0.8 1.9 100.0 0 0 0.55 100.0 100.0
Anna Goodman - 29 7.6 0.9 0.9 1.4 0.6 0.0 0.7 1.1 1.9 64 2.0 4.2 18.2 16.7 68.8 -0.23 32.5 22.7
Bobbie Bruns - 27 3.3 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 -14 -0.8 -3.7 42.9 36.4 75.0 0.03 54.9 52.4
Peyton Stevermer - 26 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.5 -0.1 -5 -0.3 -0.9 35.7 40.0 0 -0.18 42.9 42.9
Bella Sutch - 25 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 31 1.9 6.1 28.6 0 0.0 0.14 24.0 28.6
Kaitlyn Schaefer - 24 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 58 5.3 10.9 100.0 100.0 0 0.49 150.0 150.0
Ava Westerman - 26 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 4 0.4 3.0 33.3 50.0 0 0.21 50.0 50.0
ELLA GRANDA - 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
WHITLEY RONN - 2 2.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.5 55 1.8 4.8 0.0 0 0 0.21 0.0 0.0
Jordyn Williams - 24 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.0 -3 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 0 0 -0.1 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG